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Day 6 Discussion


Paul Sherman

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Storms moving along very quickly .. 45mph !!!Long living powerful tornadoes are highly probable..

Oh jeez another long night, didnt get to bed until 6:00am this morning only had 3 and half hours sleep :o :D

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Posted
  • Location: Rugby, Warks
  • Weather Preferences: Dangerous
  • Location: Rugby, Warks

What a special set up this is. The NOAA SPC seem really concerned (and excited) by the potential.

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Posted
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland

I've only discovered these threads in the last few days but I find them fascinating and am now addicted!

I've noticed that some people have got an extra for google earth that lets them superimpose current radar images onto the page. Can someone point me in the right direction as to installing it, thanks.

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
Can someone point me in the right direction as to installing it, thanks.

Yeah very addictive aint it?!! here's a link to google earth http://earth.google.com/ .. mind i'll warn ya that things can screw up coz google uses a hell ov a lot of ya memory.. when youve downloaded GE go onto dynamic layers then find the appropiate maps. Nexrad i find are the best.. Good luck mate,

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Posted
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland
Yeah very addictive aint it?!! here's a link to google earth http://earth.google.com/ .. mind i'll warn ya that things can screw up coz google uses a hell ov a lot of ya memory.. when youve downloaded GE go onto dynamic layers then find the appropiate maps. Nexrad i find are the best.. Good luck mate,

Thanks! I have GE already so i'll just look for those "dynamic layers".

I have always had an interest in the US tornado season and i follow it on american sites like accuweather etc but what i find is a great thing to do is zoom right in on the radar map where there is the strongest echoes and look for the nearest big town, and then find live webcams there. Also if it is near a big enough town there is usually a tv network and more and more they provide live internet streams when severe storms are near. About a month ago I was watching an Alabama tv station when tonadoes were near and they were amazed at the amount of people ,like us, from around the world who were watching (they asked people who were watching on the net to email them so i did and they read it out!) just out of pure interest in weather.

EDIT: Ok I've installed the nexrad thing but is it normal for it to be showing circular white blobs like these:

post-6746-1178388339_thumb.jpg

Edited by rc28
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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

EDIT: Ok I've installed the nexrad thing but is it normal for it to be showing circular white blobs like these:

Edited by Northern Light
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Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Unexpected gusts of wind, and cumulus clouds in rude and amusing shapes.
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants

2 tornado warnings in Eastern Colorado and 1 in Nebraska. No tornado warnings applied as yet to the line of storms from the Texas Panhandle to Western Kansas, but its only a matter of time. It's barely early afternoon and the storms that have developed are already severe.

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Posted
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland

This is off topic but now that i'm watching the radar over the plains i'm noticing the amazing patterns of the fields. The bizarre looking circular fields make it look like a patchwork quilt:

post-6746-1178389799_thumb.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Currently 130pm here in Pratt (Ks) temp is 80f with a 30 mph southerly wind, a PDS Tornado Watch box has been issued for our area warning against Violent Long Track Tornadoes and 4" Hail. Will probably drop south or west soon, but the road west of here is completely closed due to Greensburg being Destroyed yesterday.

Paul Sherman

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Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants
  • Weather Preferences: Unexpected gusts of wind, and cumulus clouds in rude and amusing shapes.
  • Location: Basingstoke, Hants

The storms developing in Texas and Oklahoma are the ones to watch out for, especially once they move in Kansas. Should prove to be a very interesting evening.

EDIT: Blimey, 80f and a 30 mph southerly wind. Talk about a powder keg waiting to explode.

Edited by emerson
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Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL

I too feel that it will be a very eventful evening. Just getting up to speed on things as I've been a tad busy with the barbe..

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Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL

Nice line of storms through Kansas and Oklahoma.. loads of warnings and watches..

post-1669-1178391974_thumb.jpg

If we don't see one on the ground soon...

post-1669-1178392175_thumb.jpg

Good luck peeps and stay safe....

