Australia severe weather 2006/7 season

[Supercell Hunters]

31C today with hot NW winds tending gustier later tonight turning SE. The change will bring isolated to scattered showers and will easing on Wednesday morning before the national heatwave next weekend.

[Supercell Hunters]

Cooler today with wind gusts and drizzle showers, only 21C today.

Temperature trend for days here:

24C tomorrow, wed 25C, thurs 28C friday 31C sat 33C sun 36C

It getting hotter through the week with increasing min towards 20C on Friday night!!!!!!!!!!!1

[Supercell Hunters]

Looks like going to be warmer than 24C today, hrrrm i felt a hot air!

[Supercell Hunters]

22C Today lol well enough cool air lol.

Anyway it getting much more hotter through the week with huge heatwave most of Australia with stunning temperatures of 40C with min over 20C amd thunderstorms will expected mainly NE NSW and SE QLD. This heatwave will remain ease in few days in between cool change next week but rising mercury temperatures at Broken Hill for Friday is hottest on record with max of 38C and min 24C!!!!!!!!!

[Supercell Hunters]

Going to get warmer here today with max of 25C and reaching 30's on Friday! Severe thunderstorms outbreak starting on this Sunday! Photo time!

[Supercell Hunters]

Very hot days started, temperature now it 23.9C so warm for this hour and moisture has kicked in today and seeing possible showers and thunderstorms. Day time temperatures will stay over 25C everyday and mins reaching 20C's!

Cheers!

[Supercell Hunters]

Very very very dangerously hot days across SE Australia today with massive heat burst up to 35C most places! Hobart, Tas scored 34C today with excessive min of 21C last night was record! Unbelievable heat trough scored 40C temperatures inland Australia, mainly central.

Temperature here was 26.5C today and going heatwave tomorrow up to 30C and then everyday! But Yes!!! Sunday here we comes for lightning!

[Supercell Hunters]

Hello, nice hot gusty NW lies today top of 28C, going to be 31C tomorrow! Storms has changed into showers until Tuesday and then Thursday will bring massive storms with summer heat!

What a massive rain coming by weather charts here: http://wxmaps.org/pix/prec7.html With still of very warm temperatures during the period. I thought it going to get dry but now it wet turn! Massive 70mm on week one and wowie 125mm on week two! Thats more like La Nina! Unbelievable event.

Looks see what the comments are?

[Supercell Hunters]

Forecast models has been updated and quoting new stormy event for located areas. Lifted Index and CAPE is much alot deeper than last few months. Wind shear is reasonable. We are looking at severe storm event as it usual end of October. Our last good stormy event in October was back in 2003 that NSW had alot of rain and good thunderstorms.

Anyway Wednesday 18th of October is the startdate of thunderstorms event, that day thunderstorms mainly in central NSW by the southern'ly change develops. By next day Thursday of course, the southern'ly change sweeps away on the sea and winds start to turn NE'ly again and bring more storms in central NSW and it extending throughout into NE NSW and SE QLD. Lifted Index and CAPE will be reasonable similar to windshear through the week. Rainfalls would be a little low west of the ranges, one day might see a high precipiation thunderstorm in west of the ranges. Coastal areas and east of the ranges will see thunderstorms due to the reasonable wind shear. The moisture had been increased since last week from NE areas alothough good heating to perform thunderstorms.

Hopefully this comes out!

[shuggee]

Channel nine and ten news both saying this is now the worst Aussie drought in history - and there's even talk of it being the case that water is actually running out, rather than just being a drought. Local reservoirs here 53% full - and that at the end of winter. Sounds ominous, especially if el nino develops.

[MP-R]

Do you have a website where you download all your photographs and videos of storms to? If so, could you leave a link because I'm now jealous of your weather over there.

I case we'll have to put up with foggy mornings and hazy sunshine in the afternoons.

[Thundersquall]

This is a good website for viewing Australian weather statistics.

http://www.bom.gov.au/

[Supercell Hunters]

33C here today hottest day so far this season!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Southern'ly change got here already with nice winds, quite little windy though. Good rain tomorrow and Tuesday much nice air.

Anyway good thunderstorms still on cards since my last post!

[BARRY]

g.day mate you keep on posting ,amazing weather down there i look at (coastel watch au) good site for weather watch down under

[Supercell Hunters]

Yeh Barry it good site.

Today was friggin hot and humid with showers so nice!

Lifted Index has changed to -5C!! Wiht CAPE over 2000 awesome! We getting storms between Wednesday and Sunday, what a outbreak ahead for sure! It going to be a wild weather week for Northern Rivers, BOM has said on the radio, the storms will be severe enough as windshear, instabilty and moisture is high enough. Friday to Sunday will be most severe in Northern Rivers, possibility for supercell chance is over 70%!

Cheers

[Supercell Hunters]

Looking so excellent for this event but mainly NE NSW due to NW lies drying up around Brisbane and might be another donut hole again for Brisbane. Wednesday looking good for increasing CAPE, windshear and lifted index in central NSW and extending into NE NSW on Thursday early morning and looking for increase of severity due jetstream developing across the region and makes the possibility of damaging winds higher. Rest of the week until Sunday will be excellent with more increasing severity and there would bring more rain to our dams! It El Nino period, it good risk for damaging winds that have high windshear instabilities which have high extreme winds in jetstream, that would cause a tornado to form depends what it look like during this week, who knows! Rainfall with moisture would be not a problem this week! There gonna be another heatwave during this event but with humidity for again!

