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METO UK Further Outlook


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Posted
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire

Latest Met Office update...

Valid for Wed 08 Feb 2006 to Friday 17 Feb 2006

A north to northwesterly flow will affect all parts at the start of the period. This is likely to bring some showers, these more especially in the east where they may be wintry, but also affecting other coastal areas. Elsewhere generally dry, with all parts becoming dry for a time around the middle of the period. During the latter part of the period, turning generally more unsettled from the northwest, with most places seeing some spells of rain or showers, these being most likely in the north and west, with more in the way of drier and brighter conditions in the south and east. Temperatures mostly near normal in the west at first, but rather cold in the east. Temperatures generally rather below normal during the second half of the period.

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Thanks for spotting that ks01 and welcome to N-W :D

Reading between the lines that forecast says basically anythin is going to happen - but eyes should now be looking NW instead of east (If that ever were the case :D )...

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Posted
  • Location: Sydney, Australia
  • Weather Preferences: Snow!
  • Location: Sydney, Australia

well its not impossible :D but you may be a thicko too :D only kidding mate, any sort of northerly can bring showers to the east, even a new altho these do usually favour western areas. However im sure there can be circumstances which eman the east would see some wintry showers too

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Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

ererer how can a north westerly flow bring showers to easter coasts

is there a typo or am i thicko

Usually a north-westerly will cause showers to clip the coastal areas around Aberdeen and Norfolk, but generally if showers are coastal a north-westerly won't bring much shower activity to the east. What sometimes happens, though, particularly as we head into Feb and the sun gets stronger, is that you get clusters of showers forming in central and northern Scotland that then track SE down the eastern side of Britain.

As for whether the upcoming northerly will bring snow or rain, I think the first two days of the northerly will be very borderline, and only locally conducive to settling snow at low levels even overnight. However, if it lasts for more than two days we should start pulling in some colder air.

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Posted
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire

Met Office update

Valid for Sat 11 February 2006 to Mon 20 February 2006

Very unsettled with all parts seeing spells of rain, some of which may be heavy at times, with a risk of snow, especially over higher ground in the north. Between the bands of rain there will be some brighter interludes, although still with showers, these mostly in the west. Generally windy with gales at times, with a risk of severe gales in places. Rather cold at first, but temperatures recovering to nearer normal for a time, although feeling cold in the wind and rain. Perhaps becoming milder towards the end of the period.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

Edited by shuggee
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Posted
  • Location: Nairn
  • Location: Nairn

Valid for Valid for Sat 18 Feb 2006 to Mon 27 Feb 2006

An unsettled westerly airflow is expected to dominate throughout the period, a succession of Atlantic lows and troughs moving over or to the north of the British Isles. These will bring frequent periods of rain or showers, some heavy and prolonged, often accompanied by strong winds or gales. However, there are likely to be some quieter interludes with transient ridges of high pressure, especially across the south. Daytime temperature levels are expected to fluctuate between normal to mild, although it will feel colder in the wet and windy spells. By night, frosts are unlikely to be frequent but there remains a risk in the quieter spells.

Updated every Monday and Friday afternoon

From http://www.metoffice.co.uk/ Edited by Stuart Harvey
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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Oh dear! Not exactly turning out as planned...

Update expected shortly.

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Valid for Wed 22 Feb 2006 to Fri 3 Mar 2006

A generally cold picture is expected, with easterly winds blowing between high pressure to the north of the British Isles and low pressure to the south. Northern and western districts should see a fair amount of sunshine. Showers will affect eastern coasts and hills, more especially northeast England and East Anglia, and will be wintry, even on low ground away from the coastal strip. It will feel cold in the brisk wind, though winds will be lighter over Scotland. Widespread night frosts are expected inland and in the west, though winds should hold temperatures in the east. Fog is likely in the northwest, which may be freezing in places. The second half of the period may see more unsettled weather spreading from the southwest, with a risk of snow on the leading edge. The far north may stay cold throughout the period.


From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html
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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

LOL ks01 - only just mind!! Great minds think alike....

Bit of a tunraround from Monday http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/unsure.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London
  • Location: Shirley, Croydon, Greater London

an interesting forecast, and a promising one

Hi, We were expexting a MetO report regarding the coming cold period. They have gone into more detail which is interesting, but this is all I can say if you know what I mean!

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Today's offering:

Valid for Sat 25 Feb 2006 to Mon 6 Mar 2006

With high pressure to the northwest of the United Kingdom, north or northeasterly winds will bring chilly weather to all areas. There will be rain or sleet showers in northern and eastern regions, although any snow is likely to be confined to higher ground. Other regions should be mostly dry with some sunshine, along with overnight frost, particularly in western areas. This pattern should last throughout this spell with temperatures mostly below normal, although the risk of frost is expected to extend from western areas to sheltered places in other parts.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

Quite vaguely uninspiring?

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Posted
  • Location: Poole
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, inc Snow and Wind
  • Location: Poole

New news item from the met-office!

News release

Wintry weather for the south

22 February 2006

Forecasters at the Met Office are expecting the cold weather to continue across southern areas of the UK over the next few days. A raw easterly wind will bring an increasing risk of sleet and snow through Thursday and Friday.

Head of Forecasting at the Met Office, Nick Grahame said: "Snow is likely to settle in places, especially over higher ground, but it's not certain at this stage just how much there will be. Icy conditions could also be a problem in many areas on Friday morning".

The Met Office is working with other organisations, such as the Highways Agency, to alert people to the risk and the best advice is to check the latest weather and travel reports over the coming days.

