BBC Weather Monthly Outlook...

[acbrixton]

"As the party season gets into full swing, is it now time to purchase a David Beckham-style cardigan?"

What does Mr Fox mean please?

Regards

ACB

[shuggee]

Remaining unsettled - mild at first for many.

The unsettled weather continues! Despite the recent storms, there has been a lot of cloud around with winds predominantly coming in from the southwest providing us with some mild weather too.

Typically for this time of year, there have been some very cold nights when clear skies have meant that temperatures drop very rapidly after dark, as was felt on Saturday night in Northern Ireland, for example.

As we head towards the Christmas season, the big question is "Just how likely is that elusive flake of snow?" Read on for the overall trend up to Christmas Eve and remember to check next week's outlook for more details on what weather we can expect over Christmas.

Monday 27th November to Sunday 3rd December

“More spells of heavy rain and strong winds.”

This week could potentially be as wet and windy as the last. More gales have been forecast along with spells of heavy rain - but as last week, it should stay rather mild on the whole with little chance of any overnight frost.

Monday and Tuesday are under the influence of a large area of low pressure, bringing gusty and strong winds across the UK along with more spells of rain. Gales are likely in some places - exposed coasts being most at risk. By Tuesday the wind will ease up a bit and brighter weather will return to western Britain during the afternoon.

It will stay windy with low pressure to the northwest of the UK for Wednesday and Thursday and although Wednesday looks fairly dry for the most part, heavier rain returns to Northern Ireland and western Scotland on Thursday bringing local and possibly severe gales.

High pressure from the nearby continent settles things down in the southeast, so across southern and eastern England it's likely to be less windy, dry and bright with sunny spells. Although this could mean a rather chillier night time scenario with clear skies overnight It could also mean some early morning fog forming where the wind remains very light.

For Friday and the weekend, the drier, brighter conditions in the southeast will begin to ebb away slowly, being replaced by more cloudy and unsettled conditions by the end of the weekend. Elsewhere, it will stay very changeable with showers or longer spells of rain and strong winds especially in the northwest.

Monday 4th to Sunday 10th December

“Wet and windy but still quite mild”

Low pressure continues to dominate the weather pattern bringing westerly winds to most parts. This will steer Atlantic depressions, and so the typical autumnal scene of strong winds and heavy rain followed by sunnier spells and showers will be the picture.

With wind coming in from the west, temperatures will be moderated from the Atlantic Ocean. This will mean well above average temperatures across the country particularly in eastern England.

The northwest will feel the worst of the wind and rain that comes with the depressions whereas once again the southeast will see less than its expected share - being more sheltered from the rain-bearing winds.

Monday 11th December to Sunday 24th December

“Staying unsettled, turning cold in the north”

Atlantic depressions will continue to sweep in but perhaps more so for southern Britain. This will mean two things - firstly, the milder, wetter and windier weather will be felt in the southeast whilst more northerly winds being pulled in from the north of the depressions will mean a much colder spell for northern and western areas, and so perhaps increasing the risk of hill snow here.

The best of the sunshine looks to be in south Wales, well sheltered from a northerly wind but nonetheless it will feel mighty chilly here!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[Damien]

A chilly but snowless Xmas by the sound of it. Like Xmas 2004. Cool. http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/blink.gif

[Stuart]

More wet and windy weather. Mostly mild but an increasing chance of some frost and snow later.

It's been a wild, wet and windy start to December. After all those dry months earlier in the year, the weather seems to be trying to make up for lost time.

It hasn't really been the weather to put us into a festive frame of mind either. Temperatures remain resolutely high, with barely a frost so far, let alone snow to get us excited.

I, for one, prefer cold and crisp to wet and windy and at some point the weather pattern will change. Will it happen in time for the big day?

Monday 4th to Sunday 10th December

“Wave after wave of wind and rain”

We keep the status quo for the time being. Yet more low pressure systems will bring further wet and windy spells across the UK. The next of these will cross the UK later on Monday, clearing eastwards on Tuesday. However, the Atlantic source of the air may be moist, but it's also mild.

