Cold Spell General Discussion

[PersianPaladin]

Not very much precip water in the atmosphere on Thursday: -

[The Eagle]

The 528 DAM line is not going anywhere fast even after the front moves through on Thursday

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn543.png

[Optimus Prime]

Could well be some VERy low temperatures for parts of the midlands and North Wales after the snow on Thursday;

Wouldn't rule out -10c or below in a few spots.

[BristolBlizzard]

The 528 DAM line is not going anywhere fast even after the front moves through on Thursday

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn543.png

Hi Darkman, is it me or does that chart indicate a greater chance of snow even further south west? Because it seemed like yesterday that the 528 line was just scraping south wales accross.

[Andy Bown]

I just thought I'd let you know that my local BBC forecast said I could see 13-15 cm in my area

Hi BB ; was that with Richard Angwin on Points West earlier this afternoon? I missed it due to work, have got to watch his forecast on the main evening news!!

[Costa Del Fal]

For those who want to Check out warnings then id check out here! Met Office Uk Warnings

THIS MESSAGE IS VERY IMPORTANT FOR PEOPLE FROM THE MIDLANDS!

Also check out Net weather!

Edited February 6, 2007 by Blizzards

[PersianPaladin]

For those who want to Check out warnings then id check out here! Met Office Uk Warnings

THIS MESSAGE IS VERY IMPORTANT FOR PEOPLE FROM THE MIDLANDS!

For a more realistic alert....stick with net-weather: -

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=...ts;reg=3;sess=;

[Coast]

For those who want to Check out warnings then id check out here! Met Office Uk Warnings

THIS MESSAGE IS VERY IMPORTANT FOR PEOPLE FROM THE MIDLANDS!

Blimey, is that a ramp in your avatar Blizzards or just a slightly inclined walkway?!!

[EastLothianSnow]

Ive not been following this cold spell really closely so im just wondering if it is expected this really snowy weather expected down south could push northwards into southern scotland or is it expected to die out before then?

[Costa Del Fal]

Blimey, is that a ramp in your avatar Blizzards or just a slightly inclined walkway?!!

thats a path of the famous waterfront in Merry hill where i live extremely close too and next to the very famous merry hill centre.

On topic, yesterday evening the bbc predicted our night time temperature at -11c!

[Upgrade]

I imagine that K.W. will be 'spot on' in his reading of things. Whilst the weather milded up through the later part of the 80's we saw the last of this 'type' of snowfall.

Somewhere (south of me boo) will get a very interesting and substancial 'dump'.

By this time tomorrow it'll be time to start to watch the Radar as it slowly fizzles out and draws to a halt on it's approach to this bit of the Pennines!

not sure about that as the Southern Pennines are prone to doing really well out of these set ups, even if you think it will be the south that cops it. you will get a load in the next few days , mark my words!

[kold weather]

Hey PP, I do note that a severeity level of 4 mind you, has there actually been many 5's in the past using this system?

But i do think the net-weather forecast is pretty close, however 15cms is very possible over higher ground in exposed parts in the north IMO, thoug hthe figures mentioned are more reasonable for most.

Another bitter night tonight looking at things, max tmeps inland have been fairly cold, equally as cold as late Jan but with a far less impressive airmass in terms of cold.

Edited February 6, 2007 by kold weather

[Costa Del Fal]

Ive not been following this cold spell really closely so im just wondering if it is expected this really snowy weather expected down south could push northwards into southern scotland or is it expected to die out before then?

Most people are saying that anywhere from about morecambe southwards will get the best snow, especially the Midlands. You may get some snow but not what us down south are getting!

[JONTY]

Milton Keynes Council has issued a warning to schools in their locale.

Quote "STOP PRESS: Weather warning – heavy snows (up to six inches/15cm) predicted overnight tomorrow (Wed) and Thursday morning. Staff advised to consider travel arrangements to and from work". Unquote.

Issued to schools and subsequent staff this at approx. 1555 hrs.

Jonty

Halton

Bucks

201m asl

[suffolkboy_]

Hi everyone, as promised, some pictures of the snow i saw today to get everyone in the mood! I can't believe it, we've had 2 inches, and 5 miles up the road only had a dusting! The first is taken about 11.30am when it first started, the second is just as the shower finally cleared. Sorry if they come out in the wrong way around, it's the first time i've put photos on here!

[Costa Del Fal]

Here is a guide to what chance of snow you have on Thursday! Ill do one for Friday and Saturday later.

You have a good chance of Snow if your Percent is over 65/70%.

Scotland:

20-40% Chance of Snow

Northern Ireland:

40-65% Chance of Snow

Republic Of Ireland:

50-75% Chance of Snow

North East England:

30-55% Chance of Snow

North West England:

60-90% Chance of Snow

(Pennines)

70-95% Chance of Snow

East Anglia/Eastern England:

35-65% Chance of Snow

East Midlands:

70-100% Chance of Snow

Wales:

60-80% Chance of Snow

West Midlands:

75-100% Chance of Snow

London:

50-70% Chance of Snow

South East England:

50-75% Chance of Snow

Central Southern England: (Areas like Oxford and Reading)

60-85% Chance of Snow

Southern England:

40-60% Chance of Snow

South West England:

25-40% Chance of Snow and 45-70% for Areas like Bristol!

Channel Islands:

0-10% Chance of Snow

Edited February 6, 2007 by Blizzards

[PersianPaladin]

Here is a guide to what chance of snow you have on Thursday! Ill do one for Friday and Saturday later.

You have a good chance of Snow if your Percent is over 65/70%.

What are you basing your percentages on?

[Costa Del Fal]

What are you basing your percentages on?

Out of 100%

[Michael Winston]

What are you basing your percentages on?

My question too.

Thanks,

Mike.

[PersianPaladin]

Out of 100%

No, I meant what charts\data are you using.

UKMO, GFS, ECM??

Edited February 6, 2007 by PersianPaladin

[Supercell]

Out of 100%

Lol. Very good.

I think i'll ramp about a frost (yes, it is that desperate these days). -0.2C with a frost reforming in the daylight !

[tom_f123]

Out of 100%

he meant what evidence lol

[PersianPaladin]

The Met-Office are forecasting light sleet showers for me later tonight and tommorow.

Wooohaaay.

[Costa Del Fal]

No, I meant what charts\data are you using.

UKMO, GFS, ECM??

oh well, i used websites to help and what some people have posted. Please dont keep questioning me as im trying my best to be accurate.

Remember this is for thursday so you may have a higher chance on friday and ill issue those chances later!

Edited February 6, 2007 by Blizzards

[tom_f123]

The Met-Office are forecasting light sleet showers for me later tonight and tommorow.

Wooohaaay.

lucky you