Us Chase Day 3 Discussion - Tues 2nd May 2006

[kold weather]

Lots of Cumulus seems to be forming in the target zone at present which is a good sign, with a couple of potent small cells seemingly starting to form over NW.Texas.

Close to Childress and the surronding region temps now into the 80's and DP being reported nearby Childress now recording 70F!

This yeilds a cape of 4400kjs!!!

So I'd think any storm that does kick off in this region will be severe, esp in terms of hail, with a couple of tornadoes at least possible though still fairly marginal LLS until prehaps in the eveing time when, as the SPC state, a low level jet streak pushes up over western Texas and OK introducing 25-40kts of shear:

http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/RUC/SP/rucSP_850_spd_6.gif

[Gorky]

Yep cheers for that

Paul looks like a nice cell to your west, can you see it yet? Tops up to 30,000ft.

Tops are actually 42.5K on that cell from the Amarillo site. It is right on the Frederick sites range limit so you are best switching to the Amarillo site for now.

Or you can just load up multiple GRLevel 3's and look at all of them

[Cloudburst]

2 severe warnings just poped up both in TX in Pecos state.1 developing Mescocyclone now on the scope in cell j0. It looks to pass to the northern sector of Beckam, so your very well placed for this cell - Two full blown mescocyclones now in this cell and its heading straight for northern part of beckam, rotational echo now on VV scope, could well produce a tornado, its now developing a hook, wow this storm is really building fast, adn 2 distinct cells in the storm, just waiting from them to converge.

Edited May 2, 2006 by ¤CloudBurst¤

[Cloudburst]

Definet hook

[wolves78]

latest cam from amarillo great looking sky there ATM

[Supacell]

Will be up early to see your piccies tomorrow morning guys.

[Cloudburst]

Are the team still in beckham? lots of cells heading their way.

[wolves78]

Are the team still in beckham? lots of cells heading their way.

think they are staying there now as they know its a very active area ATM thats where i would stay if i was them looks great for there first major system and only after 3 days more likely tmora aswell

[fuzion]

yeh id defo stay put in that area looks like there guna have a busy one looking forward to the pics and vids 2moro

[wolves78]

urgent - immediate broadcast requested

Tornado Watch number 276

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

240 PM CDT Tue may 2 2006

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

Tornado Watch for portions of

western Oklahoma

eastern Panhandle and northwest Texas

Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 240 PM until

1100 PM CDT.

Tornadoes... hail to 4 inches in diameter... thunderstorm wind

gusts to 70 mph... and dangerous lightning are possible in these

areas.

Edited May 2, 2006 by wolves78

[south_holland_uk]

looks like things could get nasty.......or fun depending on which way you look at things

[wolves78]

looks like things could get nasty.......or fun depending on which way you look at things

nasty for the residents but not for the storm chasers

[Gorky]

There is a tight couplet showing on the clarendon storm at the moment. I wouldn't be surprised to see it go tornado warned soon. I don't see anything at the surface, but it's really rotating higher up!

[wolves78]

wellington looks good for a tornado warning soon enough as it looks like 2 systems may converge there soon

[Cloudburst]

There is a tight couplet showing on the clarendon storm at the moment. I wouldn't be surprised to see it go tornado warned soon. I don't see anything at the surface, but it's really rotating higher up!

Yep can see mid level rotation on that one, the top goes up to around 40,000ft. and just look at the VIL on S0 cell. I rekon cell t1 will have a tornado very soon if not at the moment, this should move right through the middle of Beckham, which part are the team in? (if reference to the position in the state).

[wolves78]

http://static.newsok.biz/sites/newsok/images/news9/Port1.jpg

[Cloudburst]

got a TVS now, and check out cell m3, developing a hook and also signature on VV.

here it is ( middle left), its a real conker of a storm may well be on the verge of becoming a supercell (this is heading straight for the guys)

Edited May 2, 2006 by ¤CloudBurst¤

[Gorky]

All of these storms you are seeing are supercells... Long lived storms with broad rotation...

Anyway..tornado warning now in effect for gray county based on radar indicated rotation.

Strong rotation also showing up in Southern Hall County and Central Motley County. Hopefully they are on one of these cells

[Cloudburst]

The cell i posted a minute ago, looks like this (this webcam is behind the storm that i pointed out)

[wolves78]

The cell i posted a minute ago, looks like this (this webcam is behind the storm that i pointed out)

same one as post No30 there CB i poped it on so it would update every 1min

[fuzion]

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX

500 PM CDT TUE MAY 2 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTHERN MITCHELL COUNTY IN WEST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 456 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 10 MILES

NORTHWEST OF COLORADO CITY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...

COLORADO CITY...

LORAINE...

CUTHERBERT...

A TORNADO MAY FORM AT ANY TIME... TAKE COVER NOW. ABANDON MOBILE

HOMES AND VEHICLES FOR MORE SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. AVOID WINDOWS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER ONLY... CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE

FORECAST OFFICE IN MIDLAND AT 1 800 597 3220.

LAT...LON 3249 10110 3228 10110 3225 10069 3250 10069

3249 10081

heading right for them thats if there still where they were!

Edited May 2, 2006 by fuzion

[wolves78]

WOW

[Gorky]

Tornado warning now in effect for Hall County. Confirmed tornado earlier 6 miles NW of Clarendon. Another confirmed tornado in Mitchell County

[Cloudburst]

Looks like the team are missing out at the mo, although they may be able to see some of the cells.

[Gorky]

I really doubt the team are still in Beckham County.. They are probably on the move which is why they havn't been posting here... I'm sure they are on one storm or another