USA Severe Weather Discussion

[Paul Sherman]

Same Storm As Earlier now producing Golf Ball Hailstones, one of the earlier links had a Camera near Chickasha where this is headed.

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK

627 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

CADDO COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 715 PM CDT

* AT 627 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES EAST OF FORT COBB...MOVING EAST AT 25

MPH. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS IS LIKELY.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE ANADARKO...FORT COBB...GRACEMONT

AND LAKE CHICKASHA.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH NO ADVANCE WARNING.

MOVE IMMEDIATELY TO A STORM SHELTER... BASEMENT OR STURDY BUILDING IF

A TORNADO IS SIGHTED.

Paul Sherman

Tulsa Under The Gun over the next half hour or so!!

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK

638 PM CDT MON APR 24 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN CREEK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

TULSA COUNTY IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 636 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 3 MILES WEST OF

MANNFORD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...MANNFORD...

SAND SPRINGS...TULSA AND OWASSO.

IF YOU ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER NOW! IF NO

UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE

LOWEST FLOOR. MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR MORE

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS!

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW! IF YOU WAIT

TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

Paul Sherman

[NL]

Tulsa webcam superb footage http://ktul.com/news/webcam.hrb?s=1

[Anvil Crawler]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 248

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

135 AM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA

NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY MORNING FROM 135 AM UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH

NORTHEAST OF MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF SHERMAN

TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED

WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES

TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 247. WATCH NUMBER 247 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT

AFTER 135 AM CDT.

DISCUSSION...CLUSTERS OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS SHOULD PERSIST OVER SE

OK AND MOVE SEWD THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WILL BE

POSSIBLE TO THE W ALONG THE SURFACE COLD FRONT IN SRN OK...AND

STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY FORM SWD INTO N/NE TX. A FEED OF MODERATE

INSTABILITY FROM THE S WILL MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND

DAMAGING WINDS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 29020.

[wolves78]

Tornado Reported At El Reno Airport

http://www.ktul.com/news/stories/0406/322036.html

[wolves78]

http://www.lorickweather.net/ss/SouthEast.png

Edited April 25, 2006 by wolves78

[Paul Sherman]

Great Footage here of yesterdays Tornado in Oklahoma

http://www.cnn.com/

Click on Birds Eye View Of A Tornado from KMTV - 41 second clip from a Helicopter!!

Paul Sherman

[wolves78]

Severe Weather Expected in the South

8 AM CDT, April 25, 2006

By WeatherBug Meteorologist, Ryan Towell

A storm system will wobble from the Mississippi Valley region this morning into the Ohio Valley later today. At the same time a very chilly air mass behind a powerful cold front will collide with a warm and rather moist air mass in place over the South. The interaction of these two very different air masses is likely to spark intense thunderstorm development by this afternoon.

Hail, high-winds and tornadoes will be a threat from eastern Texas east to the Carolinas. Austin and San Antonio, Texas, Houston, New Orleans, Jackson, Miss., Birmingham, Ala., Atlanta and Charlotte may be under the gun for a time through late evening.

Storms will push through the Southeast overnight with a chance for strong storms lingering into Wednesday.

[Andy Bown]

Great Footage here of yesterdays Tornado in Oklahoma

http://www.cnn.com/

Click on Birds Eye View Of A Tornado from KMTV - 41 second clip from a Helicopter!!Paul Sherman

Saw a bit of that on the BBC One o'clock news earlier this afternoon, two beautiful rope tornadoes.

[Paul Sherman]

Just looking on Stormtrack and found this Interesting article, looks like Possible SunBathing weather for the first 6 days of our trip as a Ridge of High Pressure extends across the West of the USA But then it may get interesting for a significant severe outbreak!!

The following is according to Ed Berry,

He has been very accurate!

A link to his latest blog entry: http://weatherclimatelink.blogspot.com/

Its a bit long but here are some highlights:

QUOTE

Punch line is we should see the anomalous zonal mean westerlies come back south and contribute to more full latitude energetic troughs slamming into the western part of the country by the end of week 2 (weekend of May 6-7)

QUOTE

. This should be similar to what was observed during March into early April, only a bit farther northwest.

QUOTE

Severe local storm activity across the Plains may become very robust by the end of this period (understanding the impossible predictability of details like quality of tropical moisture transport, instability, etc.)

**Looks like the 1st few days could see us playing the Upslope Colorado and New Mexico Storms due to a small Low near the vicinity, these storms usually kick off very early and produce some fantastic cloud structures with green skies full of hail, so evenings could be good at getting practise of Lightning Shots before the REAL Weather starts around the 6/7th May. Of course this can and probably still will change over the next few days.

