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Posted
  • Location: Islington, C. London.
  • Location: Islington, C. London.
Posted

Starting this one a little early, but seems fitting for the first day of October.

Share your predictions of what 2025 will bring. These can be serious guesses based on global factors, pattern matching, crystal ball or simply hopecasting. 😆

Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted (edited)

I'm expecting the rest of 2024 to be varying degrees of junk but hopefully Nov and Dec will be merely mild, dull and drizzly rather than very wet.

I'm sincerely hoping that we haven't seen some kind of climate change switch which is going to cause catastrophic rainfall in coming years, so I'm going with something more optimistic.

Will limit things to the first 9 months for now. A lot of it's hopecasting but is also influenced by "what hasn't it done for a while" and the theory that the long wet run will be followed by a long dry run, as "nature has a way of balancing itself" or so the theory goes.

Going with the "mild and dry" theme for winter, hoping that it still applies as "any type of dry" in the winter is badly needed.

January - the Bartlett high is in a particularly favourable position for extreme mild, so the mildest on record. No silly high temps, more like a constant 12-14 in the south with the absolute max 15. Dull with frequent drizzle, but little heavy rain. Consequently drier than average in the south. In contrast to this year, a cold front and shift in the high position will lead to a somewhat colder last two or three days with days close to average and night frosts - but not enough to prevent the record mild.

February - the high will shift to be often over the UK or Central Europe, sometimes even Scandinavia. In contrast to Jan it will be sunny with cold nights, and varying daytime temps but rather on the mild side. Not unlike Feb 2008 on the whole. At the end the high migrates towards the Atlantic and we end up with a keen NW-ly or N-ly bringing snow showers. Dry, sunny, CET a little above average but not much.

March - the first 10 days provide cold and breezy weather with some wet spells and sleet/snow showers in frequent NW-lies or N-lies. Then the Azores high migrates again and we enjoy a decent March for the first time in three years with sunny and rather warm weather for the rest of the month. Consequently sunnier, warmer and drier than normal.

April - a northerly plunge sets in at the beginning of the month and an embedded polar low brings a heavy snow event to the south, April 2008-style. Following this are a few days of keen N-lies, wintry showers and some of the coldest April weather for a while, before high pressure builds in off the Atlantic and gradually rises the temps to 21C+ by mid-month.  Following this a cold front produces a second cold spell though only wintry showers this time, while the closing days see the low to the east migrate westwards and a hazy and rather showery but warm SE-ly takes over. Another rather dry month with temps around average, the fourth dry month in a row.

May - the typical May easterlies are a feature of the first half of the month which is warm but there are showers and thunderstorms about. After that a brief hot spell sends temps up to 27C but the last 10 days are cool and wet with cyclonic W-lies/NW-lies. Overall warmer but slightly duller and wetter than normal, the first wet month of 2025.

June - after a dry theme to June in recent years sadly this one won't be. A constant run of lows moving from WNW-ESE produces a dull, wet and cool month, one of the dullest and wettest on record and the coolest since 1991. At least there are some interesting thunderstorms with hail at times. Absolute max just 24C.

July - also provides a contrast to the Julys of recent years. The last of June's lows migrates eastwards and the Azores high builds in to produce a very different July to the last two. This brings in a warm to hot and sunny spell for the first three weeks but with a couple of thundery breakdowns followed by Azores high rebuilds. Some locally high rainfall totals but more like classic thunderstorms rather than Sep-2024 style deluges. Hottest temps around 34C.

The final 10 days are more unsettled but still warm with slack lows west of Ireland and some showers around.

Warm, rather sunny, and rather dry.

August - typically changeable for August, wetter than 2024 but comparable sunshine and temperatures. Sunshine average, temps a little above, rainfall a little above. One heat spike leads to another occurrence of 34C.

September - the dry Septembers finally return to the south which has a very dry September, one of the driest on record with an Azores high building in. The north is dull and damp. Warm with most days at least 20C in the south. Absolute max 27.

Just a bit of fun and something to give hope as we enter the dullest, wettest and gloomiest time of year.

Edited by Summer8906
  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
Posted

we will all be a year older by this time in 2025..if we all make it that far..it will also be a quarter of century since the turn of the millennium  

  • Like 3
Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted (edited)

 cheeky_monkey That is frightening. 2000 is as close to 1975 (a year I can barely remember) as it is to next year.

Yet the difference between 1975 and 2000 seems infinitely more than the difference between 2000 and now.

And next year, 1985 will be halfway back to the war.

Why do I always get the feeling I'm living in the future these days?

