April CET

[eddie]

The fact I am cycling coast-coast early April means we are guaranteed a cold and wet start. The rest of April will be warm and sunny.

8.7C

Edited March 25, 2007 by eddie

[Mark Bayley]

I will go for 8.6c however i might change it later

[summer blizzard]

My alternate method calls for 12.1C as the final April CET, so i will be leaving my prediction as 10.6C, which is 2.5C above average.

[Portland Paul]

A fairly warm, and also fairly dry month overall - I'm going for:

9. 6º c

[Duncan McAlister]

For the first time, going to go for a slightly below average month, at 7.5. Think the northerly at the beginning could turn out quite a low first week.

[acbrixton]

My alternate method calls for 12.1C as the final April CET, so i will be leaving my prediction as 10.6C, which is 2.5C above average.

Heavens SB what is the "alternate method" that throws up such an anomalously warm month: 4c above the 30 year mean (is 12.1 in excess of the current record?) and why does it differ from your "official" prediction by a considerable margin of 1.5c?

Does anyone have a free (i.e. not Hadley Centre) link to the full monthly CET data please?

Regards

ACB

P.S my guess is for 8.6 (slightly below the 10 year rolling average but comfortably above the 30 year mean).

[dapick2002]

i think northerlies could be a common affair this month, albeit not entirely cold ones. i'm going to go with 9.4.

[Wynn D Woo]

I think despite the likely chiller start the end of the month will be warm again so i will punt at 8.9C

[Michael Fishermans Friend]

No doubt something ridiculously warm - about 10.3C!!

[fishdude]

8.0C

[SteveB]

I think an above average month for April

9.1C

[Pudsey]

I'll go for 7.7C

[Anti-Mild]

I'll have 8.3c please.

[Thundery wintry showers]

I won't be putting in a prediction until the 31st March, but my current hunch is for yet another above-average month; though not exceptionally so. It remains to be seen whether the Easter northerly comes off or not.

[ukmoose]

Latest update

7.2: Tamara G

7.2: nin9inch9nails

7.5: Duncan McAlister

7.6: Rollo

7.7: kold weather

7.7: Pudsey

7.8: Gavin P

8.0: fishdude

8.1: sundog

8.2: The Pit

8.2: Great Plum

8.3: Snowyowl9

8.3: kelly F

8.3: Mr Maunder

8.3: Anti-Mild

8.4: snowmaiden

8.4: Stu London

8.5: Don

8.6: Cymru

8.6: ukmoose

8.6: mark bailey

8.7: eddie

8.8: Mr Data

8.9: Snow-Man2006

8.9: windswept

9.0: PersianPaladin

9.0: slipknotsam

9.1: Steve B

9.4: dapick2002

9.6: Breezy Brum

10.3: Timmy H

10.6: summer blizzard

11.2: Vince

Moose

[Intrepid]

Il for for 9.2c

[cheeky_monkey]

im going with 8.7c as well thnks

[nin9inch9nails]

Using historical analogs for recent NH blocking....

...and progged continuation of the same......

.... yields a roll forward 30 day mean h5 pattern, centered on mid-April, supporting a colder than normal April for CET.....Hart

[Roger J Smith]

10.1, getting very warm second half of the month

[Anti-Mild]

After much careful consideration I have decided to throw again and this time my dart landed in 9.1c.

Can somebody please amend my entry from 8.3c to 9.1c? Many thanks!

AM

[summer blizzard]

Latest update

7.2: Tamara G

7.2: nin9inch9nails

7.5: Duncan McAlister

7.6: Rollo

7.7: kold weather

7.7: Pudsey

7.8: Gavin P

8.0: fishdude

8.1: sundog

8.2: The Pit

8.2: Great Plum

8.3: Snowyowl9

8.3: kelly F

8.3: Mr Maunder

8.4: snowmaiden

8.4: Stu London

8.5: Don

8.6: Cymru

8.6: ukmoose

8.6: mark bailey

8.7: eddie

8.7: Cheeky Monkey

8.8: Mr Data

8.9: Snow-Man2006

8.9: windswept

9.0: PersianPaladin

9.0: slipknotsam

9.1: Steve B

9.1: Anti-Mild

9.2: Intrepid

9.4: dapick2002

9.6: Breezy Brum

10.1: Roger J Smith

10.3: Timmy H

10.6: summer blizzard

11.2: Vince

The warmest April CET on record is 10.6C in 1865.

The coldest April CET is 4.7C in 1837.

[Gavin P]

LOL! Well I didn't think I'd gone outrageously cold, yet my 7.8 is in the lowest 8. A sign of the times, I guess. :lol:

[Optimus Prime]

Last year I went for 8.5c which happened to be only 0.1c out.

But since April last year the globe has warmed up that little bit so 8.8c for me.

8.8c

[DAVID SNOW]

Latest update

7.2: Tamara G

7.2: nin9inch9nails

7.5: Duncan McAlister

7.6: Rollo

7.7: kold weather

7.7: Pudsey

7.8: Gavin P

8.0: fishdude

8.1: sundog

8.2: The Pit

8.2: Great Plum

8.3: Snowyowl9

8.3: kelly F

8.3: Mr Maunder

8.4: snowmaiden

8.4: Stu London

8.5: Don

8.6: Cymru

8.6: ukmoose

8.6: mark bailey

8.7: eddie

8.7: Cheeky Monkey

8.8: Mr Data

8.9: Snow-Man2006

8.9: windswept

9.0: PersianPaladin

9.0: slipknotsam

9.1: Steve B

9.1: Anti-Mild

9.2: Intrepid

9.4: dapick2002

9.6: Breezy Brum

10.1: Roger J Smith

10.3: Timmy H

10.6: summer blizzard

11.2: Vince

The warmest April CET on record is 10.6C in 1865.

The coldest April CET is 4.7C in 1837.

9.2 for me thank you.

[snowfluff]

Latest update

7.2: Tamara G

7.2: nin9inch9nails

7.5: Duncan McAlister

7.6: Rollo

7.7: kold weather

7.7: Pudsey

7.8: Gavin P

8.0: fishdude

8.1: sundog

8.2: The Pit

8.2: Great Plum

8.3: Snowyowl9

8.3: kelly F

8.3: Mr Maunder

8.4: snowmaiden

8.4: Stu London

8.5: Don

8.6: Cymru

8.6: ukmoose

8.6: mark bailey

8.7: eddie

8.7: Cheeky Monkey

8.8: Mr Data

8.9: Snow-Man2006

8.9: windswept

9.0: PersianPaladin

9.0: slipknotsam

9.1: Steve B

9.1: Anti-Mild

9.2: Intrepid

9.4: dapick2002

9.6: Breezy Brum

10.1: Roger J Smith

10.3: Timmy H

10.6: summer blizzard

11.2: Vince

The warmest April CET on record is 10.6C in 1865.

The coldest April CET is 4.7C in 1837.

9.9. many thanks