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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset

    It won't amount to much, but it's the first Invest for a while.

    GFDL makes it a possible TS as it leaves the Antilles

    FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

    A WESTWARD-MOVING TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE LOW

    PRESSURE SYSTEM...IS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN BARBADOS AND THE

    MAIN WINDWARD ISLANDS CHAIN. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM

    ACTIVITY HAS CHANGED LITTLE THIS EVENING... UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE

    EXPECTED TO BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR SOME ADDITIONAL

    DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE

    LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS AS IT MOVES ACROSS MUCH OF THE

    LESSER ANTILLES AND ADJACENT WATERS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

    ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

    Floater 1 is currently over the system and shows some circulation but not a great deal of organisation.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Location: Dorset

    Well it's a typical 2006 Invest, in that although it's still active nobody really expects it to do anything other than disappear. GFDL has effectively dropped it and UKMET never ran with it.

    NHC are still open to possible intensification to maybe a TD but I am not holding my breath.....

    Matt

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