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Posted
  • Location: Sunny Southsea
  • Location: Sunny Southsea
A good friend of mine in Shanghai I chat to on MSN every day told me that it was very hot and sunny there while the typhoon was hitting further south. Seems strange that it should have had such different weather.

I haven't been to Wenzhou but I certainly know that it is a developed area. News reports here said that 1.5 million people were evacuated, which shows just how densely populated it is.

Any news locally on where they think Wukong is likely to hit?

Latest predictions are pointing Wukong at Southern Japan and dissipating over land. Sonamu appears to be weakening, and is expected to dissipate over sea. Sorry, TH, doesn't look like you're going to get your Fujiwara event.

:)P

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Posted
  • Location: Watford
  • Location: Watford
Thanks, TH. I'm talking about this season in particular. Everything seems to have funneled either to the N. or the S. of Taiwan, in a relatively narrow band. You mentioned a Fujiwara event before; I presume it refers to a conjoining of cyclones, but please explain a bit more, for example, what is the effect?

Either they rotate around each other or the stronger one shears the weaker one to pieces and can be absorbed by the stronger system. Looked like this was happening last night as the MLC was decoupled from the LLC. Actually RSMC Tokyo confirmed what I thought was happening. :blink:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING

REASONING NO. 4 FOR TS 0611 SONAMU (0611)

1.GENERAL COMMENTS

REASONING OF PROGNOSIS THIS TIME IS SIMILAR TO PREVIOUS ONE.

POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.

2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION

NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.

3.MOTION FORECAST

POSITION ACCURACY AT 150600 UTC IS GOOD.

TS WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS THEN MOVE GRADUALLY TO NORTH-NORTHEAST.

4.INTENSITY FORECAST

TS WILL BE GRADED DOWN TO TD WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TS WILL WEAKEN BECAUSE ACTIVE CONVECTIVE CLOUD CLUSTER HAS SEPARATED FROM LOW LEVEL CIRCURATION CENTER=

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Hi Pamenides.

I'm not a meteorologist so my knowledge on the Fujiwhara effect is limited (but trying to learn all the while!!) however it basically involves one storm affecting the track of the other eg orbit around each other. As I said before P.K is prob the person to ask about this. Not plugging another forum but there is a discussion going on here which makes interesting reading weather.org.hk about possible Fujiwhara interaction between Sonamu and Wukong.

Here's the wikipedia link to it as well:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fujiwhara_effect

Blackie and Craig, I've spent a couple of summers up in Shanghai and indeed it can get disgustingly hot (the pollution makes it disgusting!) Last summer in Taiwan the weather was crazy hot in the days before Supertyphoon Haitang made landfall. Indeed living in the Asia/Pacific rim is v. interesting especially around this time of year!

Meanwhile on the TS front, Wukong is still wobbling northward in the direction of Japan, here's the latest JMA info, looks like could be eventual landfall in S Japan:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 151200UTC 29.3N 138.2E FAIR

MOVE N SLOWLY

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 045KT

30KT 230NM SOUTH 170NM NORTH

FORECAST

24HF 161200UTC 30.1N 135.7E 80NM 70%

MOVE WNW SLOWLY

PRES 980HPA

MXWD 050KT

48HF 171200UTC 30.3N 134.1E 150NM 70%

MOVE W SLOWLY

PRES 975HPA

MXWD 055KT

72HF 181200UTC 30.4N 132.6E 220NM 70%

MOVE W SLOWLY

PRES 975HPA

MXWD 055KT

Meanwhile with TS Sonamu:

Issued at 12:00 UTC 15 Aug 2006

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0611 SONAMU (0611)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 151200UTC 23.9N 139.1E FAIR

MOVE NE 23KT

PRES 992HPA

MXWD 040KT

30KT 150NM SOUTHEAST 130NM NORTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 161200UTC 30.9N 138.3E 100NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION

Conditions where I am on Ko Chang in E Thailand have been very rough today and it was great to test out my new waterproof filming gear in preparation for any upcoming typhoons! :blink:

Edited by Typhoon Hunter
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Sorry for lack of update yesterday, half a bottle of whiskey and a dodgy 711 hotdog got the better of my stomach!!! :lol:

Anyway, here's what's going on in the NWP. TS Wukong is wobbling off the SE coast of Kyushu and has max winds of 45kts. Here's the latest JMA data:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 170600UTC 31.2N 132.4E GOOD

MOVE WNW 06KT

PRES 980HPA

MXWD 045KT

30KT 210NM SOUTHEAST 160NM NORTHWEST

FORECAST

24HF 180600UTC 33.6N 130.7E 80NM 70%

MOVE NNW 07KT

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 045KT

48HF 190600UTC 36.8N 130.4E 150NM 70%

MOVE N 08KT

PRES 990HPA

MXWD 040KT

72HF 200600UTC 41.1N 130.0E 220NM 70%

MOVE N 10KT

PRES 992HPA

MXWD 035KT

It's forecast to make landfall in the next 24hrs and head north. Meanwhile JTWC have their eye on invest 98W. They reckon it has "poor" chance of further development over next 24hrs.