Good luck guys!

[Supercell Hunters]

Here we come for massive storm season that has started already! Heres the breaking weather news off weatherzone Australia:

Storm season firing up in NSW

Tom Saunders, Tue 17:45 EST

The first significant thunderstorm event of the season will commence in NSW on Wednesday. Thunderstorms are possible in eastern and northern districts of the state with the heaviest and most widespread falls likely to occur on the ranges. The storms will develop in moist and unstable air near and ahead of a trough crossing the southwest of the state. Cooler and drier air will suppress thunderstorm development behind the trough. The trough will stall on Wednesday night, allowing for further thunderstorms in the northeastern half of NSW on Thursday. The trough will drift west and deepen early Friday ahead of sharp upper trough approaching from the south. This will allow showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop in the west on Friday before spreading back east with the trough during the day. Some reasonable falls are possible on Friday due to moist tropical air being fed into the system. Thunderstorms will contract to northeast NSW on Saturday but showers will persist further south along the coast.

CAPE and lifted index fairly good to better mode. Windshear and wetbulb has increased as it will make thunderstorms to increase more frequent. The soundings for tomorrow looking so nasty ahead for us! Here it is: http://62.202.7.134/img/snd/skewt_95527_20061017_00z.gif (It said location for Moree because the soundings tell it area to its east, as usually for storm movement) And although looking so good on Moree radar atm: http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR532.loop.shtml

Hopefully it comes to Northern Rivers during tomorrow with max temperature of 29C!

Cheers Matt

[Supercell Hunters]

Instability has increased with consendatizing trough and the storms is increasing more rain and severity. Tonight is best time out west. Moree radar showing series of good thunderstorms with massive lightning strikes! This soundings for tommorrow looking very supercellular! Here: http://62.202.7.134/img/snd/skewt_95527_20061018_00z.gif

Healthy storms may still live during tonight over in the west and getting started for tomorrow weather! Lifted Index and CAPE has increased to -5C and 1800!

Matty!

[Supercell Hunters]

For people in the

Northern Rivers,

Northern Tablelands,

Mid North Coast and parts of the

Northwest Slopes and

Hunter Forecast Districts.

Issued at 3:04 PM Thursday, 19 October 2006.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours.

Major locations within the warning area include Lismore, Grafton, Coffs Harbour, Taree, Armidale and Tamworth.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:

* Move your car under cover or away from trees.

* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.

* Keep clear of fallen power lines.

* Unplug computers and appliances.

* Avoid using the phone during the storm.

* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.

* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 13 2500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 6:05 PM.

Now it our region turn! But second band! Looking severe storms approaching from the south, heres the radar: http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR282.loop.shtml

Looks like they coming from our SW! We had nice light rain during lunch to till got home with so muggy air, also humid and hot like tropical air.

Cheers Matt

[Supercell Hunters]

Far out!, here we comes for massive series of severe thunderstorms for us tonight and tomorrow, i mentioned weatherzone has said is WRONG!

NSW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

for LARGE HAILSTONES, DAMAGING WIND, VERY HEAVY RAINFALL and FLASH FLOODING

For people in the

Northwest Slopes,

Northern Tablelands,

Mid North Coast and parts of the

Northwest Plains,

Northern Rivers and

Hunter Forecast Districts.

Issued at 3:54 PM Friday, 20 October 2006.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones, damaging winds, very heavy rainfall and flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours.

Major locations within the warning area include Taree, Armidale, Tamworth, Gunnedah, Moree and Narrabri.

Lastest warning will extend into NE corner tonight. Lifted Index is now -7C and CAPE 1950! I guess there will locally destructive winds up to 120km/hr during tomorrow front which will combine with thunderstorms. It so warm and windy NE lies here atm with increasing cloud filled with cirrus and altostratus clouds.

Cheers Matt!

[Supercell Hunters]

Todays forecast is:

Scattered showers, afternoon/evening severe thunderstorms with potential squalls, hail and floods, very warm and humid day, cloudy periods with NE to NW lies turning gusty SE change behind thunderstorms.

Looking good atm and taking pics if storms brews today.

[Supercell Hunters]

Stupid change killed our storms, grrrrrrrr.

Day ened up cold, windy and a little wet, still a same today, temperature around 18C, brrr for October

[Supercell Hunters]

Very warm 30C tomorrow and temperatures increasing including mins and thunderstorms coming back again on thursday.

[Supercell Hunters]

Severe storms are back again with hot muggy air!!! Looking good on grafton radar: http://mirror.bom.gov.au/products/IDR282.loop.shtml Thundery everyday here! I gotta love it with whole alot of rain, bucketing rain!

Cheers Matt

[Supercell Hunters]

We had a storm on Thursday night, we got 13mm of rain, some good cgs and thunder, flash flooding and some strong winds occured!

Looks like good rain coming for next week's storms! Nearly 33C here atm!