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Posted
  • Location: Meikle Obney
  • Location: Meikle Obney
Posted

HRES EC predicting widespread 20+cm snow depth across Scottish Borders and Northern England with 40cm in places by end of the weekend.

GFS and UKV less bullish, but still show persistent, fairly heavy snow for the 5th. Yellow warning in place already.  Suspect MO are waiting for more certainty in the coming days.

 

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  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Peebles
  • Weather Preferences: well it depends.. just not haar!
  • Location: Peebles
Posted

Thanks for the warning - better hit the shops tomorrow then 🙄😬

Posted
  • Location: Boston, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms / Any abnormal weather event.
  • Location: Boston, UK
Posted

Amber warnings now issued.

Screenshot 2025-01-03 110327.png

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Posted
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
Posted

Love a marginal situation like this. There will be winners and losers.
I wouldn't be surprised to see the forecast and therefore the warning areas to keep changing slightly.  

Can't help but feel that flooding will be a problem. Heavy snowfall, followed by a day of rain for many over the weekend.

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Boston, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms / Any abnormal weather event.
  • Location: Boston, UK
Posted

 Wivenswold A day away from the event, I highly doubt any adjustments willl be made - but still possible.

Posted
  • Location: wigan
  • Location: wigan
Posted

Haven't been on here a long time, but I been watching a running battle on tiktok why bbc new weather was in stark contrast to today's announcement. Earlier this morning the weather lady said Merseyside, My Lancashire and Greater Manchester would only see rain. But 5 hours later the Met Office issued a Amber heavy snow warning for all these areas instead. I think it's due to a stiff east wind developing. That would chill the air more. But in United Kingdom why aren't all forecasts exactly the same.??? I know I come from the sixties when snow was common especially in South East. But I really don't understand why the bbc site is very differant leading many people to think that only be rain Lancashire and go out or drive due to that forecast. Thing is, who is actually right?? It's mind boggling that two major national forcasters can't agree to the extent of this chill which is serious for people like me losing my £200 energy allowance. 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Meikle Obney
  • Location: Meikle Obney
Posted

 AmatuerMet1963  Seems like a fairly marginal situation (as snow often seems to be in the UK).

Check out the UKV predicted temperature gradient not far south of you expected on Sunday evening. A crazy 8+ degree difference over <100 miles. In a situation where half a degree can be the difference between a rainy day and 40cm of snow, thats a pretty big uncertainty for the forecasters to deal with.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
  • Weather Preferences: Warm summer days with calm seas to swim in, cold frosty snowy winters
  • Location: Douglas Isle of Man
Posted

If this system is to be as impactful as the meto office would have us told, why has the system not been named? It has wind, rain, snow and its a low pressure... so couldn't it be called a "storm"?.certainly in some places where there will probably be blizzards it'll feel like a snowstorm! 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: East Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: snow or warm&dry
  • Location: East Surrey
Posted

I’m halfway between London and the coast directly south of it. I just hope to see some snow before it turns to rain. I don’t really care if it accumulates or not since it will melt anyway

Posted
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
Posted (edited)

I think we might see a red warning if the UKV was to come off (for avoidance of doubt presume way over done, but even 20cm of snow for suburbs of Leeds is significant)... It has brought the 0c 850hpa line down into South Yorkshire. ARPEGE also shifted south a bit. Nowcasting now, fascinating 48 hour ahead...

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Edited by Mark Bayley
  • Like 5
Posted
  • Location: Hermon Pembrokeshire(184M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Anything severe/extreme
  • Location: Hermon Pembrokeshire(184M ASL)
Posted

Looking like the low on Wednesday will miss the UK, not surprised, just typical really 

Posted
  • Location: Rotherham
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Frost Sun
  • Location: Rotherham
Posted

 Mark Bayley

Here in lower part of Rotherham I'm expecting it to start as Sleet stay as Sleet before turning to rain at some stage tomorrow morning whilst 6 miles West the hills of Sheffield receive a foot of Snow. 🙄

Its happened before. 

Posted
  • Location: Carlisle
  • Weather Preferences: Snow cold frost
  • Location: Carlisle
Posted

Hoping to see something from this 

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands (170m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands (170m asl)
Posted (edited)

Its not shocking it hasn't been named because its not a storm by formal definition. Met Office shouldn't be expected to name each system that brings inclement weather. Should they also name disruptive convective summer rainfall/thunderstorms as well?

Edited by Cirrusly Snowy
  • Like 8
Posted
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
Posted

Could be something to do with the timing, impacts in the early hours before snow/sleet/freezing rain turns to rain then it being only a snow hazard for high ground, the winds too, not quite bad enough to cause problems. I personally think flooding is the biggest risk across the midlands and in the NW.

If this was due to hit on Monday morning the "potential impacts" will have been higher and may have resulted in a red warning on higher ground from the Midlands north.

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: East Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: snow or warm&dry
  • Location: East Surrey
Posted

This is where the low is located. Is this further north or south of what models predict?

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
Posted

The UKV is now very much own its own in regards the northern extent of the 0c 850hpa (Roughly Doncaster), all other high res have it somewhere in North Yorkshire (between Harrogate and Ripon). Won't mean much in the grand scheme of things, other than chances of the big urban centres (Leeds, Bradford, maybe western parts of Sheffield ) hanging onto all snow are very slim.

  • Like 1
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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

Any chance of being dry tomorrow? models seem to suggest so, hoping so but met office and bbc symbols rain all day

Posted
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
  • Location: Wivenhoe, North East Essex, 2m asl
Posted

 I remember Atlantic 252 No. There may be dry spells but you've got an Atlantic low sitting over Stafford tomorrow.
Which models did you look at? ECM, GFS and UKMO all saying you'll have rain tomorrow.

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted

seem to stall the front north of me, then move back south overnight but wet on Monday

Posted
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
  • Location: Buckinghamshire
Posted

 I remember Atlantic 252

Yes the front will stall to the north of the Midlands, Some drier interludes are likely in parts of central England especially, into the afternoon after the snow/freezing rain/rain pushes north, but there will be some rain showers around within the drier slot and an active front in the west over Wales by early afternoon that may effect the west midlands soon after, bringing rain, just exact timings that differ but most likely moving into England later in the afternoon. 🙂

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Wolverhampton
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme Weather, Tornado's, Heavy snowfall, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wolverhampton
Posted

Local TV were stressing that this may drop a huge 3-7 CENTIMETRES of snow this weekend, which i found quite amusing considering we had to trek our way to school when 6" plus fell back in the eighties.

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