Midweek brings sunshine and blustery showers, and a brief incursion of chillier air may turn the showers to snow over the Scottish hills.

Thursday and Friday turn milder again but we see yet another low pressure sweeping more wet and windy weather in from the west, and a renewed risk of gales.

By the weekend, it becomes brighter and chillier again, with sunshine and blustery showers. These again turning to snow on the higher hills - as the winds fall light, so we could even see a touch of frost overnight - a bit more like December should be.

Monday 11th to Sunday 17th December

“Briefly chilly then mild again”

A lull between low pressure systems will allow a bright, quiet, chilly start to the week. However it looks like any frosty interlude will soon be swept away again.

Further wet and windy weather is expected to arrive, the rain heaviest across Scotland, Northern Ireland, Wales and the northwest of England.

Temperatures will recover again. Frost-free by night and into double figures by day.

Monday 18th to Sunday 31st December

“Staying wet but turning colder”

It looks like low pressure will continue to provide plenty more rain from the Atlantic, at least initially. However, after a mild start to the period, we may well see more frequent incursions of colder arctic air.

So the possibility of snow increases as we end the year, especially over the hills. Some frosty nights can also be expected.

As we get nearer, will the odds on a white Christmas shorten or lengthen?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[Stuart]

Further depressions keep the outlook unsettled and generally mild.

After a very wet and windy week, the deep depressions continue. A mild and wet end to the year looks likely, rather than a crisp and cold one - but in spite of this trend, there will be the odd bright and crispy interlude for a few of us.

I have to say that with the strong Atlantic influence, there seems little prospect of a white Christmas this year. There's still plenty of winter left to anticipate a few cold snaps, and also some snowfall - it would be a rare winter indeed if it stayed mild continuously, so if you're still hoping to fly down a hill somewhere on a sledge, then all is not lost!

Monday 11th to Sunday 17th December

“Very windy spells, heavy rain at times, risk of local flooding”

After the rain and gales set in across many areas on Sunday, the heaviest rain will persist over much of England and Wales to start the week, and will slowly clear, so flood risk is still very much an issue - SEPA and the EA are both on hand to help and offer advice if you are concerned about local flood risks in your areas.

Further depressions will continue to bring rain and gales through the week, and it will get very mild too from Wednesday to Friday as temperatures rise to 13 or 14 Celsius for some.

On the whole, most of the rain will be in the north and west, but there may well be a wet spell in the south on Friday, before the weather turns a bit fresher and more showery over the weekend, with some local overnight frosts.

Showers over the hills will turn increasingly wintry, perhaps even in southern Britain, but only for a short while.

Monday 18th to Sunday 24th December

“Very windy at times, very mild”

Further deep depressions towards Iceland will continue to clash with a strong anticyclone over Iberia, bringing a squeeze of southwesterly winds across the UK this week.

The wind will be strong at times, and will also bring spells of rain or squally showers, but the wetter weather will be mostly confined to the northwest as the high pressure over Iberia should settle things in the southeast.

With the weather being influenced by the mid-Atlantic, temperatures will be very mild across the UK, both by day and by night. Any overnight clear spells between outbreaks of rain will allow to some local frosts, but really only in rural areas.

On the whole, with the blustery showers coming in from the west, there will be a little sunshine - with the more sheltered eastern areas faring better.

Monday 25th to Sunday 7th January

“Turning wetter, temperatures around average”

The Iberian high pressure will weaken somewhat, allowing the low pressure over Iceland to extend it's influence further south across the UK. Therefore, although the typical pattern of showers or spells of rain will continue, it will be wetter than of late across more southern areas.

Also, the wind will become more westerly, so the temperatures won't stay quite so mild - it should still be above average for some, but on the whole it will feel chillier as the temperatures hover around the winter mean. Night frosts will be slightly more widespread, although still not especially harsh.

It looks like the odds are going down for that white Christmas. However, things do change, so stay tuned just in case!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[shuggee]

That summary for the w/c 18th Dec is erm, quite surprising with the recent model output.

[moses]

That summary for the w/c 18th Dec is erm, quite surprising with the recent model output.