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

Moving NNE and NE at just over 40mph with cloud tops 40,000+ ft.

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Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

I've not got the time to an indepth thing like normal, but needless to say this is a EXPLOSIE set-up, justa s much as yesterdays, though tommorow could top both days IF the models remain as they are, Sunday really should see a high risk section in the warnings.

Bre careful everyone, this may become a very dangerous situation once the storms really get going

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Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

any one in the uk and you have got fox news on the saterlite or cable thay have reporters in the area they struck up to 10 dead many still missing the scene there is like a bomb has hit the place :wallbash:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR4.html

Tornado Watch

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 234

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1215 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

TORNADO WATCH 234 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE

FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

KSC007-025-033-047-055-057-069-077-079-081-083-095-097-113-119-

145-151-155-173-175-185-191-060300-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0234.070505T1715Z-070506T0300Z/

KS

. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARBER CLARK COMANCHE

EDWARDS FINNEY FORD

GRAY HARPER HARVEY

HASKELL HODGEMAN KINGMAN

KIOWA MCPHERSON MEADE

PAWNEE PRATT RENO

SEDGWICK SEWARD STAFFORD

SUMNER

$$

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 234

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1215 PM CDT SAT MAY 5 2007

TORNADO WATCH 234 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR THE

FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

OKC003-007-009-011-015-017-039-043-045-047-053-055-057-059-073-

075-093-129-149-151-153-060300-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0234.070505T1715Z-070506T0300Z/

OK

. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALFALFA BEAVER BECKHAM

BLAINE CADDO CANADIAN

CUSTER DEWEY ELLIS

GARFIELD GRANT GREER

HARMON HARPER KINGFISHER

KIOWA MAJOR ROGER MILLS

WAonionsA WOODS WOODWARD

$$

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 232

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS

156 PM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

KSC039-063-065-109-137-153-179-193-NEC057-087-145-060300-

/O.CON.KGLD.TO.A.0232.000000T0000Z-070506T0300Z/

TORNADO WATCH 232 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ THIS

EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 8 COUNTIES

IN NORTHWEST KANSAS

DECATUR GOVE GRAHAM

LOGAN NORTON RAWLINS

SHERIDAN THOMAS

IN NEBRASKA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

DUNDY HITCHCOCK RED WILLOW

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ATWOOD...BENKELMAN...COLBY...

HILL CITY...HOXIE...MCCOOK...NORTON...OAKLEY...OBERLIN...

QUINTER AND TRENTON.

$$

Edited by tinybill
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Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Hi Guys, Possible upgrade to HIGH Today, this could be a very dangerous Situation, do not think i have ever seen a discussion like this, could be 12-14 hours of chasing with dangerous Long Track Tornadoes Possible.

post-24-1178346110_thumb.png

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1248 AM CDT SAT MAY 05 2007

VALID 051200Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL

SD...MUCH OF NEBRASKA...MUCH OF KS...AND NWRN OK...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE MDT RISK FROM

WEST TX...INTO SOUTH ND AND PORTIONS OF IA/MO...

...ANOTHER POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EPISODE IS

EXPECTED SATURDAY ACROSS THE PLAINS. STRONG TORNADOES...VERY LARGE

HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL LIKELY BE OBSERVED...

LARGE SCALE PATTERN CONTINUES TO EVOLVE SUCH THAT ANOTHER ROUND OF

SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS. EARLY

MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS LARGE SCALE ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION

WITH 4-CORNERS LOW IS ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH ACROSS AZ/NM

AND WILL SOON EJECT NEWD TOWARD THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS. THIS FEATURE

WILL UNDOUBTEDLY AID DEEP CONVECTION EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE

CNTRL PLAINS...MUCH OF IT SHOULD BE SEVERE. THIS EARLY MORNING

CONVECTION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY AS IT SPREADS/DEVELOPS NNEWD

ACROSS NEB INTO SD. ALTHOUGH EARLY MORNING CONVECTION SHOULD BE

SOMEWHAT ELEVATED IN NATURE...STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING ACROSS