Edited by Summer8906
  • Like 7
Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, historically West Yorks, 225m asl
  • Weather Preferences: All 4 seasons and a good mixture of everything and anything!
  • Location: Saddleworth, historically West Yorks, 225m asl
Posted (edited)

I think it will consist of 12 months, 52 weeks and 365 days. 

I reckon at least one of those days will see a bit of drizzle.

Edited by StretfordEnd1996
Posted
  • Location: Twickenham, London
  • Weather Preferences: Csa/Csb
  • Location: Twickenham, London
Posted

The rest of 2024 will continue the exceptionally wet and dull run, and then into 2025...

Jan: cold, dryish and sunny like the preceeding 2 Januaries. Temps 7/2c, 40mm rain and 80 sun hours.

Feb: as above. 8/2c, 25mm, 90 sun hours

Mar: a classic good March after a few years of rubbish. 13/4c, 20mm rain and 170 sun hours.

Apr: an average month, the first 20c day of the year. 15/6c, 40mm, 180 sun hours.

May: cool, wet and dull. 17/7c, 90mm, 150 sun hours

Jun: starting off like May, ending like July. 21/12c, 50mm, 190 sun hours

Jul: pleasantly warm throughout, extremely dry and sunny. 25/15c, 10mm, 270 sun hours.

Aug: the hottest month on record, with 40c recorded in London. 29c/18c, 20mm, 260 sun hours.

Sep: a return to typical Septembers with pleasant conditions throughout. 22/11c, 40mm, 160 sun hours.

Oct: exceptionally warm, dry and sunny. The first 20c October. 20c/9c, 15mm, 170 sun hours.

Nov: another very mild, dry and sunny month. 14c/6c, 30mm, 100 sun hours.

Dec: average temperatures, dry and sunny. 9/3c, 40mm, 70 sun hours.

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and sun in winter; warm and bright otherwise; not a big storm fan
  • Location: Bewdley, Worcs; 90m asl
Posted

 LetItSnow Rain. More rain. Even more rain. Lots of rain. Plenty of rain. Record-breaking rain. Flooding rain. Heavy rain. Squally rain. Cold rain. Warm rain. Westerly rain. Southerly rain. Easterly rain. Northerly rain. Cyclonic rain. Anticyclonic rain.

Quite a year for rain enthusiasts. Don't miss 2025 if you love your rain!

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
  • Insightful 1
Posted
  • Location: Wiltshire
  • Weather Preferences: Freezing Fog, Clear blue skies and sunny (cold/warm), snow
  • Location: Wiltshire
Posted (edited)

January - Extremely mild, even warm on a day or two, breaking some date records for warmth on one or two days. This will be discussed enthusiastically on the Met Office deep dives as if its something exciting and wonderous instead of the terrible omen that it is. Below average sunshine levels. Extremely dull in the south. Wet, wet, wet, wet, wet. Catastrophic flooding for some. 

February - Mild, wet, dull. Maybe not as mild as January courtesy of a 36 hour transient northerly that gives one night of air frost for the entire country.
Scotland manages its only sub -10 recording of the whole winter in some weather station right at the top of the Cairngorms. This brings the CET down from extrmely mild to just very mild for the whole month.  Southwesterlies before and after 18-36 hr northerly event.  Very wet. More flooding. 

March - SSW happens. Sunny enough to bring the south to about average sunshine levels, maybe just a litle below. The constant, relentless rain gets a little chillier. 25 minutes of sleet reported in Shetland isles. Temperatures just above average. 

April - effect of early spring SSW begins to be felt. Chilly, even cold rain. The snow everyone hoped for at Christmas now arrives just as everyone is sick to the stomach of winter and fed up of feeling chilly.  24 hours of wet snow for many places in the uk that melts as soon as it stops snowing. Blossom and other vegetation damaged by late frost. Temps just below average. 

May - cold, dull, wet, courtesy of SSW. Temps average out due to a very warm spell in the final week.

June - hot, dry and sunny, early heatwave breaks records as temps recorded above 32 c for 4-5 days on the trot. Wall to wall sunshine and blue skies all month long.

July - Bill received for June. With added tax. Dull, wet and chilly. CET still above average despite the awful weather and lack of sun which will make sense to no-one, yet will still somehow be the case, as usual. 

August - see July, save for a week long heatwave courtesy of a Spannish plume that will see temperatures soar into the low 40's. This will be discussed on Met Office deep dives as an exciting, interesting weather event instead of the sad, unnatural, destrcutive omen it actually is. People will comment on the glorious weather. Many of these people will have cardiac arrests and strokes that week and become seriously ill. No-one will make the connection. Final week; dull, wet and chilly. 