I'm afraid if the models showed -15 temps and arctic lows, the BBC mild rampers would suggests temps at or slightly below average- a hideous forecast that, I think will change, - - like last year's did if memory serves me correctly

[Stuart]

With Christmas fast approaching, that question is upon many pairs of lips once again… 'Will we have a White Christmas?'

Well, aside from playing Bing Crosby in the comfort of your living room, chances are probably not - but there is always a chance, as this coming week does promise some rather cold weather. Any showers are more likely to turn wintry - but this could be confined to the hills, so it's by no means a guarantee.

However, we will certainly experience some overnight frosts - if you can see it on the grass through the fog - and if you squint slightly, it can sometimes look a bit like snow… but no, it doesn't count if you've put a bet on at the bookies!

Monday 18th to Sunday 24th December

“Chilly, fine days - overnight frost and fog”

Cloudy, damp conditions bring a rather murky start to the working week. Patchy ice, frost and fog could mean a tricky journey into work or school on Monday morning, but high pressure slowly builds through the day, halting most of the wet weather, settling things down.

The high pressure looks set to last through the week and just about into the weekend too, so it's going to be mostly dry and quiet. However, overnight frost and fog will be much more prevalent, and it will feel cold - especially so where fog lingers through the day, which is most likely for inland areas.

A rather brisk breeze will start to pick up in the northwest throughout the week, meaning the likes of northeast Scotland could see some sunnier spells as the turbulent wind breaks up the cloud to the east of the Grampians, perhaps a similar occurrence to the east of the Pennines, but this will be the exception rather than the rule, as generally there will be a lot of cloud trapped under the high pressure.

A more unsettled influence with stronger winds and rain (perhaps hill snow as well for a time) will spread into the northwest over the weekend and the breakdown towards milder, more unsettled conditions creeps in towards Christmas Day.

It doesn't sound too promising for building Christmas snowmen, or for dusting off the tea trays for a bit of impromptu tobogganing, but after a week of cold weather, the milder promise may seem rather more welcome by then!

Monday 25th to Sunday 31st December

“Turning milder once again - becoming unsettled”

The previous week's high pressure will be slowly eroded by low pressure to the north of Scotland. This will gradually dominate the UK weather, re-introducing a more unsettled regime.

A brisk southwesterly wind will bring a milder influence, so temperatures will become more moderate across England and Wales in particular.

However, rainfall will also increase considerably with the change in weather pattern, and with this type of pattern, the heaviest and more prolonged rainfall will be across the north and west of the UK, with the still-too-dry southeast of England unlikely to see the reservoir levels replenished appreciably.

Monday 1st to Sunday 14th January

“Staying unsettled and mild - wet in the north and west”

The general weather pattern shows little sign of change after the New Year, with a brisk southwesterly wind and showers or longer spells of rain.

It should stay mild, with sunnier spells in between the showers, and overnight temperatures should stay out of frost range.

Any chance of snow for the new year? Perhaps for some - stay tuned to the forecasts for all the latest festive weather!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[Stuart]

Further depressions keep the outlook unsettled and generally mild.

So another Christmas has passed with the only snow of any note falling in Albert Square, Walford. It was certainly cold enough for snow at times but with high pressure anchored across the UK, we had to put up with the cool, foggy but dry spell of weather.

December as a whole was another mild month with average maximum temperatures being around 1C above average. All manner of temperature records were broken in 2006 which was the warmest year since records began (in 1659). July was the warmest month of the year and 2006 also had the warmest September and the warmest growing season (April to October).

It is going to remain unsettled over the next few weeks. After a rather cold start for some at first, it should become increasingly mild.

Mild, wet and windy weather will predominate for much of January, but we are looking at a fresher start to the new year.

Monday 1st to Sunday 7th January

“ A cold spell with strong winds and heavy rain at times.”

It does look like a case of new year but same old weather. Spells of wet and windy weather will continue to rattle in from the Atlantic.

The only subtle change, at least initially, is that with the winds will feed in from a northwesterly direction. As a result, it will be a chilly start to the week but a bright one. Temperatures will generally remain in single figures. There will be some blustery showers, especially in the west and these are likely to fall as snow over the mountains in the north.

