TC George

[Supercell Hunters]

Cyclone George Cat 2 Now

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 12

Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN

at 11:00 am CST [10:30 am WDT] Sunday 4 March 2007

A CYCLONE WARNING continues for coastal and island communities from Cockatoo

Island in WA to Daly River Mouth in the NT.

A CYCLONE WATCH has been declared for coastal and island communities from Broome

to Cockatoo Island in WA.

At 9:30 am CST [9:00 am WDT] TROPICAL CYCLONE George CATEGORY 2 was located 205

kilometres east of Kalumburu and 115 kilometres west southwest of Port Keats,

and moving west at 13 kilometres per hour.

STRONG MONSOONAL WINDS with gusts to 90 kilometres per hour are currently being

experienced along the west coast of the Top End and the north Kimberley.

GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour will be experienced on the coast

between DALY RIVER MOUTH and KALUMBURU this morning, and may extend further west

to COCKATOO ISLAND early on Monday.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 130 kilometres per hour are developing on the

north Kimberley coast between the NT/WA BORDER and KALUMBURU.

ABNORMALLY HIGH TIDES could cause MINOR FLOODING at the coast between WYNDHAM

and KALUMBURU later today.

HEAVY RAIN is causing widespread flooding in the western Top End. HEAVY RAIN is

developing in the north Kimberley and may cause flooding of low-lying areas.

Details of TROPICAL CYCLONE George at 9:30 am CST [9:00 am WDT]:

. Centre located near...... 14.5 degrees South 128.5 degrees East

. Location accuracy........ within 28 kilometres

. Recent movement.......... towards the west at 13 kilometres per hour

. Wind gusts near centre... 130 kilometres per hour

. Intensity................ CATEGORY 2

. Central pressure......... 982 hectoPascals

REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is now current from Cockatoo Island in WA to Daly

River Mouth in the NT.

A CYCLONE WATCH is now current from Broome to Cockatoo Island in WA.

The NEXT ADVICE will be issued at 2:00 pm CST [1:30 pm WDT]

MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia

The WA State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:

A RED ALERT is current for: Oombulgurri

A YELLOW ALERT is current for: Kalumburu and Wyndham

[MAF]

130 kph/80 mph looks like it may be a rough one there mate. :lol: hope it doesnt do much damage.

[Aussie Big Ben]

130 kph/80 mph looks like it may be a rough one there mate. hope it doesnt do much damage.

Currently a Cat 2, predicted to be a cat 5 by Thursday by the BOM. JTWC have it at 100kts gusting 125.

Link for BOM http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml

Link for JTWC https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/I need to control my language707.gif

[Supercell Hunters]

IDW24100

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Western Australia

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 28

Issued at 3:55 pm WDT on Wednesday, 7 March 2007

BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WATCH has been declared for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Roebourne.

At 3:00 pm WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be

560 kilometres north of Port Hedland and

630 kilometres north northeast of Karratha

and moving west southwest at 11 kilometres per hour.

Severe Tropical Cyclone George is now moving parallel to the Pilbara coast, and

is continuing to intensify.

Gales are not expected in coastal communities in the next 24 hours. However,

gales may develop in offshore coastal waters during Thursday night as Tropical

Cyclone George expands in size, and takes a more southwesterly track.

On Friday, gales with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are possible in coastal

communities between Roebourne and Coral Bay as the cyclone moves closer to the

coast.

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 3:00 pm WDT.

Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of

latitude 15.3 south longitude 118.6 east

Recent movement : west southwest at 11 kilometres per hour

Central Pressure : 958 hectopascals

Maximum wind gusts : 170 kilometres per hour near the centre.

Severity category : 3

FESA-State Emergency Service advises that there are no community alerts at

present.

The next advice will be issued by 10:00 pm WDT Wednesday 07 March.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by

dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:

http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

[Supercell Hunters]

IDW24100

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Western Australia

Media: Transmitters serving the area between Wallal and Mardie are requested to

sound the Standard Emergency Warning Signal before broadcasting the following

warning.

TOP PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 40

Issued at 6:00 pm WDT on Thursday, 8 March 2007

BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY

TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING for a SEVERE CATEGORY 4 cyclone is now current for coastal

areas from Onslow to Bidyadanga, extending inland to include Tom Price, Newman,

Paraburdoo, Marble Bar and Nullagine.

A CYCLONE WATCH is now current for coastal areas from Coral Bay to Onslow, and

extending into the southern Pilbara and northern Gascoyne to include Jigalong

and Mt Augustus.

