Invest 95L

[summer blizzard]

While many of us have been keeping track of the Cape Verde storm, a surface low has formed in the Gluf Of Mexico and is currently over the loop current, steering currents should push the system south west and in the current environment of low shear and warm sea surface temperatures, i would not be suprised to see rapid development, especially as the system is now passing over the loop current, a good anolouge for this storm may be Hurricane Alicia in 1983, in a similar synoptic setup, and in April, that storm reached strong category 2/weak category 3 intensity and made landfall in southern Texas.

I would not normally create a thread for such a system however the system is now passing over the Loop Current which caused the development of the major hurricanes last year and as a result, a conective falreup is taking place.

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/uploads/post...-1155678644.jpg

[crimsone]

A significant storm cell/MCS from overland Florida entered that region of the Gulf while conditions were reasonably favourable a few weeks ago...

...and promptly fell apart.

I wouldn't dream or dare to say that you are wrong (even if it doesn't actually seem to be named as an invest yet!), but if this turns out to be the case, this thread will be for naught other than making a mess of the forums for our resident KW to clean up. As it isn't even a TD yet, perhaps it would have been better to post it in the appropriate thread as indicated by the sticky at the top of the forum?

Just a thought/opinion.

[Gray-Wolf]

I know we are watching incoming 'waves' but the G.O.M. looks interesting today. A big storm rolled out into the Gulf last night and it is starting to form again today (with rotation) and another stom is rolling into the Gulf from the states this a.m. too.

[kold weather]

Its a very messy system indeed Graywolf, looks like it has got a fairly strong mid-level center which is spinning away WSW and has just recently seen a convective burst. to that systems north is a new mass of convection that is heading in the general same direction though this blob doesn't seem to have a circulation as of yet though it may form one.

[summer blizzard]

The invest is now 95L, please change the thread title.

[summer blizzard]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2...RENT=LATEST.jpg

Not sure what is going on with this system, but if that large mass of convection can develop over water, then we could see something from this system

[Gray-Wolf]

I don't know whether 95L dissipated but there is still some circulation to the SE of its last position. Lets wait for todays convection and see what happens (again).