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I saw that TD mentioned on the JMA website, it seems to have dissipated now. Meanwhile TS Wukong has made landfall in S Japanese island of Kyushu. Here's the latest data from JMA:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 180600UTC 32.6N 130.5E FAIR

MOVE ALMOST STATIONARY

PRES 982HPA

MXWD 045KT

30KT 180NM

FORECAST

24HF 190600UTC 35.4N 129.8E 90NM 70%

MOVE NNW 08KT

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 040KT

48HF 200600UTC 38.5N 128.2E 150NM 70%

MOVE N 08KT

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 035KT

72HF 210600UTC 41.4N 131.5E 290NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

Edited by Typhoon Hunter
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Here's the latest on TS Wukong:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0610 WUKONG (0610)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 190600UTC 35.2N 130.1E FAIR

MOVE N 08KT

PRES 994HPA

MXWD 035KT

30KT 160NM NORTH 120NM SOUTH

FORECAST

24HF 200600UTC 39.1N 127.9E 90NM 70%

MOVE NNW 10KT

PRES 996HPA

MXWD 035KT

48HF 210600UTC 42.1N 131.4E 150NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW

It's heading towards the east coast of S Korea.

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Posted
  • Location: Sunny Southsea
  • Location: Sunny Southsea

Hopefully you'll be waking to this soon; it's a bit out of the area at the moment, but looks like it has potential, so I thought I'd post it anyway. Hints of another 'twin' system?

WTPN21 PHNC 191900

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 191851Z AUG 06//

RMKS/

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN

140 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 10.0N 156.0W TO 11.6N 163.2W

WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY

ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT IM-

AGERY AT 191730Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED

NEAR 10.0N 157.4W. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS.

2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.1N

156.4W, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.0N 157.4W, APPROXIMATELY 810 NM

EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JOHNSTON ATOLL. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY

DEPICTS IMPROVED OVERALL ORGANIZATION WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE

BANDS IN THE SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE DISTURBANCE. A 191211Z

AMSR-E PASS DEPICTED A BROAD LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)

WITH CONSOLIDATING DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER. UPPER LEVEL

ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE DISTURBANCE IS LOCATED IN A FAVORABLE

ENVIRONMENT BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS, WITH GOOD OUTFLOW AND

WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE

ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED

TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A

SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.

3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED

BY 201900Z.//

From JTWC.

I'd be interested to hear an expert analysis.

:lol: P

post-6011-1156029774.jpg

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Hi P.

This disturbance has been upgraded to 01C and Honolulu forecast it to reach hurricane strength in 3 days (forecast subject to change of course!) If and when it gets named it will be called Ioke. Here's a link to the latest forecast track:

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/C...006_frTrack.gif

Wukong is weakening over the Korean peninsula at the moment and has been downgraded to a TD. Here's the latest JMA data:

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TD DOWNGRADED FROM TS 0610 WUKONG (0610)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 200300UTC 39N 130E

MOVE N 10KT

PRES 1002HPA

This'll be my last update on the system.

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Posted
  • Location: Sunny Southsea
  • Location: Sunny Southsea

Morning TH:

Ioke it is, and building up rapidly to be another well-formed & powerful system. Also note a third TD on JTWC in the East Pacific- looks like another Daniel.

In the meantime, the Atlantic shows nothing but plumes flying out of Africa around the Equator & heading straight over the Isthmus, where they seem to start developing into systems, possibly because of the incredibly warm waters on the SSTs in that area. The Western & North-Western systems seem to be forming west of Hawaii, or East of the Philippines,but I don't know why; any suggestions?

Note: BBC reports 18 million in Sichuan & West suffering from drought, while The S. gets soaked and Shanghai's in a heat wave; is this normal?

Don't think I should add my smily tag; when lives are at stake, it doesn't seem right.

P

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Hi P.

I was watching the Chinese news a couple of days ago and they were mentioning the drought in the Sichuan area...bad news for the poor farmers over there!

The Pacific east of the Phillipines (around Guam/ Saipan etc) is the breeding ground for typhoons certainly at this time of year. Even to the north around Iwo Jima the ocean creates some real belters (ie Supertyphoon Haitang last year!) However the season has been quite slow so far and not good at all for intercepting. Saomai would have been good if I had had the right visas for Mainland China!

Here's the latest JMA analysis on NWP:

SUMMARY.

LOW 986 HPA AT 60N 132E ENE 15 KT.

