Storm Darragh - Red Warning Issued

[Paul]

Storm Darragh has been named for this weekend. Met Office Amber warnings for wind have been issued:

[LeeRoyxD]

stay safe everyone! 

[Mcconnor8]

Arpege certainly going for the jugular with the wind gusts even inland as is the ICON, hopefully both overdoing it as they do have a tendency to do so, max speeds across the duration shown.

Edited December 5, 2024 by Mcconnor8

[Ian Ballinger]

I'm actually worried about this one, My roof tiles look fragile as it is

[Liam Burge]

Every forecast has been slowly upping the maximum wind gusts for my location. Met is now at 68mph gusts (with 60mph gusts for multiple hours). That's the highest I've seen be forecast for my location since the red warning from Eunice. I'm almost shocked to see the Met not upgrade the impact of the warning to the highest calibre. 

 

Anyway, I'm gonna be driving to Minehead in the morning on Saturday to watch the waves - seems like the strongest gusts may coincide with the highest tides. Stay safe everyone!

[Sky Full]

 Ian Ballinger   Ditto!  I was expecting to meet a roofer last weekend but he couldn’t make it - I guess the work wouldn’t have been possible this soon anyway.   As things stand the wind direction looks predominately northerly which is the least likely to cause damage where I am but if we see 50-60 mph sustained wind speeds then all bets are off!  

[HarvSlugger]

 Sky Full northerly is my most exposed direction

[Sky Full]

 HarvSlugger   Yes, I guess we’re in the same boat but our house is aligned east/west with the weakest slope facing south and we have some trees to the north so I’m hoping the gusts might be reduced below the potential maximum.  I’m not surprised the warning level was raised but there’s still a chance the models have over-exaggerated the highest gusts anyway.

[The PIT]

Well a windy spell today later on which seems to be running behind schedule then the later fun starts tomorrow into the weekend. It looks like we will miss the worst of it as the low tracks over or close to our position but I'll find out during Saturday. Interestingly looking at the latest ECM hi res shows nothing much at all for us.

[StingJet]

Tightly packed isobars on the sw/w flank with 1043mb of ridged AH , the occlusion looks rather vicious,  flow at peak will be nw/nnw  6am to noon , well over 80mph gusts with exposure to the windflow,  pretty much anywhere from Liverpool Bay down to Lands End 






 

Edited December 5, 2024 by StingJet

[HarvSlugger]

 Sky Full I live at the lowest point of Hermon,in abit of a ditch, I'm blocked from trees and buildings all around me except for northerlies/NW, insanely exposed from there,this storm will be interesting 

[Rammie]

I wonder if the amber will get extended to the east . 

[The PIT]

The gust for it to beat here 77mph on the 21st of Dec last year here.

[StingJet]

Not very often one sees F9-F11 on the inshore waters forecast 

[Anthony Burden]

Afternoon all,Amber warnings look set to be extended to other parts of the UK this storm is looking like being the big Daddy overriding Bert etc.

[Mcconnor8]

There is some disagreement between the UKMO and ECM on the exit point of the low around Midday on Saturday, the ECM is deeper and further North, the UKMO would spare the SE of the stronger winds during Saturday Afternoon compared to the ECM.

Edited December 5, 2024 by Mcconnor8

[HarvSlugger]

UKV has slightly upgraded the winds again!! this storm is different compared to Eunice, the high gusts with Eunice struggled to get in land in Pembrokeshire,but this storm, the whole of Pembrokeshire is 80+mph gusts unbelievable!!

Edited December 5, 2024 by HarvSlugger

[Mcconnor8]

 HarvSlugger I look forward to seeing if you get more than a few twigs worth of damage this time lol

[Jordan S]

Very strong winds will be widespread but particularly the western half of the UK, gales widely for inland Wales/northern Ireland, and perhaps southwest England/ far northwest England aswell, severe gales around western coasts and with them from the northwest/north the problems/damage will likely be exacerbated in some places.

Track of storm..

Here's a broad view of the wind gusts to expect..

More specifics on this below..

Early hours of Saturday..

Northern Ireland inland gusts to 55mph to possibly 70mph.

Saturday morning - Saturday mid afternoon..

Exposed western coasts so from southwest coasts to northwest England coast, but particularly west/north coast of Wales, gusts of 70-80mph are likely, could be an isolated 85mph here.

Southwest and especially western England and all of Wales and into northwest England gusts generally of upto 55-65mph inland for a time, slightly less in one or two places and locally perhaps upto 70mph.

 

Saturday morning - Sunday afternoon/evening..

Central/southern England, gusts of 40-55mph.

 

Saturday early afternoon- Sunday evening..

More uncertainty with Eastern/ far southeastern England compared with elsewhere.. but depending on track of storm gusts of 40-50mph possible, eastern coasts perhaps upto 55-60mph but really depending on exact track of storm with any small uncertainty in intensity and track mostly here hence the wider range of 40-60mph shown on the image near the beginning of this post..

Timings could of course change slightly, but this should be close.

[andy989]

I seem to be prime for some of the highest winds. Nothing unprecedented for this location, typically get 80-90 at least once a year here, being so far west with good elevation in the mountains. Places inland that aren’t used to these winds will see more damage. 

[HarvSlugger]

 Mcconnor8 its weird, Eunice was severe here but still hardly any damage but just like up the road there was alot, I think it's because I'm abit sheltered as I have higher hills all around me

Edited December 5, 2024 by HarvSlugger

[Ross90]

Yellow for rain and wind here despite the mets forecast showing gusts only into the 30s, looks like they're covering all bases as they're still unsure on the track.

[Mcconnor8]

 Ross90 Track is pretty nailed down now through Northern England, models in unanimous agreement for that.

[Sky Full]

The ‘Windy’ app currently predicts that I can expect maximum gusts of 98kph (61mph) on Saturday morning and if that proves to be true then I’ll be happy, given some of the predictions by other models.  

[Mapantz]

Met Office showing gusts close to 70mph for here on Saturday.  No chance of that!