Paul Sherman

[Paul Sherman]

And already from the Updated charts today Nebraska looks pretty damn good for Tuesday 2nd May See i told you these charts and models can change quickly.

Paul Sherman

[wolves78]

you just carnt wait can you PS and AC been a good night by the looks of it in texas not as bad as oklahoma but still some good storms dureing the day 19383 strikes since midnight in the US lucky gits

http://www.strikestarus.com/

[Anvil Crawler]

You are right Wolves,I have just been on the phone with Paul and i'm so excited Colorado and Nebraska here we come.

[wolves78]

WOUS64 KWNS 252141

WOU0

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 250

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

445 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 250 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT

FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

ARC005-021-023-031-035-037-049-055-063-065-067-075-093-111-121-

123-135-137-141-145-147-260400-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0250.060425T2145Z-060426T0400Z/

AR

. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAXTER CLAY CLEBURNE

CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN CROSS

FULTON GREENE INDEPENDENCE

IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE

MISSISSIPPI POINSETT RANDOLPH

SHARP ST. FRANCIS STONE

VAN BUREN WHITE WOODRUFF

ILC003-127-153-260400-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0250.060425T2145Z-060426T0400Z/

IL

. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALEXANDER MASSAC PULASKI

KYC007-035-039-055-075-083-105-139-143-145-157-221-260400-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0250.060425T2145Z-060426T0400Z/

KY

. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BALLARD CALLOWAY CARLISLE

CRITTENDEN FULTON GRAVES

HICKMAN LIVINGSTON LYON

MARSHALL MCCRACKEN TRIGG

MOC023-035-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-260400-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0250.060425T2145Z-060426T0400Z/

MO

. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUTLER CARTER DUNKLIN

MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PEMISCOT

RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD

WAYNE

TNC017-023-033-039-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-079-095-097-109-

113-131-157-167-183-260400-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0250.060425T2145Z-060426T0400Z/

TN

. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CARROLL CHESTER CROCKETT

DECATUR DYER FAYETTE

GIBSON HARDEMAN HARDIN

HAYWOOD HENDERSON HENRY

LAKE LAUDERDALE MADISON

MCNAIRY OBION SHELBY

TIPTON WEAKLEY

[Roger J Smith]

I was just reviewing the maps for Monday-Tuesday of next week. Looks like western South Dakota might be the place to be for good storm chasing. Sometimes when you get the unstable weather and the lows as far north as southern Canada, the cold fronts are only active to about the SD-NE border and a strong cap holds back activity in Nebraska at least until well after sunset in some cases.

Southwest SD is pretty wide open "badlands" country with great scenery in general, F3 tornado activity and large hail being quite common in the southern half of the state. There is a zone in western SD related to the Missouri escarpment where storm development often accelerates in mid-afternoon.

I'll post some thoughts on severe weather locations as the tour gets under way. It seems that the active zone is shifting north next week but chances are it will return to the Kansas-Oklahoma area later in the week.

[wolves78]

You are right Wolves,I have just been on the phone with Paul and i'm so excited Colorado and Nebraska here we come.

at least you might get to test your cams out when you get there what with the sky views and the T-storms you might see when you get there ill try to update as much as i can and im sure the rest of net-weather will do the same just stay safe and enjoy

I was just reviewing the maps for Monday-Tuesday of next week. Looks like western South Dakota might be the place to be for good storm chasing. Sometimes when you get the unstable weather and the lows as far north as southern Canada, the cold fronts are only active to about the SD-NE border and a strong cap holds back activity in Nebraska at least until well after sunset in some cases.

Southwest SD is pretty wide open "badlands" country with great scenery in general, F3 tornado activity and large hail being quite common in the southern half of the state. There is a zone in western SD related to the Missouri escarpment where storm development often accelerates in mid-afternoon.

I'll post some thoughts on severe weather locations as the tour gets under way. It seems that the active zone is shifting north next week but chances are it will return to the Kansas-Oklahoma area later in the week.

you should try to join up with the chase RJS if you have the transport to do so

[Paul Sherman]

Some Impressive looking Cells firing across Texas at present, looks like a Hail event at present but you never say never out there.

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX

453 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN BOSQUE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 22 MILES NORTHEAST OF HAMILTON...MOVING EAST AT

35 MPH. THIS STORM WAS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP

TO GOLFBALL SIZE.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

WALNUT SPRINGS BY 505 PM

MORGAN BY 520 PM

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM

WINDOWS UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A STRONG BUILDING AND

STAY INSIDE...AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

Paul Sherman

[Paul Sherman]

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings upgraded to Tornado Warnings now in Deep South Texas!!