LOW 1004 HPA AT 39N 179W NORTH 10 KT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1008 HPA AT 42N 132E ENE 15 KT.

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 22N 125E ALMOST STATIONARY.

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 26N 152E NE 15 KT.

HIGH 1020 HPA AT 43N 170E ALMOST STATIONARY.

OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 61N 135E TO 59N 138E 58N 140E.

WARM FRONT FROM 58N 140E TO 56N 144E 55N 146E.

COLD FRONT FROM 58N 140E TO 54N 140E 47N 133E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

Hurricane Ioke has intensified quickly. The latest forecast track shows it tracking to the NW and intensifying to 104mph:

http://www.prh.noaa.gov/cphc/tc_graphics/C..._errorTrack.gif

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Posted
  • Location: Sunny Southsea
  • Location: Sunny Southsea

Thanks, Th. None of these systems is going to give you much joy, I suppose, unless that LP at 26N 152E picks up & heads more Westerly.

Interesting that Hector has almost fizzled out, just as Ioke picks up - some lovely sat. images of this one; probably just as well it isn't further West, for the locals, that is.

:( P

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Hi PK.

Yes I was aware that that TD was ex-Wukong but thanks for letting others know who might not have realised. :D Talking of TDs, JMA mention a new one below:

WARNING AND SUMMARY 220600.

SUMMARY.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA AT 34N 152E WEST SLOWLY.

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 18N 109E WNW SLOWLY. (97W)

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 23N 123E WEST SLOWLY.

HIGH 1012 HPA AT 40N 130E ESE 10 KT.

HIGH 1018 HPA AT 43N 163E ALMOST STATIONARY.

STATIONARY FRONT FROM 43N 139E TO 47N 146E 49N 152E 50N 160E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

JTWC have their eyes on an area of convection just to the west of Hainan Island, it's currently Invest 97W.

Meanwhile in the central Pacific Hurricane Ioke is intensifying and currently has max sustained winds of 130mph. Looks like Johnson Island could get a real hammering. More info here:

Central Pacific Hurricane Centre

Edited by Typhoon Hunter
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The area of low pressure in the South China Sea has been upgraded to a Tropical Depression by JMA. Here's their latest summary:

SUMMARY.

LOW 1000 HPA AT 35N 151E NNW SLOWLY.

LOW 1008 HPA AT 28N 178E NNE 10 KT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA AT 18N 111E ESE SLOWLY.

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1004 HPA NEAR 22N 124E ALMOST STATIONARY.

HIGH 1012 HPA AT 39N 133E EAST 10 KT.

HIGH 1014 HPA AT 51N 146E EAST 10 KT.

HIGH 1012 HPA AT 20N 162E ALMOST STATIONARY.

HIGH 1020 HPA AT 42N 165E ALMOST STATIONARY.

STATIONARY FRONT FROM 44N 141E TO 44N 145E 48N 150E 50N 155E 50N162E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

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  • 3 weeks later...
Posted
  • Location: Sunny Southsea
  • Location: Sunny Southsea

In addtion to TS Kirsty, which could make an upgrade soon, there's a new Central Pacific alert out:

(from JTWC)

WTPN21 PGTW 070200

MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT 070151Z SEP 06//

REF/A/RMG/NAVPACMETOCCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/060151Z AUG 06//

AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTPN21 PGTW 060200)//

RMKS/

1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN

180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19.2N 168.9E TO 25.9N 165.0E

WITHIN THE NEXT 06 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY

ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.

WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT

IMAGERY AT 062330Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED

NEAR 20.3N 168.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD AT 13

KNOTS.

2. REMARKS: THIS SUPERSEDES REF A. THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY

LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 167.4E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 168.1E, APPROX-

IMATELY 105 NM NORTHEAST OF WAKE ISLAND. RECENT MULTISPECTRAL

SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS FLARING CONVECTION AND A PARTIALLY EXPOSED

LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 062128Z SSMI/S MICROWAVE

IMAGE CONFIRMS THE NORTHWESTWARD SHIFT IN TRACK AND INDICATES

MODERATE WIND SHEAR. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SUPPORTS AN INCREASE IN

VERTICAL SHEAR OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE

WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS

ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A

SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS GOOD.

3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY

080200Z.//

Worth keeping an eye on, especially after the stunning Ioke.

:angry: P

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Well it looks like the NWP might be waking up, however it better not wake up to much until next Friday when I can collect my passport from the immigration bureau where my residence permit is being processed! Here's the latest from JMA:

SUMMARY.

(1) LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 24N 129E ALMOST STATIONARY.

(2)LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 14N 143E ALMOST STATIONARY.

(3)LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 26N 166E NNW 10 KT.

HIGH 1026 HPA AT 49N 156E ALMOST STATIONARY.HIGH 1026 HPA AT 39N 176E ALMOST STATIONARY.

