Cat 5 Hurricane Katrina

[londonsnow]

Tropical depression 12, has just been upgraded tp Tropical Storm Katrina. Exprected to cut across SE Florida on Aug 26, and then into the North Gulf of Mexico where it is feared it may become a Hurricane. It is expected to cross central and north west Bahamas tonight dumping up to 10" rain. The NOAA arde now saying that this season may be even worse than expected with up to 21 systems, 11 of which may become hurricanes. so how will this effect us i wonder?

[Ryan M]

Tropical depression 12, has just been upgraded tp Tropical Storm Katrina. Exprected to cut across SE Florida on Aug 26, and then into the North Gulf of Mexico where it is feared it may become a Hurricane. It is expected to cross central and north west Bahamas tonight dumping up to 10" rain. The NOAA arde now saying that this season may be even worse than expected with up to 21 systems, 11 of which may become hurricanes. so how will this effect us i wonder?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Yay more great weather for us when it tails off here in about 14 days time ( I like bad weather )

[londonsnow]

Yay more great weather for us when it tails off here in about 14 days time ( I like bad weather )

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

to be honest i dont think its going the right way to effect us in the way Irene did

[billythesquid]

has anyone out there got a link to CBS 4 florida that I can watch in fullscreen mode.

[rixxxgolf]

www.wfor.com

First death from HURRICANE Katrina reported at 11:54pm BST.

She's packing some grief...

[billythesquid]

Latest reports say that there are now two fatalities

also a major bridge has collapsed

another webstream availible here

http://www.nbc6.net/index.html?refresh=1200

you might have to use internet explorer to view this

over a million people are also without power.

[Kain]

Now 4 dead according to Yahoo...

The think it may regain strength in the gulf then make another landfall on the Florida Panhandle...

Kain

[Hurricane Debby]

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/241445.shtml

[rixxxgolf]

I think the Pensacola area is going to get a Cat 2-3 slapping again.

[Paranoid]

Is this going to be another Mitch type storm, where it's not the wind people worry about, it's the rain. Have there been any tornadoes formed by the hurricane.

[kold weather]

Hi everyone,looks like the storms track has taken everyone abit by suprise.It was forecasted t ocarry on heading westwards,insted it dived south-westwards across the far south of Florida,which is the shortest route to water and so had the least amount of time over land.

Sturcture survived quite wlel with the eye only really collasping as it started to move back offshore.The reason for the dive was due to the ridge to the north building back very strongly which forced the storm to head futher south aroundc the outside edge of the ridge.

Recently Katrina was re-upgraded to a hurricane with winds of 75mph,with recon planninhg on flying into this system sometime today.It's foward speed has also been a problem for those in the south of Florida,some areas have seen 11-15 inches,the keys seeing 5-7 inches and Miami seeing 3-4 inches in general.Wind gusts definatly supported 75mph at landfall,gusts upto 95mph,with many gusts upwards of 85mph which has snapped alot of trees that had already been suffering thanks to large amounts of rainfall in earilier months.

Currently the system looks like its moving back westwards and moving very slowly,which is never a good thing considering there is little to stop this system from getting stronger once its inner core sorts itslef out.How strong t gets depends partly on how far west it can get,but there is certainly some very warm water present in the gulf,32C+ in some parts. Regardless of its exact track,I can see no reason why it can't make it upto a major,infact a few models take this upto cat-4 which is also very possible.As for second landfall at the moment its hard to tell but at the moment anywhere from Panama city to New Orleans is at risk,with Pensacola at most risk sadly once again at present.

(ps,another hurricane that made landfall overnight here!!!!!

[P.K.]

Have there been any tornadoes formed by the hurricane.

