Jump to content
Winter
Local
Radar
Snow?

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Lancing
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Lancing
Posted (edited)

Starting a thread to track the potential for storm Eowyn at the end of next week, plenty of models going for very deep lows but it could either stay over the Atlantic or be very impactful for the UK.

17372423875864797852565850710380.thumb.png.e50ea9ccad7a69120e3e44a26c34c76b.png17372424246627556265712633324278.thumb.png.76779e7fae039d9f0c19fc2481811260.png

GFS 18z and latest AI 12z both show an impactful storm.

Edited by Jo Farrow
named storm
  • Like 6
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Yes looking interesting 60 mph gusts quiet widely. If it survives the next few days modelling will anyone name it? Met office certainly won't of their own bat so we are looking at the Irish Met office I believe.

Posted
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
Posted

Gfs control nudges it South bringing the worst winds across my area. A lot to be decided yet 

image.thumb.png.43fba4ec99860ed8b522a6c2138c1c78.png

  • Like 3
Posted
  • Location: south wales uk
  • Weather Preferences: hot and sunny
  • Location: south wales uk
Posted

Hopefully this storm moves alot more northwards,and every one (well unless it's your thing)misses us cause the last storm knocked out our power for 2 days,it's amazing how much you take for granted when the power goes off, fair play to national grid the compensation we received was very generous..

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
Posted

Risk of heavy snow Manchester Northwards with possible blizzard conditions over high ground,although the main threat will be the high wind gusts.

IMG_2803.png

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
Posted

I saw the BBC presenter earlier today talking about high wind speed/jet speed.  Has the low that is currently being identified in the models actually formed yet? And if so, is it this one, or another one?

IMG_0855.png

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: St Austell
  • Weather Preferences: Storms! High Winds! Tornadoes! Hurricane!
  • Location: St Austell
Posted

 snefnug It hasn't formed yet but it will be a storm in it's early stage of development in the north east USA tomorrow and Tuesday causing issues with snow over there. 

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Lancing
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Lancing
Posted

17373101162234294553710204925991.thumb.jpg.a18d4b5288883c7544e7b0a4700d783e.jpg

ECM 12z has it as a circa 940mb low to the West of Ireland during Friday, avoids a direct hit but very windy for the West coast of Ireland and Scotland later on

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
Posted

 Daydream Boy thank you for that.  

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
  • Weather Preferences: Enjoy the weather, you can't take it with you 😎
  • Location: Evesham/ Tewkesbury
Posted (edited)

 snefnug it's not yet formed. .........Develops very quickly of the eastern seaboard of US , on Wednesday. ..

h850t850eu-30.webp

Edited by ANYWEATHER
Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
Posted

 ANYWEATHER so Daydream Boy said.  But we are talking about it as if it has been formed, because models are showing us this. May I ask another question.  It seems like the AI version of  a model picked this up first some days back, which @Mcconnor8 shared on the model forecast thread, I think on Wednesday, and it seems now to be verifying, with other models coming on board.  So what did it see? I’m trying to get to grips with all this, but eternal learner I fear.  

Posted
  • Location: howth,east dublin city
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: howth,east dublin city
Posted

 The PIT I would very much think Met Eireann will name it if it continues to show on models by Tuesday.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Lancing
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Lancing
Posted (edited)

 snefnug

https://www.ecmwf.int/en/newsletter/178/news/aifs-new-ecmwf-forecasting-system

This article from the ECM explains the AIFS model - their own AI model which I have been following closely.

It has been outperforming the standard models over the last year since it released.

Edited by Mcconnor8
Posted
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow in winter, good sun at other times with appropriate rain.
  • Location: Glyn Ceiriog. 197m ASL
Posted

 Mcconnor8 thank you.  Will read it now.  

Posted
  • Location: Lancing
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, Snow and Storms
  • Location: Lancing
Posted

17373136250346985484429187946771.thumb.gif.2eef71a52ba8c8ad34c664f62118c084.gif

ECM shows another storm hitting on Monday which also looks very deep, AI also showed a storm at 965mb but further South than this ECM run.

Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON
Posted

I hope they all miss and we just get a bit of weather instead of a lot.

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Motherwell
  • Weather Preferences: windy
  • Location: Motherwell
Posted

Interestingly it was a year ago next week when back to back storms moved across northern parts with the first one bringing the strongest inland gusts in a decade here. The pattern for the next 10 days looks quite similar.

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
  • Location: Cork City(Southern Ireland)
Posted

The most notable change for me is how slow the storm develops compared to yesterday. Definitely a trend Northwest but all can change back again!! Icon soon rolling...

Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted

GFS 18z very dangerous for Northern Ireland with blizzards thrown in, with the low 850s making it all the way across the Atlantic from Canada. 

  • Like 4
Posted
  • Location: Livingston (ish)
  • Location: Livingston (ish)
Posted

Hey, model watchers, please keep updating in this thread. Yes, I could watch the models myself, but I'm terminally biased towards the GFS so my opinion is worthless. I can even fool myself so I need more sensible peeps to keep me grounded. Having said that, the GFS does seem to end up being spot on when it comes to extremes.

Having said all that, I don't like the look of what's going on with the polar vortex and I mean in addition to what it's getting up to over the US. Are we in for another little stint in the deep freeze?

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: SW of Glasgow 200m ASL
  • Location: SW of Glasgow 200m ASL
Posted

What are the odds of the snow risk with some of these deep lows… is it their cold tracking across Atlantic or bumping into low grade cold over us? 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted (edited)

Mmmmm not the lastest from ECM but shows Fridays potential. Max gusts at 10m

ecmwfuk-32-132.thumb.png.4e6a4df54f4945ecca4c1a2d4914ac43.png

Edited by The PIT
  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

 Wyggles  A risk of some Snow N England and Scotland.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: SE London
  • Location: SE London
Posted

Hearing the jet stream driving the Friday low will be blowing at 265 mph. going to make inbound flights across the pond a bit faster. Given the deepening of the low, we seem to be getting away with things, relatively speaking, here in the far SE. Current max gusts are mid thirties for Friday, but it's early days yet.

  • Like 1

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...