Temperatures should recover around the middle of the week as strong southwesterly winds bring further spells of heavy rain in from the Atlantic. Scotland and Northern Ireland will have the wettest and windiest weather.

As the rain clears south towards the end of the week, we are likely to find fresher, brighter weather across many parts. There should be some good sunny spells in between the rain or showers.

Monday 8th to Sunday 14th January

“Unsettled in the north, mild in the south.”

A slight rise in pressure should allow England and Wales to become less windy and turn drier but it is likely to remain rather unsettled in Scotland and Northern Ireland.

The best of any brightness will be towards the south and east. A mild week is expected but there could be a touch of frost in one or two sheltered spots.

Monday 15th to Sunday 28th January

“Mild for most with a chance of rain”

This period does look unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather returning from the Atlantic. As a result, it will remain mild if not very mild across all areas.

I suspect that it could become very wet at times across the north and west but rainfall totals are likely to be below average towards the southeast.

There's barely been a need for a proper winter coat so far, will the mild weather last throughout February?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[Thundery wintry showers]

So as usual he goes for sustained mild westerlies; there's a chance he might be right this time though.

[Stuart]

Staying rather unsettled, mild and windy.

We're now firmly into the New Year, and already the temperatures indicate a very mild start. Early predictions have actually pointed to another record year, perhaps the warmest ever - more details on this can be found at, 2007 is set to be our warmest year yet.

But at this time of year, mild conditions are more often than not the result of a westerly or southwesterly wind, which bring us a 'mobile' weather pattern i.e. depressions resulting in spells of rain with strong, gusty winds. Looking ahead for the time being, it seems that this pattern is upon us with some stormy conditions to come this week, as severe gales are forecast on at least three occasions across the UK before the coming weekend.

With this type of severe weather, travelling conditions are far from straightforward, and it pays to keep a close eye on the daily forecasts to make sure you are properly prepared for any hazards that may be coming your way.

Monday 08 January 2007 to Sunday 14 January 2007

“A wet and windy week.”

This week looks set to stay rather unsettled with a succession of low pressure centres crossing the British Isles bringing periods of rain at times. The winds will often come from a southwesterly direction, so the temperatures are likely to remain on the mild side.

A dry and bright start to Monday morning for eastern Scotland and eastern counties of England. Outbreaks of rain already in to Northern Ireland, western Scotland, Wales and western England will continue to spread east to reach all areas. It will become quite windy, but strong gusts to the east of the Pennines signals for a tricky evening rush hour on the high routes especially.

Tuesday will be cloudy, wet and mild for central and southern England as well as Wales. For northern England, Northern Ireland and Scotland there may be a little rain at times, perhaps wintry over the Scottish mountains, but brighter spells at times are also likely. Strong gusts in northeast England and southeast Scotland could cause travel disruption.

Wednesday should see the last of the rain clear the southeast of England, and many areas will have a drier, cooler, brighter day, but further showers are likely in the northwest.

The end of the week will bring stormy weather across the country at times, perhaps with a spell of snow for northern hills and more especially for the Scottish mountains, and winds in the far north gusting up to 80 mph potentially. Severe gales could persist in the northwest all weekend. It will be colder than of late for the north as well, but is likely to remain mild in the south.

Monday 15 January 2007 to Sunday 21 January 2007

“Unsettled with rain at times.”

It will more than likely remain rather windy across the British Isles, especially for the northwest. The winds will probably be from the southwest, once again indicating a rather mild, often cloudy and unsettled spell of weather.

Heavy outbreaks of rain will cross the country from time to time with brighter, cooler, interludes in between. It will be a windy week with a risk of gales for the northwest.

Monday 22 January 2007 to Sunday 04 February 2007

“Winds easing”

It will probably be less windy with some longer drier, sunnier interludes. There will still be a few spells of rain at times. Temperatures may lower a little to near seasonal values.

Will there be any sign of winter in February?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[shuggee]

Monthly Summary

Unsettled with more rain on the way. A risk of frost for many.