THE TX PANHANDLE...NWD INTO WRN KS WILL ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO

BECOME ROOTED IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEFORE 18Z AND THUS THE TORNADO

POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE MARKEDLY WITH SUPERCELL STRUCTURES BY MID

DAY. ADDITIONALLY...FORECAST SHEAR PROFILES ARE VERY STRONG AND

STORM MOTIONS WILL BE QUITE FAST...ON THE ORDER OF 40-50 KT ACROSS

THE MDT RISK REGION. LATEST THINKING IS INITIAL CLUSTER OF SEVERE

SUPERCELLS WILL BE HEAVILY CONCENTRATED ACROSS NRN KS...NWD INTO NEB

AND SRN SD. THERE IS SOME CONCERN ONGOING CONVECTION MAY DISRUPT

AIRMASS RECOVERY...HOWEVER SOUTH-NORTH STORM MOTIONS WILL PROVE

FAVORABLE FOR HIGHER INSTABILITY STORMS TO ORGANIZE OVER KS THEN

SPREAD INTO THIS REGION. TIMING OF UPPER SHORTWAVE/SPEED MAX IS

SUCH THAT DRYLINE ACROSS SWRN KS INTO NWRN TX WILL BE WITHIN WEAK

SHORTWAVE RIDGING BY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...VERY STRONG HEATING

ALONG/WEST OF THE DRYLINE SHOULD PROVE FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED

SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT ALONG WEAKLY CONVERGENT BOUNDARY. NEEDLESS TO

SAY...BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL BE QUITE HIGH ACROSS

KS INTO THE SRN PLAINS. ANY STORMS THAT CAN INITIATE WILL DO SO

WITHIN A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND

VERY LARGE HAIL.

DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD...A SECONDARY SPEED MAX WILL

EJECT ACROSS SRN AZ/NM TOWARD THE TRAILING PORTIONS OF THE DRYLINE

OVER WEST TX. THIS SHOULD INDUCE A HEALTHY LINE OF SEVERE

THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS WEST TX. THIS ACTIVITY WILL

THEN DEVELOP/MOVE RAPIDLY NEWD ALONG FAVORABLE SFC BOUNDARY INTO WRN

OK/CNTRL KS. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY SHEARED FOR

SUPERCELL STRUCTURES...THOUGH STORM MERGERS MAY BE COMMON. LARGE

HAIL AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS

CONVECTION.

paul be carful there monsters now brewing near were you are be safe

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Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE

213 PM MDT SAT MAY 5 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

NORTH CENTRAL KEITH COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 245 PM MDT

* AT 209 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR KEYSTONE...

OR ABOUT 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF OGALLALA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35

MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

RURAL NORTHERN KEITH COUNTY AT 230 PM MDT

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Posted
  • Location: Herts, UK
  • Location: Herts, UK

There was a brief talk about a possible hook in the Comanche cell (southernmost cell in Kansas) a few minutes ago, but is only very slight at the moment. heading northeast towards Coldwater and Wilmore.

EDIT - It now appears the cell is moving more NNE, missing Pratt.

Looking at google earth, it could indicate another hit for Greensburg if this storm continues its current track?

Edited by RisingStar
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Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

Looks like its just going to skim Greensburg, though any rain isn't great given the styate of that town. Looks like a hook echo is present on the Brown cell heading close to Know, will need watching I reckon.

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Posted
  • Location: Cambridgeshire Fens. 3m ASL
  • Location: Cambridgeshire Fens. 3m ASL

Greensburg can certainly do without another hit. 95% of the town damaged is shocking.

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Posted
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland

any one in the uk and you have got fox news on the saterlite or cable thay have reporters in the area they struck up to 10 dead many still missing the scene there is like a bomb has hit the place :wallbash:

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/ECIR4.html

Tornado Watch

I'm watching it now- amazing damage and it certainly does look like a massive explosion happened

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