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Posted
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire

Valid for Wed 1 Mar 2006 to Wed 15 Mar 2006

Cold or very cold at first with a mixture of clear or sunny spells and scattered sleet or snow showers. The showers more especially over north and east facing coastal areas, extending further inland at times, and perhaps also affecting exposed western promontories. Some heavy showers are likely in the east with several cm of snowfall possible, especially on high ground, whilst any accumulations elsewhere are likely to be slight. The showers dying out through the period allowing a more generally dry interlude to develop but becoming increasingly cloudy and unsettled from the west or southwest later with outbreaks of rain preceded by a spell of snow. Temperatures gradually recovering to near or even a little above average, except perhaps in the northeast where they may stay a little below normal.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

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Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

Valid for Wed 1 Mar 2006 to Wed 15 Mar 2006

Cold or very cold at first with a mixture of clear or sunny spells and scattered sleet or snow showers. The showers more especially over north and east facing coastal areas, extending further inland at times, and perhaps also affecting exposed western promontories. Some heavy showers are likely in the east with several cm of snowfall possible, especially on high ground, whilst any accumulations elsewhere are likely to be slight. The showers dying out through the period allowing a more generally dry interlude to develop but becoming increasingly cloudy and unsettled from the west or southwest later with outbreaks of rain preceded by a spell of snow. Temperatures gradually recovering to near or even a little above average, except perhaps in the northeast where they may stay a little below normal.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

So they are trying to confirm a wintry breakdown. Sounds good :doh:

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Posted
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire

They have also posted this under their News section (cant get the link to work)

More snow for the south and south-west

24 February 2006

More snow is forecast for the south of the country over the next 24 hours.

The wintry conditions will continue through Friday and intensify overnight as a further area of snow moves westwards across southern counties of England with the heaviest snowfall expected in Dorset, Devon and Cornwall.

Anywhere from Dorset to Cornwall could see up to 2 cm of snow, even at lower levels, and as much as 10 cm of snow is likely over parts of Dartmoor by Saturday morning.

The snow showers will become lighter over the weekend with brighter spells developing.

Head of Forecasting at the Met Office, Nick Grahame said: "People are likely to suffer some disruption during this latest spell of wintry weather, especially in southern parts of Devon. The weekend looks quieter but there is the chance of more snow, coming from the north, affecting some areas next week."

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Good use of the word 'promontories' http://nwstatic.co.uk/forum/public/style_emoticons/<#EMO_DIR#>/laugh.gif

But overall it looks like a standard northerly from that outlook - however, having experienced what happened with the similar November event and how 'unforcastable' a developing surprise trough can be - it's going to keep everyone on their toes...

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Forgot all about popping this in here!

Valid for Sat 4 Mar 2006 to Mon 13 Mar 2006

The very cold northerly flow will be replaced by a milder west or southwesterly flow early in the period. The transition from the very cold flow to a milder southwesterly one is uncertain in both timing and detail, most likely the middle of the week, and is likely to be preceded by sleet and snow in many areas. After the very cold start near average temperatures are expected to spread to southern areas, although remaining rather below average to the north. However, this will be less cold here than of late. Rainfall amounts are expected to be well above average everywhere, although any snow at first will gradually be turning to rain.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

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Posted
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire

News release from met office

Further wintry conditions...

1 March 2006

The wintry conditions many parts of Britain have been experiencing look set to continue.

Across Scotland there have already been more than 10 cm (four inches) of snow causing widespread travel disruption and many school closures - these conditions are predicted to continue for the rest of the week.

Aberdeen forecaster, Tom Masson said: "After the recent heavy snowfalls, northern Scotland can expect further snow showers, but the Central Lowlands and the south should escape the worst of the weather. We would urge people to be careful when they are making journeys."

Wales and parts of south-west England have also seen significant snowfall over the last few days. Snow showers will continue today and tonight across western England and Wales with further fresh snow expected, especially over higher ground such as the Welsh mountains and the moors of south-west England.

Forecasters at the Met Office are also closely monitoring a weather system developing over the Atlantic, which could bring prolonged snowfall to southern counties of England during Friday.

Nick Grahame, Chief Forecaster at the Met Office, said: "There is a risk, albeit small, of significant snow across southern areas on Friday, but at this stage it is more likely that the weather system will have a greater impact across northern France. People should continue keep in touch with the latest forecasts and warnings during this spell of wintry weather."

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Posted
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire
  • Location: Langley, Berkshire

Valid for Wed 8 Mar 2006 to Fri 17 Mar 2006

An unsettled spell of weather is expected in all areas bringing periods of rain or showers, some heavy, particularly in the west, interspersed by temporary drier, brighter interludes. There is a small risk of some sleet or snow across northeastern parts during the first Thursday and Friday of this period. Windy at times, especially in the west and for a time across southern areas, with a risk of gales over exposed parts. Temperatures mostly near or slightly above normal at first, though temporarily rather cold in the northeast with a risk of slight overnight frost, but all areas expected to become above normal to mild from the first weekend of this period.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

Interesting call today:

Valid for Sat 11 Mar 2006 to Mon 20 Mar 2006

At first, cold northeasterly winds may bring sleet or snow showers to southeastern areas of the UK. However for much of this spell, southeastern areas can expect mainly dry and bright weather after overnight frost and patchy fog. Further west and north over the rest of the UK, it will be increasingly unsettled with rain at times and strong winds in places. Yet, drier, brighter interludes are likely too. Temperatures countrywide should be mostly near normal after a chilly start, although southeastern areas of England are likely to stay mostly rather cold.

From http://www.meto.gov.uk/weather/europe/uk/outlook/index.html

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