Ongoing snow risk. Will it, has it, where you are?

[Eagle Eye]

Snow Outlook - Tue Night/Wed (forgot to post this so it's my friends discussion and a bit late) 

 

Snow showers will affect E Eng, Scotland, Ireland, Wales into parts of SW England where 0-3cm could be seen especially over higher ground. 

 

Further north accumulations can be expected much higher due to frequency & intensity being stronger

[HarvSlugger]

We need the Thursday low to deepen so it tracks more north but currently it's actually weaker than it should be,small differences I know, but could mean alot tomorrow

[Blessed Weather]

 Jayfromcardiff Here's an animation for the next 48 hours from hi-res model Harmonie. It's suggesting that today there will be some snow showers into Pembrokeshire, and then on Thurs a sliding low sees the potential for something more substantial for high ground in the SW and S Wales. Temps obviously an important factor as the system will bring milder air with forecasts suggesting 6C for the tip of Cornwall versus close to zero on the top of the S Wales hills.

Harmonie midday Thurs:

Here's a still from the Met Office forecast for 10am Thurs:

Chart Source: https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/harmonie.php?ech=3&mode=1&map=541

EDIT: Sorry, Meteociel animation not working so have put a still in the post. Follow the link above to follow all time slots.

 

[Ben Sainsbury]

Well from what I can see, positive trends overnight. Much of Devon, Somerset and Dorset seem to be within the scope of possibility when it comes to snowfall, some settling, on Thursday.

[HarvSlugger]

 Blessed Weather I'm at 200m in Pembrokeshire 

Definitely will be cold enough for snow on Thursday,but it needs to go more north

[tight isobar]

Expecting another slight covering this morning here West Oxfordshire. As have many in the midlands thread- not expecting quite as much as yesterday as the showers decay through migration.. however I’ve a keen eye on developments over the next few days as noted systems take inflow.. and as again possible pop up features in the flow….            @ incoming 

Edited November 20 by tight isobar

[festivalking]

Big snow on dartmoor this morning. Started as rain then turned into big wet flakes all from this shower 

[andy989]

We have thunder snow 

[Andrew Hurcomb]

2ND DAY IN A ROW!

 

[HarvSlugger]

Miss

Miss

Miss..

[HarvSlugger]

Look at UKV for now compared to reality

Showers much heavier and bigger in reality!

[bluearmy]

 HarvSlugger if you use the models as being indicative rather than a specific picture then it helps. UKV is showing precip in the right areas. you’re not going to get it showing  activity all the right size and in all the right places to a few miles!   (Especially showers) 

[snowstorm27x]

Around 2cm fell here again last nite bk to bk snow day great start. Showers popping up without notice. Remember we are in very unstable air with warm seas. Good luck to the South for tomorrow hope it's your turn soon. 

[easton888]

Light snow here in Hampstead!

[sundog]

Looks good atm for the southern half of Ireland tonight and tomorrow morning. 

[HarvSlugger]

 sundog harmonie has it going right through south Wales other models don't hmmm

[Bricriu]

Had a patchy covering of snow on Monday night and again last night. The showers just peter out  before they get here. It looks  like I am too far north to get the snow tonight.

[HarvSlugger]

Was supposed to be low single digits max in the day with this cold spell it's currently 6.4c...

[Mcconnor8]

Latest Harmonie looks good for the South West & South Central on Thursday morning as well as the North West and Midlands on Thursday Night from the occlusion running through, these showers are likely underestimated as well.

[easton888]

 Mcconnor8 how about London?

[TonyH]

 HarvSlugger really? It's 0.4c here, yesterday max 3.5c was the coldest November day since 2010!

[Mcconnor8]

 easton888

There is a chance these snow showers could reach London in the early hours of Friday morning but I wouldn't expect them to be as potent, tomorrow it will likely be rain if it reaches London.

 

[TonyH]

 bluearmy Yes as an indication it's pretty useful.

[rabbit butty]

I have snow up on the Lincolnshire Wolds, drinking rum infused hot chocolate.

[HarvSlugger]

 TonyH wow! Yeah that's how warm Pembrokeshire is in winter, so hard to get snow it's unbelievable and that me at 184m elevation imagine Pembrokeshire coast