Ongoing snow risk. Will it, has it, where you are?

[Gonzolio Martinez]

If I see a single flake of snow, I'll be flabbergasted.
In recent times, everything coming down from the North Sea gets redirected east just north of Cromer and just drifts around me - it happened last year, it happened again last night, I fully expect the same thing to happen today.

[Ben Sainsbury]

Not sure how much to rely on this as I have very little experience with the model, but the ECM AI version produces an output for Thursday much more akin to the Harmonie than the rest of the models. Saw someone mention on another thread that it's verification statistics are pretty decent but not sure where to find them myself.

[Snowandrocks]

Another 5-10cm of fresh overnight means we now have between 21 and 27cm lying on more open areas. Still a few beefy snow showers blowing through on the wind with fresh warnings now out for the next few days. XC skis looked out for this afternoon. 

[Mcconnor8]

 Ben Sainsbury This is from a while ago but shows AIFS outperforms on the broad 500mb anomalies compared to other models, but I don't know how good it is at modelling exact rainfall positioning etc

Edited November 20 by Mcconnor8

[A Face like Thunder]

Monday night's snow has stuck around and very icy despite some sun this morning. Not expecting more snow today, but a hard frost and more ice tonight and showers through the Cheshire Gap tomorrow seem possible. Main snow activity today seems to have switched to NE England and some snow showers which have made it to landfall on the coast and moors. Saturday? No idea at present but suspect it will be rain rather than snow here and windy.   

[HarvSlugger]

7.4c here... Good cold spell

[Sceptical]

15-20cm around the house. Further heavy snow forecast Thursday evening, weather warnings issued.

 

Edited November 20 by Sceptical

[Paul]

Interesting snow risks from the MOGREPS UK for the next 24 hours or so - please note these are pre-production maps, hence no times etc on them and a non-standard colour scale. 

Today - 1200, 1500, 1800, 2100

 

Tomorrow: 0000, 0300, 0600, 0900, 1200,1500

  

  

And a bit further ahead, breakdown at the weekend - this is for Saturday at midday

 

 

 

[Ben Sainsbury]

As Sceptical has mentioned, Met O weather warnings have updated and now a yellow snow warning too for SW England tomorrow for much of Devon but excluding much of Cornwall.

Edited November 20 by Ben Sainsbury

[HarvSlugger]

 Paul wow they look way further north with Thursdays precipitation!

[Paul]

 HarvSlugger That's just the snow risk 

[HarvSlugger]

Yes I know, I didn't expect to be that high for Pembrokeshire 

I can confirm here is the warmest out the whole UK, currently 8.5c

8.5c

Met office says 3c

I was expecting abit of snow today but it's 8c welcome to Pembrokeshire 

[Paul]

 HarvSlugger It's further south earlier in the day, but obviously will be going back to rain as it all moves north. 

[Mcconnor8]

UKV snow depth at 6PM Saturday as the front is moving through.

My 3PM Sunday the majority has melted away already.

Edited November 20 by Mcconnor8

[Weather vane]

I posted this in the model discussion thread but probably belongs better here.

Decent snow chances for southern Ireland tonight. Met Eireann has an orange warning out for Munster area. Dry ground and cold lead up temps bode well for inland accumulations. Not all weather models showing precip extent of ECM, so hoping that model is correct !

 

[JamesL]

Well it’s been a fascinating couple of days here in S Wales Valleys. Snow yesterday (settling above 200m) and this morning saw heavy settling snow right down to around 100m. 
 

Just gone over to collect my wife from Merthyr (just had a baby girl) and a nice covering up at 300m over the top of the mountain. 
 

Tomorrow is pretty hit and miss as the front “may” graze S Wales but may miss. To have 3 consecutive days of falling and settling snow in Autumn would be incredible. We had none last winter let alone autumn 

 

Video below taking our son to school in the bottom of the valley. 

Edited November 20 by JamesL
Add video

[Ben Sainsbury]

Just keeping a watch on developments in the Atlantic with these two systems. From what I can tell the southern-most feature looks to be as forecast at the moment, the northern feature however seems to be shallower than expected. I'm not sure on future impacts as a result of this.

[Methuselah]

It's almost blizzard conditions just now. I hope it stays until 9 am tomorrow! 

[Blessed Weather]

 Methuselah Looking good up there in Beccles Pete. The radar shows much more of a feature than earlier forecasts suggested:

13.55

[HarvSlugger]

 Ben Sainsbury I hope the northern feature being more south than forecasted, better not make the low go further south 

Edited November 20 by HarvSlugger

[Methuselah]

 Blessed Weather

I'd thought that that might be the case, as the wind has backed into the west. So, thank you, Bert Foord! 

[HarvSlugger]

Harmonie going for 7-10 cm for me Thursday, I am not getting my hopes up

I just can't see that happening

[HarvSlugger]

 

UKV also much better

[Sparky68]

 Methuselah Make sure you get some pictures so the rest of us snow starved in the East have something to be bitter about

[Methuselah]

 Sparky68

When I get a new phone!