TORNADO WARNING

TXC131-252315-

/O.NEW.KCRP.TO.W.0002.060425T2232Z-060425T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX

532 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL DUVAL COUNTY IN SOUTH TEXAS

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 529 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 7 MILES

SOUTHEAST OF FREER...OR ABOUT 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF BENAVIDES...

MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...

7 MILES WEST OF BENAVIDES BY 610 PM CDT

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

TUESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

LAT...LON 2789 9841 2787 9867 2743 9864 2746 9836

$$

MJG

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WARNING

TXC325-252315-

/O.NEW.KEWX.TO.W.0020.060425T2239Z-060425T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX

539 PM CDT TUE APR 25 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

MEDINA

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 536 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER MEDINA

COUNTY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE

INDICATED COUNTY.

IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...GET OUT AND GO TO A STURDY

SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST DITCH

OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

Paul Sherman

[Anvil Crawler]

I was just reviewing the maps for Monday-Tuesday of next week. Looks like western South Dakota might be the place to be for good storm chasing. Sometimes when you get the unstable weather and the lows as far north as southern Canada, the cold fronts are only active to about the SD-NE border and a strong cap holds back activity in Nebraska at least until well after sunset in some cases.

Southwest SD is pretty wide open "badlands" country with great scenery in general, F3 tornado activity and large hail being quite common in the southern half of the state. There is a zone in western SD related to the Missouri escarpment where storm development often accelerates in mid-afternoon.

I'll post some thoughts on severe weather locations as the tour gets under way. It seems that the active zone is shifting north next week but chances are it will return to the Kansas-Oklahoma area later in the week.

Thanks Roger for your input.

Todys outlook as follow's

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0666

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0319 AM CDT WED APR 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS SE TX...CENTRAL/SRN LA.

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 253...254...

VALID 260819Z - 260945Z

CORRECTED FOR TYPO

THREAT FOR ELEVATED SEVERE TSTM DEVELOPMENT PERSISTS BEHIND SFC COLD

FRONT ACROSS MOST OF SE TX...IN AREA OF FAVORABLE BUOYANCY AND SHEAR

ALOFT THAT IS ROOTED ATOP FRONTAL SFC. TSTMS N HOU HAVE PRODUCED

HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES DIAMETER WITHIN PAST 1-2 HOURS. MORE LARGE HAIL

IS EXPECTED FROM MOST VIGOROUS TSTMS IN LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION

COVERING MUCH OF TX/LA S OF A LINE FROM 60 WNW HOU...LFK...POE.

ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE FARTHER W AND SW ACROSS WW...ALSO

N OF SFC COLD FRONT. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE STEEP MIDLEVEL

LAPSE RATES PERSIST ACROSS THIS AREA...WITH BROAD PLUME OF MOIST

ASCENT ATOP STABLE FRONTAL LAYER. ELEVATED MUCAPES 1500-2500 J/KG

ARE COMMON IN AREAS NOT STABILIZED BY RECENT CONVECTION. DEEP-LAYER

SHEAR THROUGH BUOYANT LAYER STRENGTHENS WITH SWWD EXTENT ALONG

MID/UPPER TX COASTAL PLAIN...RANGING FROM APPROXIMATELY 35 KT AROUND

HOU TO OVER 60 KT NEAR VCT. THIS INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR ANY NEW

DEVELOPMENT OVER TX COASTAL PLAIN TO ROTATE AND PRODUCE

LARGE/DAMAGING HAIL.

PORTIONS SWRN/S-CENTRAL LA NOW UNDER WW 253 EWD ACROSS PORTIONS

S-CENTRAL/SERN LA WILL BE MONITORED FOR ADDITIONAL WW. BESIDES MCS

SPREADING ACROSS SRN PORTION WW 253...ISOLATED SUPERCELL HAS

DEVELOPED AND INTENSIFIED QUICKLY OVER TERREBONNE COUNTY ALONG

BOUNDARY BETWEEN OUTFLOW-OVERTURNED AIR INLAND...AND MARINE AIR MASS

ADVECTING INLAND FROM GULF. LOW LEVEL SHEAR ENHANCEMENTS ASSOCIATED

WITH MARINE BOUNDARY WITHIN ABOUT 50 NM OF COAST SUPPORT SUPERCELL

POTENTIAL DESPITE MRGL MIDLEVEL WINDS. LOW 70S F SFC DEW POINTS

ALONG/S OF THAT BOUNDARY CONTRIBUTE TO SFC-BASED BUOYANCY WITH

MLCAPES 2000-3000 J/KG.