September - warm, dry and sunny. Blue skies and perfect temps all month long. 
 

October - Bill received for Septmeber. With added tax. Devastatingly wet. Dull. Record breakingly warm leading to a dull autumn display that's as green as July right to the end of the month. Adverts on TV and shop fronts will feature autumn "themed" displays of orange and red leaves and wreaths of multi coloured foliage that bear no resemblance whatsover to what is actually happening outside. Magazine articles will feature recipes for "cosy" autumn soups designed to "warm" the heart as the seasons "change" but its still basically late summer and looks like it too. Temps way above average.

November - trees begin to lose leaves finally. Slowly. Some staying green to the end of the month, like 2022. Warm, wet, dull. 

December. See November except for one week of Northerlies courtesy of a weak atlantic ridge that allows some air frost and snow for NE Scotland and northern hills for 24 hours. It will feel seasonably appropriate and the country will be allowed to look over their Christmas trees at some actual Christmassy weather very briefly. It will make people want to eat their budget, Aldi mince pies in front of their electric fires that they can't afford to switch on while watching A Muppet Christmas carol. This reverie will be rudley broken by a return to southwesterly gales straight after. Mild, wet and dull through Christmas and to the end of the month. 

I will put up every penny of my entire life savings to back this. 

 

Edited by Atleastitwillbemild
  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Wiltshire
  • Weather Preferences: Freezing Fog, Clear blue skies and sunny (cold/warm), snow
  • Location: Wiltshire
Posted

 Arctic Hare Oh but you forgot "unsettled" 

That's what meteorologists like to call it when its been raining every single day for 7 months and a large felled Oak tree is laying across your driveway. 

"A bit unsettled" is when its only been raining every day for 5 months and the Oak tree is laying across the grass in the park instead. 

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
Posted (edited)

 Summer8906 When I look back to the UK in 2000, I see a very different country to the one we have now. 

The UK felt like an optimistic country in 2000 - people were generally positive about the country and its future. In contrast, the UK in 2024 feels like a very cynical place where everyone expects everything to only ever get worse. The national mood has arguably never been as low as it is now (the unrelenting wet weather certainly doesn’t help either).

Here’s hoping to a better 2025, in all aspects…

Edited by cheese
  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal with some variety
  • Location: Birmingham, West Midlands
Posted (edited)

My prediction for 2025 is that it will be a month of contrasting halves. The first half of the year will continue with the dull and wet pattern we have been experiencing throughout much of 2024. The second half of the year (starting from around the time schools break up for the summer) will be a lot more settled with every month from August to December receiving below average rainfall.

January - Mild and wet with a notably mild New Year's Day and very little to no cold days. The warmest January since 2020.

February - Another mild and wet month with little to no cold. The wettest February on record for some areas and there will be a very stormy second half followed by an SSW at month's end.

March - In true British fashion, the best of the wintry weather happens during March, rather than during the winter. A very cold spell early on in the month and the coldest since 2018 with snow showers in some areas. Quite a dull month overall and things turn unsettled after the cold snap with numerous washout days.

April - A fairly typical April with sunshine and showers, but with very little warmth except for areas in the SE. The first 20 Celsius day of the year in Heathrow later on in the month.

May - A very warm and sunny spell early in the month with temps reaching the mid to late 20s. After that, predominently unsettled and cool for the time of year, making the warm spell at the beginning of the month feel like a lifetime ago.

June - The wettest June since 2016 and an unseasonal stormy spell around mid month, though quite a warm month nonetheless. A couple of warm and sunny days around the solstice.

July - Predominently dull and wet for the first few weeks with temperatures around the seasonal average or even just below at times. Things improve by the fourth week which will be very welcome for many.

August - The best month of the summer with temps and sunshine both above average. Quite a dry month overall except for thunderstorms at times. 

September - The driest September since 2014, and quite sunny though not particularly warm. With it being a high pressure dominated month there will be some chilly single digit nights from around mid month onwards which brings the CET down.

October - Another dry month with high pressure bringing more chilly single digit nights and a frost for many areas. Fairly mild at first but turns cooler as the month progresses. Around average sunshine levels overall.

November - A nondescript November dominated by anticyclonic gloom. Very dry, though there will be drizzle at times.

December - The first couple of weeks will be very sunny with cold frosty days and below freezing nights. After this, there will be a snowy spell for a few days. The remainder of the month will be much milder with anticyclonic gloom. Quite a dry December with the majority of the precipitation being in the form of snow.

 

Edited by Weather Enthusiast91
  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted (edited)

 B87 An amazingly good year on the whole. Only issue is no snow but I would definitely welcome the year in general. Shame about the awful May but I guess it's only one month.

