Solar and Aurora Activity Chat

[kar999]

Not a chance .... typical!

 

[Fen Wolf]

 kar999 yes i just looked and noticed it was in the red above 200 at the moment

[kar999]

It would be very hard to tell if anything is behind the clouds with the light pollution from beneath causing most illumination here.... There's no chance of the gloom clearing either.

[GreyCrag]

There's a very small window of opportunity to see something here in the High Peak between 9 and 10 where the meto cloud forecast is predicting a bit of clear sky, if activity levels continue heightened to to then I might have a quick pop-up to either Rushup Edge or the Glossop side of Snake Pass.

[Fen Wolf]

 kar999 we will get our chance soon enough

[Liamkaboom]

Hoping for a break in cloud...

Probably not even strong enough anymore, might not even bother trying later.

[GreyCrag]

 Liamkaboom Looks like a dud for many this evening with exception for parts of Northern Scotland, the predicted clear-spell never materialised here and the Aurora levels quickly dropped anyway after 8pm. Hopefully sunspot AR3889 provides more opportunities in the week ahead as it's now Earth facing.

[Polar Maritime]

[kar999]

Red Alert again... Cloud again!!

[kar999]

 

Northumberland doing well though ..

https://x.com/adamtilt/status/1855688455004836052?s=19

Edited November 10, 2024 by kar999
.

[GreyCrag]

One to keep a eye on over the next few days... spaceweather.com 

SOMETHING FLARE-Y THIS WAY COMES: Yesterday, a sunspot hidden behind the sun's northeastern limb produced an M9-(almost-X)-class solar flare. Today, the same sunspot is revealing itself, right here. It is clearly capable of strong explosions, which may become geoeffective as the sunspot turns toward Earth later this week.

[Sprites]

 

[*Stormforce~beka*]

 Sprites Gorgeous!

[Fen Wolf]

I am expecting a major storm this winter hopefully by xmas but I guess we have until March to see something like May 10 & Oct 10th…. 
 

I want to see a G5 Kp9 storm carrington event level before it’s too late please.  
️

[Sprites]

 

[summer blizzard]

Have we achieved solar maximum yet?

[jonboy]

 summer blizzard Mid next year I believe although some think it will be early next year.

[*Stormforce~beka*]

 summer blizzard What does this mean?

[Polar Maritime]

 *Stormforce~beka* It means the Peak of Solar Max when the sun's magnetic fields flip North to South or South to North creating high sunspot solar activity. 

An M9.5 Flare just now from an earth facing sunspot...

[Fen Wolf]

Possible Carrington Event Soon?

[Lt. Dan]

 Fen Wolf Probably not. Too much cloud anyway 

[Fen Wolf]

 Lt. Dan was hoping for something over the Christmas period .  I guess still got till January 2nd until this chapter ends then solar maxium & potential in 2025 & 2026

There is still time

[Polar Maritime]

X Flare a few hour's ago...

[Lt. Dan]

Space Weather Message Code: WATA50

Serial Number: 84

Issue Time: 2024 Dec 29 2000 UTC WATCH:

Geomagnetic Storm Category G3 Predicted Highest Storm Level Predicted by Day:

Dec 30: None (Below G1)

Dec 31: G3 (Strong)

Jan 01: G1 (Minor)

THIS SUPERSEDES ANY/ALL PRIOR WATCHES IN EFFECT Comment: Isolated periods of strong geomagnetic storming are likely on 31 Dec due to CME effects. Lingering effects will likely wane to minor storming levels over the course of 01 Jan.

 

Cloud forecast looks horrendous though 

Edited December 29, 2024 by Lt. Dan

[Polar Maritime]