At 6:00 pm WDT Severe Tropical Cyclone George was estimated to be

120 kilometres north northeast of Port Hedland and

275 kilometres northeast of Karratha

and moving south at 18 kilometres per hour.

Severe Tropical Cyclone George is approaching the coast near Port Hedland. On

the current movement the cyclone is likely to cross the coast near Port Hedland

late this evening. It is still possible that the cyclone could deviate to the

west and impact Pilbara coastal areas further west.

GALES with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour have developed along the

Pilbara coast near Port Hedland and are expected to extend along the coast and

to inland areas tonight.

DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 170 kilometres per hour are being experienced

offshore at Bedout Island and are likely to develop on the central Pilbara coast

within the next few hours.

VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with gusts to 235 kilometres per hour will be experienced

close to the cyclone centre as the system crosses the coast.

WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN and FLOODING are likely across the Pilbara, with falls in

excess of 200 millimetres possible close to the cyclone track.

DANGEROUSLY HIGH TIDES could cause EXTENSIVE FLOODING at the coast between

Wallal and Dampier.

Residents on the coast between Wallal and Dampier including Port Hedland and

Karratha, Dampier and Roebourne are specifically warned of the potential of a

VERY DANGEROUS STORM TIDE as the cyclone crosses the coast. On the current track

Port Hedland is specifically under threat. Tides are likely to rise

significantly above the normal high tide mark with very dangerous flooding and

damaging waves.

Details of Severe Tropical Cyclone George at 6:00 pm WDT.

Location of centre : within 35 kilometres of

latitude 19.3 south longitude 119.0 east

Recent movement : south at 18 kilometres per hour

Central Pressure : 930 hectopascals

Maximum wind gusts : 230 kilometres per hour near the centre.

Severity category : 4

FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following alerts.

RED ALERT: People in or near coastal communities of Port Hedland and Whim Creek

should move to shelter.

YELLOW ALERT: People in or near coastal communities between Wallal and Mardie

including Roebourne, Wickham, Karratha, Point Samson, Dampier and in or near the

inland communities of Marble Bar and Nullagine should be taking action in

readiness for the cyclone's impact.

BLUE ALERT: People in or near coastal and island communities between Mardie and

Onslow and between Wallal and Bidyadanga, and in or near the inland communities

of Marble Bar, Nullagine, Tom Price and Pannawonica should commence taking

precautions.

The next advice will be issued by 7:00 pm WDT Thursday 08 March.

Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by

dialling 1300 659 210

A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:

http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

[parmenides3]

Heck, Matt, this is a monster; now showing 270kph winds and 200mm plus rainfall, plus storm surges. I'm presuming that this is not a heavily populated area of the coast, but do you know of any webcams or media coverage?

A couple of other questions; Is this an unusual occurrence for the time of year/location? and: how often have you seen a 90 degree left turn in a storm track?

I'm going to go & look for a satellite image.

Please keep the updates coming.

:)P

[Gray-Wolf]

A couple of other questions; Is this an unusual occurrence for the time of year/location? and: how often have you seen a 90 degree left turn in a storm track?

:huh: P

A lot more often if we believe the current paper on the 'Asian Brown Cloud' and it's effects on pacific storm tracks.......

[Supercell Hunters]

2 Dead and several injuries. Massive squall line heading on Port hedland southern plains now with gust up to 90km/hr and stronger.

[parmenides3]

BBC actually reported on this on the Radio 4 news, for a change. 170mph winds reported. I also noticed a huge difference between the Australian forecasts and the JTWC ones, which were much more conservative.

Tragic to hear of the deaths, in spite of the warnings and preparations.

I hope this doesn't sound too callous under the circumstances, but are there any pic's/video out yet?

:)P

[Greyowl]

Ther's an article about it on the BBC news website. Another cyclone on the way for Monday they say. Shame to hear about the deaths and injurys.

[Somerset Squall]

Ther's an article about it on the BBC news website. Another cyclone on the way for Monday they say. Shame to hear about the deaths and injurys.

Yes, Jacob is headig towards the same area but looks comparitively weak at the moment. Let's hope it stays that way. Jacob looks like it is being affected by shear at the moment.

[Supercell Hunters]

Yeah TC Jacob is at weak category 2 cyclone and it have affected by high shear which that have been lurked in after George went through. Squalls up to 75knots hitting the coast today and extending towards gust up to 95knots in centre overnight.

[summer blizzard]

There is no development of Tropical Cyclones forecast in the next three days Australia.

I'm sorry i ignored this thread largely, however when the next one forms, lets see if we can get a superthread.. (20+ pages)

When does the Australian season end?????