It would be as good as 2024 was bad.

Mind you a 29C mean max for August is probably unrealistic for anywhere in NW Europe, particularly as the last third of the month usually shows a marked cooling. It would have to be like August 2003 with the hot locked in all month, in contrast to 2003 when the second half was cloudier and slightly changeable at times.

 Arctic Hare Isn't that 2024 you're describing? 😉

Edited by Summer8906
  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted

 Atleastitwillbemild Well, at least June and September are good.

Indeed perhaps with two very sunny months, it's a marginal improvement upon 2024!

Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted (edited)

 cheese I know what you mean, the late 90s/early 00s were an optimistic time. The first half of the 2020s are just dismal and depressing, on the whole.

I was thinking that in the year 2000 we already had the internet, etc, and many of the features of the contemporary world.

Things like music also changed far more between 1975 and 2000 than between 2000 and now. The late 20th century to me seemed a time of big change. But part of it is likely to be because 1975 is a time which I don't have a clear memory of (though I was around, just).

Of course 1975 and 2000 do have their similarities. Even though the 70s had problems there seemed to be a steady social progress in the late 20th century and into the early 21st. And of course (and I realise I am being political) hating the EEC/EU was unfashionable in both 1975 and 2000, in contrast to the 2020s.

Edited by Summer8906
Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted (edited)

 Weather Enthusiast91 There do seem to be a lot of predictions on here for the first half of 2025 being a write-off, which is worrying.

If that happens that will be two solid years of appalling weather, broken only by June and August this year, so I'm hoping this will not be the case. Hence my more optimistic prediction, albeit with a bit of realism there too (mostly mild winter, most months warm). It's got to end soon... right?

Edited by Summer8906
Posted
  • Location: Leeds
  • Weather Preferences: snow, heat, thunderstorms
  • Location: Leeds
Posted

 Summer8906 yeah, I think it’s very age dependent. I was 12/13 in 2000 so from my perspective that feels like a very big difference, whereas if you were already an adult in 2000 the difference won’t seem anywhere near as substantial. Heck, to someone my mum’s age the world has barely changed at all since 1990 🤣

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard, Central Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Just take whatever is offered.
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard, Central Bedfordshire
Posted (edited)

Reckon next year will be a blend of 2021 and 2014 tbf, possibly 1989 as well.    

Edited by Addicks Fan 1981
Posted
  • Location: York
  • Weather Preferences: Long warm summer evenings. Cold frosty sunny winter days.
  • Location: York
Posted

According to another thread we are likely to be suffering a nuclear winter!!!

  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard, Central Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Just take whatever is offered.
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard, Central Bedfordshire
Posted

 jonboy it could be like 1988-89, horrible thought.   

Posted
  • Location: Islington, C. London.
  • Location: Islington, C. London.
Posted (edited)

I think 2025 will break the trend of extreme rainfall to some extent, but whether that means a dry year or just more dry periods than 23 and 24, I'm not sure. I think there's every chance it could be another wet year, but less so than 2023 and 2024. It could turn very dry though like 2003 did after 1998-2002.

I also think it will break the trend of anomalous warmth, but again, in today's world I don't expect a cool year or a year without very much above average months.

I think the winter will be a colder one that we've seen for a while, though nowadays there's so much caution needed predicting anything cold in the winter. I think one of the three winter months could deliver a genuine classic spell but I don't see the entire winter being cold, perhaps episodic. I think in the milder phases there could still be periods of very high rainfall but overall I think it'll be an average/rather dry winter for rain.

The spring I reckon could be quite dynamic with large contrasts but overall quite dry and sunny with some notable spells of both cold and hot weather. The summer I think has a higher chance of being hot or even very hot, I think perhaps a classic summer. In modern times it seems as though we get a hot summer every 3-5 years, plus the past two have generally have been on the tame side (in peak season anyway). I see either summer 2025 or summer 2026 being a scorcher, yet I reckon it doesn't see an anomalous heat spike in contrast to recent years and is generally more stable, homegrown heat - like 1976 or 2018.

The rest of 2025 is very far away but perhaps further episodic spells of heat and early chill. What I predict most of all is 2025 to be a year with enhanced seasons, at least compared to recent years.

For those who want a bit of fun reading some predictions...

January 2025: Very cold and "dry" with variable sunshine. Frequent easterlies, the intensity of these deciding whether an unpleasantly raw month with only faint snow grains or a genuinely lock in to the freezer. The high then retrogresses and the polar vortex unleashes itself over north-west Europe - again, the strength deciding whether this gives marginal snow events or a December 2010 redux. The potential for a sub-zero CET.