The unsettled weather of last week appears to be a taste of what's to come. At one stage we had over 50 flood warnings across the UK - with many areas suffering from flooding. The more dramatic weather was provided by the widespread severe gales that lashed many areas.

Winds in excess of 70mph were recorded. A number of lorries were blown over, severe restrictions were imposed on many bridges. The ferries were badly affected and fallen trees caused problems on some roads and railways.

There is still no sign of the weather settling down over the next few weeks. Stormy weather is expected to batter many parts of the United Kingdom this week with spells of heavy rain and strong winds causing further disruption to many parts.

Monday 15th to Sunday 21st January

“Unsettled with a stormy end to the week”

We are set to keep the unsettled weather with areas of low pressure rattling in from the Atlantic. Initially strong winds and heavy rain will cause further disruption to northwest Scotland.

I am pleased to say that Scotland and Northern Ireland will then get a well earned respite from the wind and rain. At the same time as the rain clears, it looks set to move across England and Wales - this is where we are likely to see some really poor conditions over the coming days. Damaging winds are expected and these may well be as strong if not stronger than the winds that battered the UK last week.

Wednesday night through Thursday looks particularly bad and it'll be well worth keeping an eye on the forecasts through the week ahead.

Snow showers are possible in the north this week but the wet and windy weather further south does give the greatest cause for concern.

Monday 22nd to Sunday 28th January

“Remaining rather unsettled”

It is likely to remain unsettled, although the winds shouldn't be as strong as of late and rainfall amounts should be closer to the seasonal average.

Some colder spells are likely with overnight frosts possible at times, and perhaps some more snow. This is most likely over the Scottish mountains.

Monday 29th January to Sunday 11th February

“Becoming a little drier”

Further outbreaks of rain are likely at times, especially in the north, perhaps with some snow for the Scottish mountains. It will probably be drier further south.

Towards mid-February, temperatures, rainfall and sunshine totals are likely to return to near-average values. East Anglia and eastern England may fare best for the sunniest skies.

From http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[Stuart]

the Monthly Summary is out

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[shuggee]

Mr Fox's effort:

Monthly Summary

Mild at first. Unsettled in the north - more settled in the south.

Many of you will recall the Met Office winter forecast, which as far back as September was predicting that it would be a mild winter, with the possibility of an increased number of cold snaps and some snowfall late in the season.

Bearing in mind last week's wintry blast, I think we can safely say that (like last year) the forecast has been pretty much spot on.

We've also had a fair amount of rain this winter, which has finally eased many of the water restrictions. January is typically the second wettest month of the year across the UK (December being the wettest) but it looks as though this January will end on a rather dry note.

We are now returning to much milder weather after the cold snap, bringing highs of 11 or 12 Celsius by day compared to the average of around 6 degrees at this time of year. Colder weather is expected to seep in from the north during the period.

Monday 29th to Sunday 4th February

“Mild and breezy - a little rain at times”

After a largely dry and bright weekend, the working week starts on a settled and mild note, and on the whole that's how the week will continue. High pressure will dominate the weather throughout the week, with weather fronts crossing the north to bring a little rain.

Generally speaking though, it will remain mild with little risk of overnight frost, but there could be a few fog patches to watch out for with the light winds, especially in the south.

It will become rather breezy and even gusty around the middle of the week with winds gusting as high as 60mph in the north. Those winds will feed in from the Atlantic and it looks set to be exceptionally mild if not warm. Temperatures could reach 15 Celsius (59 Fahrenheit) in some eastern areas.

The winds will ease again towards the weekend and go round to a northwesterly direction. That will allow the temperatures to fall back towards normal and it could even become a little chilly in the north. It will overall be a dry week any rain will be largely confined to the north.

Monday 5th to Sunday 11th February

“Very mild for some, staying largely dry”

The high pressure will begin to weaken, but it will be mild again thereafter with increasingly strong winds developing in the north and west, even with the risk of severe gales at times.

It will generally be dry but there will be some rain at times. It could even turn wintry into the latter half of the week in northern areas, with southern areas of England and Wales turning rather cold by the end of the week.

