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Day 6 Discussion


Paul Sherman

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Posted
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland
  • Location: County Meath, Ireland

Is this a squall line?:

radar image

When do these things die- it will be coming up to dawn in a couple of hours there. Do they ever go right through the night and then continue in to the next day?

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Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.

G'mornin, well as was suspected SPC have upgraded the severe potential from slight to Moderate.

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE OVERALL FLOW REGIME WILL EXIST ON

SUNDAY...THOUGH THE UPR LVL FLOW WILL TEND TO WEAKEN A BIT OVER

SATURDAY. NONETHELESS...THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL REMAIN QUITE MOIST

WITH UPR 60S TO NEAR 70 DEG F DEW POINTS IN PLACE OVER MOST OF THE

CNTRL/SRN PLAINS. STRONGEST HEATING IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE FROM

THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS OF W TX NEWD INTO CNTRL KS WITH MLCAPES

APPROACHING 2500-3000 J/KG BY MID-AFTN. IT IS DIFFICULT TO RESOLVE

SUBTLE JET MAXIMA ROUNDING THE WRN TROUGH...BUT HEATING ALONE AND

WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT TO WEAKEN THE CAP.

TSTMS WILL EITHER INITIATE ALONG THE TRIPLE POINT/ DRYLINE OR

STRENGTHEN ALONG EXISTING MORNING CONVECTION FROM CNTRL KS SWWD INTO

THE ERN TX PNHDL SUNDAY AFTN/EVE. ROUGHLY 45-50 KTS OF SSWLY

MIDLEVEL FLOW ATOP SSELY LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BOOST VERTICAL SHEAR

FOR SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL.

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Posted
  • Location: s.e. london
  • Location: s.e. london
morning Paul. certainly looking good for some potential severe storms. hope the vehicles are covered for hailstone damage ;)

i like the comment

:)

hope the team stay safe

hi ian managed to get on hope you all ok, take care love mum :drinks:

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