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Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

shuggee

By shuggee
in Space, Science & nature

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virtualsphere Aficionado

virtualsphere

Posted
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
  • Location: Carmarthenshire
Posted

The forecast for a stronger cycle seems to be on track, according to this.

emQzhruagGbssSYqYdq77W-1200-80.jpeg

apple-touch-icon.png NASA's solar forecast is turning out to be wrong. This team's model is still on track. | Space

WWW.SPACE.COM
One heliophysicist's model of solar activity is on track.

 

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted
8 minutes ago, virtualsphere said:

The forecast for a stronger cycle seems to be on track, according to this.

emQzhruagGbssSYqYdq77W-1200-80.jpeg

apple-touch-icon.png NASA's solar forecast is turning out to be wrong. This team's model is still on track. | Space

WWW.SPACE.COM
One heliophysicist's model of solar activity is on track.

 

So, no repeat of the Little Ice Age then? Not that anyone would have noticed the recent Solar minimum, were it not so heavily publicised! And, still the globe keeps warming?🤔

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Don Maestro

Don

Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted
On 26/07/2022 at 21:59, Ed Stone said:

So, no repeat of the Little Ice Age then? Not that anyone would have noticed the recent Solar minimum, were it not so heavily publicised! And, still the globe keeps warming?🤔

Nope and winters during the recent solar minimum were somewhat different to those at the beginning of SC24!!

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted (edited)

 Chance of Auroras tonight going by this, guaranteed to be cloudy though .

 

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn SpaceWeather.com -- News and information about meteor showers, solar flares, auroras, and near-Earth asteroids

WWW.SPACEWEATHER.COM

 

Edited by Sprites
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Uncle_Barty Enthusiast

Uncle_Barty

Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
Posted

Last night's published solar flux was 251.9 !!

However, this was flare-enhaned as a long-duration M flare was in progress at the time.

The 2300z reading was 133.5 and I expect this to be the "official" value for the day.

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Katrine Basso Veteran

Katrine Basso

Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
Posted

CME IMPACT SPARKS AURORAS, BUT NO STORM: As predicted, a CME grazed Earth's magnetic field during the early hours of Aug. 29th. The weak impact did not cause a geomagnetic storm, but it did shake things up enough to spark auroras around the Arctic Circle:

 

Auroras

SPACEWEATHERGALLERY.COM

 

Gunjan-Sinha-IMGP9427_1661763784_lg.jpg

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Katrine Basso Veteran

Katrine Basso

Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
Posted

Aurora above Sumburgh Airport in Shetland

 

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Weather-history Maestro

Weather-history

Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam
Posted (edited)

The UK as a whole is overdue a spectacular auroral display.  I think the last one was at the end of October 2003.   I saw the 6th/7th April 2000 display and that was unforgettable.

Increased activity increases chances of this happening. 

Edited by Weather-history
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Lightfox Enthusiast

Lightfox

Posted
  • Location: Hell
  • Weather Preferences: Slug
  • Location: Hell
Posted

Sounds good to me, I’d very much like to see this over plymouth and seeing the dancing Gods and Foxes within the Aurora itself.  
 

It’s party time 🥳 

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Uncle_Barty Enthusiast

Uncle_Barty

Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
Posted

My latest update on the progress of Solar Cycle 25 is here :

 

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Sprites Seasoned

Sprites

Posted
  • Location: South East UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms/squalls/hoar-frost/mist
  • Location: South East UK
Posted (edited)
On 04/10/2022 at 18:49, Weather-history said:

 

I wondered if you had picked it up from Irlam that night, it was cloudy rather in the NW. It was photographed from Norfolk though.

Edited by Sprites
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Katrine Basso Veteran

Katrine Basso

Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
Posted

Aurora Corona

SPACEWEATHERGALLERY.COM

'Lost CME' sparks auroras over Iceland: Every day the sun hurls multiple CMEs into space. Many are faint; some overlap; they go in all directions. It's inevitable that space weather forecasters lose track of some of them. On Sept. 26th, one of those "lost CMEs" hit Earth, sparking this display over Iceland:

Could contain:

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Katrine Basso Veteran

Katrine Basso

Posted
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Severe frosts, Heavy snowfall, Thunder and lightning, Stormy weather
  • Location: South Ockendon, Thurrock, SW Essex
Posted

A CRACK IN EARTH'S MAGNETOSPHERE: Bright auroras are dancing around the Arctic Circle on Oct 22nd as a significant crack opens in Earth's magnetosphere. This is the view right now from Abisko, Sweden:

Could contain:

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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted

Screenshot_20221022_221616_com.facebook.katana.thumb.jpg.ac5d0087d2f2d26533e787de74f345d1.jpg

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Jo Farrow Veteran

Jo Farrow

Posted
  • Location: East Lothian
  • Weather Preferences: Not too hot, excitement of snow, a hoolie
  • Location: East Lothian
Posted

Very pleased to see this across the Firth of Forth this evening

Could contain: Night, Sky, Nature, Outdoors, Aurora

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Beverley Lass Experienced

Beverley Lass

Posted
  • Location: Near Beverley, East Yorks. (5 metres a.s.l.)
  • Weather Preferences: Something good in all four seasons
  • Location: Near Beverley, East Yorks. (5 metres a.s.l.)
Posted

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/travel/travel_news/article-11507493/The-25-best-aurora-pictures-2022-Michigan-New-Zealand-Iceland.html

Do look at these aurora photos. Absolutely stunning !

😊

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Uncle_Barty Enthusiast

Uncle_Barty

Posted
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Bartlett style mild and benign
  • Location: sunny sunny Bournemouth
Posted (edited)
On 29/11/2022 at 07:44, snow mad said:

Was this quieter period expected?

Solar cycles consist of more active and quieter periods superimposed on the general cycle curve. There was a drop off in activity to a certain extent during November but has picked up in December, and decidedly ramped up through the first half of this month to the extent that the solar flux has been above 200 for several days, peaking at 234 and has surpassed the highest daily official reading set in Cycle 24 (227.1).

 

Interesting times for us radio guys.

 

Latest summary of the cycle so far in my thread on the Skywaves forum linked to in this thread.

Edited by Uncle_Barty
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Polar Maritime Maestro

Polar Maritime

Posted
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
  • Location: Derbyshire Peak District South Pennines Middleton & Smerrill Tops 305m (1001ft) asl.
Posted

X1.1 Flare in last few hours.

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