Monday 12th February to Sunday 25th February

“Much wetter, temperatures around average”

The influence of the high pressure in the Atlantic will not be far away, continuing to feed a westerly wind across the UK at first, but temperatures will slowly moderate and the very mild weather in northern Britain will return to more seasonal values.

A lot more rain is expected after a rather dry fortnight, and it will become a much wetter spell, with plenty of rain for the gardens. Most areas should see some sunshine too, but northern Britain could fare more favourably than the south.

From http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

I have to say - despite us knowing that these forecasts are tosh - this week's effort actually contains a glaring anomaly/contradiction:

It could even turn wintry into the latter half of the week in northern areas, with southern areas of England and Wales turning rather cold by the end of the week.

Monday 12th February to Sunday 25th February

“Much wetter, temperatures around average”

The influence of the high pressure in the Atlantic will not be far away, continuing to feed a westerly wind across the UK at first, but temperatures will slowly moderate and the very mild weather in northern Britain will return to more seasonal values.

If it turns cold at the end of the preceding week, how on earth can temps then 'moderate' from very mild weather the week after?

[Jarrow Posh]

GOOD AFTERNOON ALL,I AM NEW ON HERE,HAVE BEEN AN AVID READER FOR A WHILE NOW AND FIND THE DISCUSSIONS ON HERE VERY INFORMATIVE.

RE EVERTON FOX;-I HEARD HIM ON FIVE LIVE LAST WEEK AND I,M SURE HE SAID HE WAS LEAVING TO GO ABROAD SOMEWHERE,AFRICA I THINK(HOPE)!!

I,M SURE HE WILL BE MISSED BY MOST ON HERE FOR HIS ENTERTAINING BUT INNACCURATE FORECASTS,BUT GOOD LUCK TO HIM(AND AFRICA)

ANDY

[PersianPaladin]

I've never taken Mr. Fox's forecasts seriously, and never will.

[shuggee]

Welcome to posting on nw Andy

Keeping a record of the BBC Monthly Forecasts in this thread proves very illuminating when reading back over what was actually said week-in, week-out. However, one positive from this latest effort is the reluctance in the past of the BBC to forecast upcoming colder spells - even when they are appearing run after run in the T+170s/T+160s... This prediction does something I've not seem them do for a while - predict something colder in the medium term.

[snowingtequila]

BBC Monthly forecast by the veritable Mr Fox is out now too:

http://www.netweather.tv/forum/index.php?s...mp;#entry903703

completely unrelated so sorry but why is it completely impossible to contact the BBC

weather their feedback link takes you straight back to the start!

[Yeti]

Each week is the same - he just disguises the word, 'mild' with 'above average' and 'unseasonable'.

Every time it's an utter joke. He never seems to mention uncertainty and doesn't even hint at the possibility of a cold spell.

My favourite line this time is:

"Many of you will recall the Met Office winter forecast, which as far back as September was predicting that it would be a mild winter, with the possibility of an increased number of cold snaps and some snowfall late in the season.

Bearing in mind last week's wintry blast, I think we can safely say that (like last year) the forecast has been pretty much spot on."

Classic that, one cold spell and he says the MetO forecast is sopt on!

[Weather-history]

As been pointed out by someone else on another site. This is Everton's prediction for this coming week from last Monday.

“Very mild for some, staying largely dry”

The high pressure will begin to weaken, but it will be mild again thereafter with increasingly strong winds developing in the north and west, even with the risk of severe gales at times.

Hopeless!! http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif

[The Eagle]

For once Everton Fox says what we want to see.

Cold at times with dry interludes but overall it will be rather changeable

Dry, settled conditions have prevailed once again, bringing very cold nights and some rather raw but sunny days. However, this January has been the warmest since 1916, There will be further cold snaps before the end of winter.

Mean temperatures were considerably above average. In the Northern Isles, temperatures were 1.5 Celsius above the mean, and parts of central England were up to 3.5 Celsius above average. This follows the prediction that 2007 is already on course to be the warmest year on record.

January did of course end on a cold note. Temperatures over the weekend dropped as low as minus 7 Celsius. There is more to come. Normal service has been resumed and this month should feel…a bit like February.

