Will it? Won't it? Nowcasting snow risk Monday and Tuesday

[Mcconnor8]

 Bedknobs and Boomsticks quite impressive already given it will get colder, this could end up outperforming!

[marksp]

 Bedknobs and Boomsticks hi another weather watcher from matlock, mega.

snowing here now, also snowing heavy in middleton, could be an epic night

[Ball Lightning]

Just headed down to a village about 250m in the Cotswolds. It's about 3.5C however it's still all rain.

[RJBingham]

 Sparky68  we1330 Cold rain falling in Somersham.

[minus10]

Raining here as expected...certainly dont expect to see any wet snow...what i do find odd is that the HD models still seem to be different to the latest met office video for tomorrow at 1pm for example...

Harmonie, Arome, Arpege , ukmo hd and just for good measure gfs 12z..

....and the met video (the week ahead)

...no sign of the precipitation being shown at 1pm tomorrow by the HDs (and gfs)..

...while i am not disputing that the mo have a good handle on this with all the relevant info available to them...if the mo has it correct then what is the point of the HD models if what they are seeing is just not correct ?...anyway those that do see snow...enjoy..

[ChezWeather]

Light snow now falling here at ~110m

[Staffordshire]

 sorepaw1 and the majority of the N midlands…

[danm]

2 hours ago, SqueakheartLW said:

Have you noticed that place on the southern pennines that has a DP of 8C amongst the negative values just around it

Yeh that's obv a rogue, incorrect reading!

[Paul]

Current state of play - snow mostly up over the hills for now at the very least. 

https://www.netweather.tv/live-weather/radar

(Click the weather type on button to get this sort of view on the free radar - image above is from the Extra radar). 

[Sparky68]

 Paul Got a 4" high kerb out front if that counts 

[Paul]

 Sparky68 You may need to find a slightly taller one. 

[ChezWeather]

Just starting to stick on the car roof

[Sparky68]

 ChezWeather Nice

[feb1991blizzard]

4c - dewpoint just below freezing - that was 4pm.

[Coldie24]

Not bothered going out today in the rain.
 

[sorepaw1]

 ChezWeather what are you shopping at Aldi for a sledge.lol.

[Sparky68]

Quite heavy rain now

[ChezWeather]

 sorepaw1 Panic buying all the snow shovels and bags of salt!

[John in the frozen north]

-1 in my garden here in Hexham at 140m. I think we are too far north for the snow tonight 

[Freeze]

 ChezWeather it must be comforting knowing in your location you're almost guarenteed snow every winter without fail!

[AltonMatthew]

 Paul don't agree we are on what's showing as rain and we have really heavy snow here and settling. Beautiful! 

 Paul current view from my living room window here in ST10 staffs moorlands

[AltonMatthew]

Current View Alton, Staffordshire Moorlands! Yes I've got my decs up but it's lovely with this thick snowfall we're getting! Lovely to see!

[Mcconnor8]

ECM 12Z compared to observed,  looks a good match with it maybe a touch South on observed and the low more stretched.

 AltonMatthew You've got so much longer of this to as well wow

[Daniel_c150311]

don't know what uk your all in but here its 8.9c rising and raining

[smichling]

Although now surface observations and radar are where to look to nowcast it, it seems the UKV holdout could be coming to an end or at least moving to a middle ground with the other hi-res models. 

The 15Z now shows a marked increase in precip across the midlands and Wales tomorrow morning. Hopefully the images attach in the right order but they should show the 12Z vs 15Z at 6am, 9am and 12pm tomorrow. All three frames in the 15Z now have at least something falling from the sky! Temps do generally look favourable for snow to fall at around 1-2C but I can't see DP (does the UKV do DP or can I just not find it) and I also wouldn't expect any light snow to settle, but maybe worth finding a lamppost at least. Interesting to see the change come from the UKV so late.