This is the only report so far:

0845 MARATHON MIDDLE KEYS IN MO FL 2471 8108 MONROE COUNTY SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTED 1 HANGAR AND 11 PRIVATE AIRCRAFT DAMAGED AT MARATHON AIRPORT. 2 HOMES DAMAGED...ONE PARTIALLY UNROOFED ON 72ND STREET. RELAYE (EYW)

[summer blizzard]

If the ridge strengthened and forced Hurricane Katrina south west, then i suspect that it will make landfall again in a similar place to Hurrican Emily, if it moves slowly, then we may even see a category five hurricane as Hurricane Emily was due to the extremely warm water there.

I expect to see eighteen named storms with six of them becoming hurricanes by the end of September, so far we have had eleven named storms and four hurricanes.

[londonsnow]

If the ridge strengthened and forced Hurricane Katrina south west, then i suspect that it will make landfall again in a similar place to Hurrican Emily, if it moves slowly, then we may even see a category five hurricane as Hurricane Emily was due to the extremely warm water there.

I expect to see eighteen named storms with six of them becoming hurricanes by the end of September, so far we have had eleven named storms and four hurricanes.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

NOAA have revised their expectations to 21 named storms and 11 hurricanes. that would make the worst season ever i think

[Marcus_surfer]

4 people dead. hit by trees. WINDS - Gusting 75mph expected to become a major hurricane in the next 42hours

[londonsnow]

4 people dead. hit by trees. WINDS - Gusting 75mph expected to become a major hurricane in the next 42hours

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

current projections make katrina a cat 3 before next landfall

[rixxxgolf]

OK, lets try turn this already tragic hurricane into something a little less serious...

Here's the deal...

Save that, open it in paint and then put a cross where you predict 2nd landfall, initial it and the PM me and i'll show you where to upload it via FTP to, or email it to me and i'll plonk it up for you

[summer blizzard]

Hurricane Katrina now has a central pressure of 981mb and could become a category 2 hurricane within a few haours, i expect Hurricane Katrina to make landfall in western Texas as a category 5 hurricane.

[Paranoid]

I might not know as much about hurricane formation as everyone else here, but it seems to me more likely to be a cat 3-4 hurricane by the time it makes landfall. Either way, New Orleans better hope it doesn't hit them, or else the surge defences might fail. They were designed to withstand a cat-2 hurricane, but if Katrina makes it to a cat 3-5 hurricane and heads thier way, N.O is in some deep trouble.

[summer blizzard]

Hurricane Katrina is now a category 2 hurricane with a central pressure of 971mb and mean wind speeds of 100mph.

GFS indicate that Hurricane Katrina will be a category 4 huuricane when landfall is made in Alabama in three days.

[Kain]

Just been looking on the sat pictures, has the eye wall collapsed?

Kain

[rixxxgolf]

Amazingly....

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html

STILL moving west-southwest. But if you look at the upper level winds, there is still no reason for it to flick NW. It is hanging onto the drawing moisture.

[rixxxgolf]

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE

AIRCRAFT WAS 969 MB...28.61 INCHES.

Latest advisory...

Growing to become a real monster me thinks.

[kold weather]

Well I can;t say I'm suprised as it kept a good structure and with SST's upwards of 30C and little to dis-organise it its going to go bang,and thats exactly what its doing.

A good looking storm at present,styill a little bare to the north but this has always been a backside storm with its main rainfall to the south of the eye itslef.It should contniue to get better organised,its a strong cat-2 at the moment,with pressure supporting that,down to 968 according to latest recon.Infra-red is looking amazingly impressive considering everything with a cracking CDO set in place,moving very slowly as well and so it has alot of time to reach higher categories.

I see no reason why it shouldn't reach to cat-4,I doubt higher the nthat as ERC should start as it reaches a certain percent to its max MPI,nonetheless the possiblty there is for a strong cat-4,with worse of all a possible NO storm,which if it comes close could be the costly hurricane in US history....

My own landfall site is here:

[rixxxgolf]

My landfall prediction gives it a more easterly landing, i think it'll have a good jolt once it begins a northly track....