February 2025: Rather cold but wet and rather dull. Perhaps the leftover from late January gives an intense freeze up in the first half, or the remnants of, but then somewhat offset by turning mild or very mild in the second half as pressure slips and winds come from the south. Perhaps like February 1978. A very wet month in places with up to 300-400% "rainfall" but perhaps a lot of that falls as snow.

March 2025: Sunny but very wet with average temperatures. Frequent low pressure in the first half, sometimes on a southerly track bringing marginal snow events but a lot of very heavy rain. Turning milder in the second half as pressure builds to the south and perhaps gives the first taste of spring, though perhaps fuelling more heavy rain events, this time focused on the north. Another extremely wet month in places which gives fears 2025 will be another washout...

April 2025: Mild but near normal rainfall with variable sunshine. A dry and perhaps even quite warm first half as high pressure dominates with temperatures into the 20s at times, but becoming unstable in the second half with frequent meandering low pressure systems, these not being neccesarily overly cold but very showery with some frequent thunderstorms. A thundery April in places and one that in some places is very wet, yet dry in others.

May 2025: Rather warm and fairly sunny with variable rainfall. A month of two halves with the first half being unsettled with fairly frequent rain bands and thunderstorms, but then turning much drier with high pressure dominating the second chance and perhaps even turning rather hot.

June 2025: Warm, dry and sunny but not exceptionally so. A dry and warm, perhaps even hot first half with high pressure dominating and winds in from the east, perhaps sparking some thunderstorms. Later it turns cooler and more unsettled from the Atlantic but not so much a washout, more changeable with the south spared the worst.

July 2025: Rather warm, dry and sunny. A changeable and perhaps quite cool first half, though the south escapes the brunt with ridges at times. Turning hotter in the second half as a substantial build of pressure from the south emerges and potentially carries some notably hot air from Spain/North Africa, though building in a more stable sense than a one day wonder.

August 2025: Very hot and sunny but with variable rainfall. A hot, perhaps even very hot first half with a lot of dry weather, but becoming unsettled later though remaining warm and humid. Perhaps a tropical feel to the month at times with thundery potential.

Septembver 2025: Average temperatures but wet and dull. A warm and unsettled first half with frequent southerlies and a cooler second half with more of a northerly and westerly influence, but remaining low pressure dominated,

October 2025: Extremely wet with average temperatures and sunshine. Instead of being a dry October after a run of wet ones, it does the unthinkable and becomes the wettest October on record. Low pressure virtually every day and copious amounts of rainfall. The wettest month on record. Biblical rainfall in the second half in particular.

November 2025: Very wet but cold and sunny. Further very wet weather but on an increasingly southerly track, especially in the second half. There could be some early snow events in the north as northerly winds plunge south, hence why despite it being very wet for many it would probably be sunny due to sunshine between showers and rain bands.

December 2025: Cold and sunny and rather dry. A cold and snowy first half, at least in places, then a substantial build of high pressure in the second half giving a lot of frost and fog. Very seasonable December.

@Summer8906 Would satisfy many but an autumn 2000 redux would put quite the dampener on things.

Edited by LetItSnow
  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted (edited)

 Addicks Fan 1981 Better 88-89 than 13-14, 15-16, 19-20 or even 23-24 !

4 hours ago, Addicks Fan 1981 said:

Reckon next year will be a blend of 2021 and 2014 tbf, possibly 1989 as well. 

I guess if we took 1989 and replace its Jan with that of 2021, and its March with that of 2014 and its April with that of 2021 it would be a pretty good year on the whole.

Of course we could end up with a Jan/Feb 2014 repeat, then March and April 1989, then the May and the summer of 2021. That would be quite the opposite!

Edited by Summer8906
Posted
  • Location: Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Warm-by-day sunny thundery summers , short cold snowy winters.
  • Location: Hampshire
Posted

 LetItSnow Yes, I mostly like your 2025. A rubbish autumn but mostly interesting remainder of the year, though March depends on whether that milder second half is dry in the south.

Posted
  • Location: Midgard 🌍
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme Aurora Volcanic Lightning
  • Location: Midgard 🌍
Posted

Hot as hell then cold…. 

Posted
  • Location: Birmingham, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Seasonal with some variety
  • Location: Birmingham, West Midlands
Posted (edited)
21 hours ago, Weather Enthusiast91 said:

My prediction for 2025 is that it will be a month of contrasting halves.

Oops... only just noticed. I was meant to say a year of contrasting halves. Too late to edit now though. 😁

Edited by Weather Enthusiast91

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