[Anvil Crawler]

SEL4

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 254

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1255 AM CDT WED APR 26 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST TEXAS

COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 1255 AM UNTIL 700 AM CDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65

STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH

NORTHWEST OF HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO 70 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF

ANGLETON TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 253...

DISCUSSION...ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND SPREAD

EWD ACROSS SE TX THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS TO THE NW OF A

SURFACE COLD FRONT. MUCAPE OF 2000-2500 J/KG /BASED NEAR 850 MB/

AND RELATIVELY STRAIGHT HODOGRAPHS ABOVE THE FRONTAL SURFACE WILL

SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES AND ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 29025.

[Paul Sherman]

Ouch!! Would'nt fancy getting hit by that yesterday in Arkansaw 4" Hailstones not nice!

5 Tornadoes Reported for yesterday 1 in Texas 1 in Tennessee and 3 in our good ol favourite Missouri

Time Size Place County State

2253 425 CORNING CLAY AR 3641 9059 (MEG)

Paul Sherman

[Gorky]

Ouch!! Would'nt fancy getting hit by that yesterday in Arkansaw 4" Hailstones not nice!

5 Tornadoes Reported for yesterday 1 in Texas 1 in Tennessee and 3 in our good ol favourite Missouri

Time Size Place County State

2253 425 CORNING CLAY AR 3641 9059 (MEG)

Paul Sherman

Interesting that the tornadoes in Missouri followed the same path as the last ones through that area hitting Caruthersville again. Maybe it's trying to take away Sedalia's claim to be the tornado capital of Missouri

[wolves78]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 255

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1240 PM EDT WED APR 26 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

EASTERN GEORGIA

SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINA

COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1240 PM UNTIL

1000 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70

MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105

STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES SOUTHWEST

OF ATHENS GEORGIA TO 65 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF MYRTLE BEACH

SOUTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE

ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE

FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH

AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR

THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS

AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY

DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THROUGH

THE AFTERNOON FROM EASTERN GA INTO UPSTATE SC...SPREADING EASTWARD

TOWARDS THE COAST. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY

OVER SC...AND ALONG SEA BREEZE. STRONG INSTABILITY AND INCREASING

VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE

OF LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT

TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60

KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM

MOTION VECTOR 27030.

[NL]

Tornado warning for south carolina

Expires 4:30 PM EDT on April 26, 2006

Statement as of 3:50 PM EDT on April 26, 2006

The National Weather Service in Wilmington NC has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...

northern Williamsburg County in northeast South Carolina

* until 430 PM EDT

* at 346 PM EDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar indicated a

severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado near

Kingstree... or over Kingstree... moving east at 25 mph.

* The tornado is expected to be near...

Kingstree by 355 PM...

Hemingway by 430 PM...

The safest place to be during a tornado is in a basement. Get under a

workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture. If no basement is

available... seek shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an

interior hallway or room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to

cover your body and always stay away from windows.

If in Mobile homes or vehicles... evacuate them and get inside a

substantial shelter. If no shelter is available... lie flat in the

nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.

If you observed severe weather or weather related damage... report it

to the nearest law enforcement agency and ask them to relay the

report to the National Weather Service forecast office in Wilmington

NC.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 1000 PM EDT

Wednesday evening for southeast North Carolina and northeast South

Carolina.

Lat... Lon 3373 8001 3356 7994 3364 7942 3376 7938

3381 7967

[wolves78]

you lot never know as you get there you may need to get the digi cams at the ready

http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-stor...adc=0&article=0

The cold front that served as the focus of severe weather Tuesday and Tuesday night from North Carolina to Texas will again trigger severe thunderstorms Wednesday evening for parts of the Southeast. The greatest threat for severe weather will be across southern South Carolina, central and southern Georgia, southeastern Alabama and the northern third of Florida. The main threats in these regions through the first half of Wednesday night will be torrential downpours, large hail and wind gusts in excess of 50 mph. An isolated tornado is possible in the strongest thunderstorms. Most of the thunderstorm activity will be off the Southeast coast by Thursday morning.

Any severe thunderstorms that form Thursday will likely be in West Texas and southeastern New Mexico as instability increases ahead of an approaching upper-level low.

[Paul Sherman]

Well it is getting damn close now and only 48 hours till departure so i am looking at the models and seeing what may be in store when we arrive. That damn Death Ridge of High pressure is still trying its hardest to give us Sunbathing weather for the first week but some opportunities may be evident in our first 5 days, looking further ahead the Very Severe Risk is still progged in the models for next weekend 7/8th May. As Follows

Monday could see a possible Risk in parts of Colorado or Panhandles

Tuesday sees possibly Western Kansas or Colorado again.

Wednesday sees an advancing Cold Front with Dryline situation possible

Paul Sherman