Monday 5th to Sunday 11th February

“Risk of fog, frost and snow for many”

This will generally be a cold week for all of us and there is the real risk of some significant snowfall for many. Northerly winds have made for a cold start, with a sprinkling of wintry showers in northern and eastern Scotland. As is always the case in a northerly, wintry showers will also feed into eastern England at times.

There should be some good sunny spells further west but it will be rather cold at times, with overnight frosts. Fog is also likely to cause a few problems at times.

By the middle of the week, we'll start to see bands of rain sweeping in from the Atlantic. It will introduce milder conditions but as that rain hits the cold air, it is expected to turn to snow. We could see some significant falls across Wales, the Midlands and much of Southern England. Possibly as much as 2 to 5cm in places.

It may well be the weekend before we see the last of this cold spell with wet, windy and milder weather gradually returning.

Monday 12th to Sunday 18th February

“Unsettled - wet and windy at times”

A westerly flow will allow areas of low pressure to track across the north of the UK at times. These depressions will be vigorous, bringing outbreaks of rain and strong winds, perhaps with gales to exposed windward coasts.

Temperatures should be close to if not a touch above average, but northerly winds will still bring some cold blasts from time to time. Average rainfall and sunshine totals are expected.

Monday 19th February to Sunday 04th March

“Pressure rising - overnight frost and fog”

Pressure is set to rise over the UK once again towards the end of the month, which points to more settled weather and light winds.

This scenario should allow the return of more widespread overnight frost and fog. There should also be plenty of crisp sunshine by day. Rainfall amounts are likely to be below average.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

Bad omen? Hope not........

Edited February 5, 2007 by shuggee
To tidy things up :-)

[Stuart]

and mild with a few overnight frosts. Any snow will become confined to northern hills.As always seems to be the case, last week's snow caused the usual chaos across much of England and Wales.

The event was really well forecast for Thursday with early warnings issued well in advance. Heavy rain moved into the southwest and quickly turned to snow as it moved into the cold air that had settled over the United Kingdom.

There was major disruption but fortunately my people heeded the warnings and restricted their travelling plans. Unfortunately, Friday saw a repeat performance with more of the white stuff piling in from the southwest. If anything, the problems caused were even more extensive. Wales and the Midlands were hit hardest on both days with some parts getting over 15cm (6 inches) of snow.

Monday 12 February 2007 to Sunday 18 February 2007

“A milder week but changeable”

Each day this week will see a gradual warming trend. We will soon see the last of any snow clearing away from the Northern Isles of Scotland with mild air extending across all parts.

High pressure will provide a brief respite with some sunny spells early on, but overall, this week will see a return to west or southwesterly winds. This will bring mild, moist air streaming in from the Atlantic.

It will be very windy at times from around the middle of the week and it will also be very wet. The combination of the heavy rain and melting snow could lead to flooding in parts of Wales and western England.

Despite temperatures staying around average for this month it will feel colder due to strong to gale force winds persisting. Severe gales are expected in exposed parts towards the end of the week. Some night frosts are possible but they will be slight and fairly infrequent.

Monday 19 February 2007 to Sunday 25 February 2007

“Wet, windy and mild”

The winds will continue to stream in from the Atlantic bringing plenty of rain to all parts this week. Above average rainfall totals are likely across Northern Ireland and the eastern half of England.

Conversely, west will be best for sunshine but it should be mild wherever you are with very few frosts to worry about.

Monday 26 February 2007 to Sunday 11 March 2007

“Staying unsettled but mild”

The change of month will bring with it the same old weather. The start of March could well be rather wet for all of us. It also looks pretty mild.

I don't expect sunshine totals to be too far from the seasonal average but at least the days will be getting longer.

Is the rain going to ease soon? Whatever happened to the Azores High?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/ukweather/monthly_outlook.shtml

[Shunter]

Mild is mentioned no less than 8 times in the forecast, I think we "get the drift"

[shuggee]

To say they get their forecasts from the Meto - who have a slightly (!) different take on the next 2-3 weeks, is erm, interesting.

[Andy Bown]

It hasn't been updated yet today, but I'll bet Mr Fox's cheesy grin is cheesier than ever.