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Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
Posted

Edmonton is at -21.0c as of the 12th ..which is -13.1c below normal 

  • Like 4
Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Sunny Sheffield still at 4.1C

+0.6C above the 1961 - 1990 average.

-0.4C below the 1991 - 2020 average.

Rainfall 17mm.

26% of the 1961 - 1990 average.

26.1% of the 1991 - 2020 average.

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

Today's 12z GFS is probably warmest run yet (after five days of cold), and would be heading well into the 5.5 to 6.0 range with potential for record highs near end. It stays fairly dry -- last night, 00z was toying with 55-60 mm EWP but that is gone from the 12z, now back to 35-40 mm.

 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
Posted

 cheeky_monkey too cold, how do you  walk dogs  in that temp, my cockapoo love at least 2 walks a day, forget it at that temp! 

Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
Posted

 SLEETY i dont have a dog..but plenty of people here will be walking their dogs even at -30c 

Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
Posted

I don't know about the CET zone, but the 12z GFS gives us a mean of 10.7C here for the last 10 days. February would finish as the 8th warmest of the last 45 years here if that were to occur.

It would also be the 7th February above 6.0C in the last 9 years in the CET zone most likely.

Posted
  • Location: Windsor
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold
  • Location: Windsor
Posted

 cheeky_monkey The North Americans certainly do things big!

Big snowfalls, big temperature contrasts!

Posted
  • Location: Islington, C. London
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and snow, cool and wet.
  • Location: Islington, C. London
Posted

Looking like the ridiculous run of February's continues. The 2016-2025 average could be ridiculous. February is warmer than a historical March now.

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

 Jackmonday06 It has shown similiarities with 2020-21 though Dec 2020 was quite a bit colder. Its been similiar in the sense the coldest core has coincided with statistically the coldest part of the winter Jan to mid Feb. 

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

Pretty soon we will be talking about 2001-2030 averages for CET. So far, they are:

4.7 _ 5.3 _  6.9 _ 9.3 _ 12.1 _ 15.0 _ 16.9 _ 16.6 _ 14.5 _ 11.3 _ 7.5 _ 5.2 __ 10.5

 

  • Thanks 3
Posted
  • Location: Hessle
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hessle
Posted

image.thumb.png.8f63478f058fcb27416a22504037c8aa.png

Latest projections according to the EC 12z. Pretty remarkable really.

The dull chilly weather continues to the 17th with the CET bottoming out around the 4.0C mark, from there it somersaults upwards.

The 19th to the 26th is projected to have a CET of 10.4C and the 21st looks especially notable with a current projected CET of 14.0C which must be close to last years daily record.

Overall the CET finishes on 6.0C, though the EC is a bit on the mild side so maybe highs 5s looks best at the moment.

Makes those saying a below average CET was nailed on look a bit foolish now, some turnaround!

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

 Derecho Another Feb 09, 12, 21 possibly, all featured very mild second halves. 

Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
Posted

 cheeky_monkey nuts 😃, do they have underground parks to walk dogs? 

What has caused Feb to become so mild since the end of the 80s over UK and much of Europe, North America, can still get bitter cold, and other places, it's most bizarre. 

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

 SLEETY March too has by and large become a much milder month, since 2013 only 2018 was cold. It has brought cold weather at times, 2016 frosty, 2023 snow in the first half.

We've certainly lacked blocking to our north and east fending off the atlantic.. except this year but lo and behold no notable cold. 

Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
Posted

 SLEETY no they walk outside like everybody else..i go walking even its -45c

Posted
  • Location: West Yorkshire
  • Location: West Yorkshire
Posted

 Derecho Frankly if we end up at 6.0C that's just outrageous, even if it would be good for my guess!

I'd probably knock a bit more off than just high 5s, the ECM looked pretty mild within its ensemble set. I think low to mid 5s is still realistic unless we see a consolidation around a very mild outcome across the ensemble sets as well.

Looking at the figures we would cross yet another ridiculous milestone for February averages with any finish from around 5.3C or higher. It would take the 10-year average to 6.0C. I mean to put that in context, the 1961-1990 average for March is only 5.7C.

The next milestone will be for the 10-year average to match the November 1961-1990 average, which is 6.4C. Definitely possible in another few years if we don't get another cold February before 2018 drops out of the 10-year average.

Posted
  • Location: Hessle
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hessle
Posted

 WYorksWeather Yeah I'd say the last 4 days won't be as mild as what yesterday evening's EC 12z showed. We'll see, I'd be guessing more mid 5s based off the run this morning without looking at the temps in detail.

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

4.3 to the 13th

0.5c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c below the 91 to 20 average

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Coventry
  • Weather Preferences: anticyclonic unless a snow storm
  • Location: Coventry
Posted (edited)

Bumping along in the low to mid 4s C. Hard to believe it could reach the high 5s C?

I wouldn't be displeased mind you, from a competition perspective.

Edited by BlueSkies_do_I_see
Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

Not until Wednesday we see temps return to average or above, that is the 19th..that's 10 potential days of very mild weather to produce a finish in the 6s.. I will be surprised if we end up there, signal may pull in some continental air latter part of Feb with cooler mins. Further north and west higher mins but lower maxima. A finish in the 5s a good bet at this stage. 

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
Posted

 WYorksWeather knew Feb was crazy mild now, but average of 6c, is nuts. 

Has to be a FEB coming up that goes severely cold, surely. 

 cheeky_monkey I presume it's because it's a dry cold, in UK minus 45 c would be unbearable to go out in 

Posted
  • Location: West Yorkshire
  • Location: West Yorkshire
Posted

 SLEETY To be fair the 10-year average is probably a bit short to really confirm it - there could be an element of bias over such a short timeframe. But what seems to be generally happening is that warmth is already building to the south in February, especially later on.

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Sunny Sheffield down to 3.9C

+0.4C above the 1961 -1990 average.

-0.7C below the 1991 - 2020 average

Rainfall unchanged.

We may even hit the 1961 - 1990 average by Sunday

Posted
  • Location: Shropshire
  • Location: Shropshire
Posted

 WYorksWeather Using a 10 year rolling average is a terrible way to measure the average as you can get some rather weird results due to the rather short length of time. Warm examples of a 10 year rolling average include:

 

May 1825 to 1834: 12.21C

June 1826 to 1835: 15.01C

January 1919 to 1928: 4.92C

April 1940 to 1949: 9.26C

December 1982 to 1991: 5.47C

 

You can also find the examples on the cold end of the spectrum if you use a 10 year rolling average:

 

August 1686 to 1695: 14.65C

March 1782 to 1791: 3.88C

January 1807 to 1816: 1.54C

July 1836 to 1845: 14.94C

October 1887 to 1896: 8.27C

  • Thanks 2

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