STATIONARY FRONT FROM 32N 108E TO 34N 114E 37N 117E 40N 122E 44N 125E44N 129E.

STATIONARY FRONT FROM 35N 141E TO 38N 145E 42N 147E 42N 151E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

#1 is invest 95W.

#2 is invest area 94W. JTWC has the following on this disturbance:

AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 13.4N 140.3E,

APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST OF GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE

IMAGERY DEPICTS PERSISTENT CONVECTION NEAR A POSSIBLE MID-LEVEL

CIRCULATION CENTER. A 080122Z AMSU PASS SHOWED AN ELONGATED LOW

LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WITH DEVELOPING CONVECTIVE BANDS OVER THE

NORTH SEMICIRCLE. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE CENTER

IS UNDER WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. ADDITIONALLY, THE AREA IS SOUTHWEST

OF A TUTT CELL WITH WEAK EASTWARD OUTFLOW AND MODERATE EQUATORWARD

OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15

KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE

WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS POOR.

#3 is way out in the ocean and is invest 92W.

94W is the area I'm gonna keep a close eye on at the moment.

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JMA have now upgraded the low pressure area (94W) to a TD. Here's their latest summary:

SUMMARY.

LOW 1006 HPA AT 51N 131E NNE 20 KT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 14N 138E WEST SLOWLY.

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 22N 124E WSW SLOWLY.

LOW PRESSURE AREA 1010 HPA NEAR 28N 162E WNW 10 KT.

HIGH 1028 HPA AT 38N 106E SE 10 KT.

HIGH 1026 HPA AT 47N 174E ESE 15 KT.

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Looks like we could have a TS within the next 24hrs. Here's the latest gale warning from JMA:

WARNING AND SUMMARY 100000.

WARNING VALID 110000.

WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.

GALE WARNING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPAAT 15.0N 136.2E SEA EAST OF PHILIPPINES MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 08KNOTS.POSITION POOR.

MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.

EXPECTED MAX WINDS 40 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.

FORECAST POSITION FOR 110000UTC AT 16.7N 133.8E WITH 150 MILES RADIUSOF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.

Here's the latest JTWC track:

warning1aj1.gif

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Well it took less than 24 hours for Shanshan to be upgraded to a tropical storm. Here's what JMA have to say:

T0613 (SHANSHAN)

Issued at 12:00 UTC 10 Sep 2006RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0613 SHANSHAN (0613) UPGRADED FROM TD

ANALYSIS

PSTN 101200UTC 16.8N 134.8E POOR

MOVE NW 08KT

PRES 1000HPA

MXWD 035KT

30KT 90NM

FORECAST

24HF 111200UTC 18.8N 132.8E 80NM 70%

MOVE NW 06KT

PRES 994HPA

MXWD 040KT

48HF 121200UTC 19.8N 130.4E 150NM 70%

MOVE WNW 06KT

PRES 985HPA

MXWD 050KT

72HF 131200UTC 20.0N 127.7E 220NM 70%

MOVE W 06KT

PRES 970HPA

MXWD 065KT

They expect Shanshan to intensify and reach minimal typhoon strength within 72hrs.

The Taiwanese forecast Shanshan to head in the direction of Taiwan and the Ryuku Islands. Here's their forecast track:

cwbtrackwu9.jpg

Finally JTWC have a similar track at first but then expect it to make a more NW turn after T+72:

warning3gm5.gif

Of course anything after T+72 is highly uncertain so we'll have to wait and see where this is likely to make landfall (if she doesn't recurve.)

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Tropical Storm Shanshan is intensifying quite rapidly at the moment but there still remains a sharp contrast in forecast track between JTWC and JMA/CWB. Here's the latest JMA summary:

Issued at 03:00 UTC 11 Sep 2006RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY

NAME TS 0613 SHANSHAN (0613)

ANALYSIS

PSTN 110300UTC 18.2N 133.9E FAIR

MOVE NNW SLOWLY

PRES 990HPA

MXWD 045KT

30KT 130NM

FORECAST

24HF 120300UTC 20.2N 131.2E 80NM 70%

MOVE WNW 08KT

PRES 975HPA

MXWD 060KT

45HF 130000UTC 20.9N 128.7E 150NM 70%

MOVE W 06KT

PRES 960HPA

MXWD 075KT

69HF 140000UTC 21.0N 126.4E 220NM 70%

MOVE W SLOWLY

PRES 950HPA

MXWD 080KT

They expect her to track towards S Taiwan. This is in contrast to JTWC who expect Shanshan to make a more poleward turn later on in forecast period:

warning5xs6.gif

However, regardless of differences in forecast track, Shanshan is expected to intensify and is already looking great on satellite, could teach Florence a lesson or two in presenting herself! Courtesy of NRL Monterey:

warning5vissg2.jpg

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