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April CET


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Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

    I'l hazard a guess at 9

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Continuing the mild months 8.2C

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    Posted
  • Location: Norfolk
  • Location: Norfolk

    The 30 year mean is 8.1, the last 10 years have averaged 8.8.

    Given the potential for a cool start/Northerly incursion as the PV starts to finally erode away and given the unusual nature of our weather of late, I am tempted to plump for a colder month, however the mild spells seem to more than counter what cold we can muster. As such, I will go for 'cooler' compared to the more recent mean but above the longer term at 8.4.

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    As Snowmaiden says, the 30 year average is 8.1C, the 10 year average is 8.8C.

    My preliminary prediction is 10.6C, which is 2.5C above the official average however if my other method gives no support, i may change this prediction.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL

    im going for an average 8.1c

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    Posted
  • Location: From North Wales but now in England on the Notts border
  • Location: From North Wales but now in England on the Notts border

    I'll go for 8.6C

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    Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
  • Location: W. Northants

    7.8. The coolest and wettest April since 2001. Generally very wet, with frequent southerly tracking lows and higher than normal pressure over Greenland. The final week sees a warmer, settled spell as high pressure begins to develop.

    Obviously going for a below average month is a risk, but I believe given the winter pattern and the pattern we've seen in the second half of March, as well as the fact that we're coming out of an El Nino period, that its worth the risk. To me, if we're going to get a below average month this year, April is the most likely candidate - All that said, with the reality of GWUK in 2007, I'm in no way confident. :rolleyes:

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    Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent

    Winter seems to be getting later each year.

    I see this them continuing for at least part of April and go for 8.4C - slightly above the 30 year average but cooler than the 10 year rolling average.

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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

    I'm going for 8.8, I'm also going for the first half of April being colder than the first half of January

    There has never been an April having a lower CET than January in the same year. The closest approach in recent times was 1983 with Jan: 6.7 and April: 6.8

    1696 and 1782 are the years when January and April had identical CETs

    Last time April.....

    ....had a CET greater than 10C

    1987 10.3

    ....had a CET greater than 9C

    2004 9.4

    ....had a CET less than 8C

    2001 7.7

    ....had a CET less than 7C

    1989 6.6

    ....had a CET less than 6C

    1986 5.8

    ....had a CET less than 5C

    1837 4.7

    ....was colder than March

    1998 Mar 7.9 Apr 7.7

    ...was colder than February

    1903 Feb 7.1 Apr 6.4

    ....was warmer than May

    1987 Apr 10.3 May 10.1

    ....was colder than the following December

    1986 Apr 5.8 Dec 6.2

    ....was colder than the following November

    1994 Apr 8.1 Nov 10.1

    ....was warmer than the following October

    2003 Apr 9.6 Oct 9.3

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    Posted
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL
  • Location: W Kent/E Sussex border (T Wells) 139m ASL

    I expect something slightly colder than of late, but still above the long term average......so I'll go for 8.3c.

    MM

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    I said ever since about 2 months ago when i made my Spring forecast that i suspected that April could well have a major burst of -ve NAO. Intrestingly as wlel the two years that match the speed of the decay of the El nino are 83 and 98, both had Aprils that were below average, 83 a good deal below average.

    I agree with Gavin. i had suspected that by now we've have had a southerly running jet. While we do have a southerly running jet now its not really having a major effect, though it is allowing for the milder easterly flow to sweep across us.

    I'll go with 7.7C for now.

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    Posted
  • Location: Aylesbury ,Bucks
  • Location: Aylesbury ,Bucks

    gonna put the cat amongst the pigeons here and go for a record breaker (cue Roy Castle) 11.2

    with 80f being topped by the 20th

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    Posted
  • Location: From North Wales but now in England on the Notts border
  • Location: From North Wales but now in England on the Notts border
    gonna put the cat amongst the pigeons here and go for a record breaker (cue Roy Castle) 11.2

    with 80f being topped by the 20th

    Wow! Now that would be brilliant if it came off :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Buckingham
  • Location: Buckingham

    An interesting month in the christmas pudding, April. In the last 10 years we have had very cold and ver warm. Most months just give us warm or very warm!

    Can't see it being cold overall and think the possible cool start will be more than compenated for by a warm second half of the month.

    I'll go for 8.6 please.

    Moose

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    Posted
  • Location: Buckingham
  • Location: Buckingham

    To get the ball rolling, here are the first 22 entries for April's CET.

    I seem to remember SF that you said it was better if the numeric value appeared first?

    7.2: Tamara G

    7.2: nin9inch9nails

    7.6: Rollo

    7.7: kold weather

    7.8: Gavin P

    8.1: sundog

    8.2: The Pit

    8.2: Great Plum

    8.3: Snowyowl9

    8.3: kelly F

    8.3: Mr Maunder

    8.4: snowmaiden

    8.4: Stu London

    8.5: Don

    8.6: Cymru

    8.6: ukmoose

    8.8: Mr Data

    8.9: Snow-Man2006

    9.0: PersianPaladin

    9.0: slipknotsam

    10.6: summer blizzard

    11.2: Vince

    Moose

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    Posted
  • Location: Steeton, W Yorks, 270m ASL
  • Location: Steeton, W Yorks, 270m ASL
    To get the ball rolling, here are the first 22 entries for April's CET.

    I seem to remember SF that you said it was better if the numeric value appeared first?

    ...

    Moose

    It's certainly a lot easier to strip the values out "automatically" once we get into months where the punts span single and double digits.

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