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Virtual Storm Chase 2

pottyprof

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pottyprof Enthusiast

pottyprof

Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    Posted

    Well, with all the team safely home, I thought we could have a nice new shiny thread

    If you missed the team in the states, you can read all about their adventures here.

    Some nice cells have grown nicely over this evening through Kansas and Nebraska

    Current tornado warning..

    BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

    TORNADO WARNING

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS

    527 PM CDT TUE MAY 22 2007

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...

    GRAHAM COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

    SOUTHEASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...

    NORTHEASTERN GOVE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

    * UNTIL 630 PM CDT

    * AT 526 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD

    NEAR SAINT PETER...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

    * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

    SAINT PETER AROUND 535 PM CDT...

    MORLAND AROUND 555 PM CDT...

    PENOKEE AROUND 600 PM CDT...

    HILL CITY AROUND 610 PM CDT...

    THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 109 AND 113.

    A TORNADO WARNING MEANS THAT A TORNADO HAS BEEN OBSERVED OR INDICATED

    BY RADAR. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO...SEEK SHELTER IN A

    SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR AND COVER UP.

    LAT...LON 3912 10031 3898 10016 3943 9961 3953 9989

    $$

    CLK

    Radar...

    post-1669-1179873776_thumb.jpg

    Latest satellite...

    post-1669-1179873788_thumb.jpg

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    pottyprof Enthusiast

    pottyprof

    Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Author
    Posted

    Looking like things are busy in the Colorado/Kansas border area..

    SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO

    437 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

    COC039-073-292300-

    /O.CON.KBOU.TO.W.0042.000000T0000Z-070529T2300Z/

    LINCOLN CO-ELBERT CO-

    437 PM MDT TUE MAY 29 2007

    ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM MDT FOR EAST

    CENTRAL ELBERT AND NORTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTIES...

    AT 437 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO

    INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS

    STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LIMON...OR ABOUT OVER LIMON. THIS STORM WAS

    MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

    LOCATIONS REMAINING IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO

    LIMON AND GENOA.

    AT 430 PM MDT...A SPOTTER IN LIMON REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL HAD

    BLANKETED THE GROUND.

    THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A

    WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS

    AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN

    INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO

    COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

    IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

    SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

    NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

    IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE

    DAMAGING HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

    A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT TUESDAY EVENING

    FOR NORTHEASTERN COLORADO.

    LAT...LON 3941 10385 3914 10385 3916 10349 3945 10348

    post-1669-1180478741_thumb.jpg

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    Could be a Very Busy Day and the last time a Moderate was in this exact area was 4th May. Hopefully towns will be spared if any Tornadoes become violent, looks good for some cracking Supercells & Large Hail with Tornadoes

    post-24-1180605661_thumb.png

    Paul Sherman

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    3 More Slight Risk days and then things get even more interesting!!

    post-24-1180694858_thumb.png

    Sorely Tempted Now !!

    :unknw::nonono: I Think my Visa Card wants to Play!!

    Paul Sherman

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    pottyprof Enthusiast

    pottyprof

    Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Author
    Posted

    Aye.. Max it out.. :nonono:

    It is looking like a good set up. I think I'd be tempted too... Maybe OK could see something this time??

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    Roger J Smith Maestro

    Roger J Smith

    Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
    • Location: Rossland BC Canada
    Posted

    As I posted elsewhere, research variables pointing to a monster severe weather outbreak across the northern plains states and parts of southern prairies in Canada, 13 to 16 June from west to east. You can get very cheap flights to Calgary if you shop around this early in the summer, would seem like a good staging point for this event, would advise 11-18 as the time window for the flights in and out. I am working Mondays to Fridays in June and taking my holidays in July, but thinking about staging a quick storm chase out of Winnipeg MB the weekend of 16-17 June if the activity looks close enough to reach, however it would be better for me if 14-15 June were the weekend.

    That time window also should produce some severe thunderstorms in parts of England too, so perhaps better to stay home and chase those instead.

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    AudMun Enthusiast

    AudMun

    Posted
  • Location: Northampton, UK
    • Location: Northampton, UK
    Posted

    Does look very interesting.

    (Pulls calculator out and tries to estimate how much us living on beans on toast would save over 12 months. All he needs to do now is persuade P.B.S. that it really is a good idea to send him away)

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    And rather Worryingly Mrs S has just given me Security Clearance to go next week if I want too :) :unsure: :D Now who can i get to go with me or do I do a lonesome Chase !!

    Paul S

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    Am probably only going for about 4-5 days though, will hopefully fly to Denver with British Airways, have a Contact in the BA Offices so quite a cheap flight. Just do not know wether to commit on my lonesome, it is hard enough with only 2 of you let alone 1 person. Might stand a Chance in the June Photo Competition though :)

    Paul S

    Whole trip should cost between £800 - £900

    I am sure loads of people will jump at the chance..

    If i had the cash i would be right there........

    Paul you have a very understanding wife :D

    Do you think Kelly. I think she cant wait to get rid of me personally :) :unsure:

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    Pete the Britt Newbie

    Pete the Britt

    Posted
  • Location: Brentwood, Essex.
    • Location: Brentwood, Essex.
    Posted

    Hey if i could get the leave & the money spare i'd jump at it myself with you. Ideal for some more photo's for June's competition aswell, maybe even do some RAW imagery masterclasses for those who still dont know about or don't shoot in RAW :unsure:

    Regards

    Pete

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    NL Aficionado

    NL

    Posted
  • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
    • Location: South Shields Tyne & Wear half mile from the coast.
    Posted

    Just do not know wether to commit on my lonesome, it is hard enough with only 2 of you let alone 1 person. Might stand a Chance in the June Photo Competition though :D

    Paul S

    Whole trip should cost between £800 - £900

    Do you think Kelly. I think she cant wait to get rid of me personally :) :unsure:

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    4 options currently and this is the percentage

    1. Chase Lonesome # 99%

    2. Darin & Dick # 50%

    3. Pete The Brit # 1% :):D Preeeety Please Pete, come on, come on!! :unsure: :)

    4. Contact Stu & Tony G who are duoing 3-9th June, anyone got Tony's number!!

    Paul S

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    Going to fly from Heathrow to Denver on Monday 3rd June Kelly

    Paul S

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    Pete

    Can you Pm me on Ukww, cant seem to send you a Pm on here as you have not got 10 posts, need to try and get Tony's Moby number, drop your Mobile on there will call you.

    Paul S

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    pottyprof Enthusiast

    pottyprof

    Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Author
    Posted

    Typical this... Have you seen the CAPE chart for Tuesday evening over there??

    If only our team were still over there.. Still, we can virtual chase.. We have this.......

    post-1669-1180824829_thumb.png :lol: :)

    I'm going to wait til Monday night before I pick my location...

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted
    Typical this... Have you seen the CAPE chart for Tuesday evening over there??

    If only our team were still over there.. Still, we can virtual chase.. We have this.......

    post-1669-1180824829_thumb.png :lol: :lol:

    I'm going to wait til Monday night before I pick my location...

    :):) :lol: :lol: LOL!

    What about Wednesday then Pots!

    post-24-1180825515_thumb.png

    :shok::shok:

    Paul S

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    pottyprof Enthusiast

    pottyprof

    Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Author
    Posted

    Kinell!!!.. Just been looking at the outlook Paul...

    DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    0403 AM CDT SAT JUN 02 2007

    VALID 051200Z - 101200Z

    ...DISCUSSION...

    AN ACTIVE PERIOD OF SEVERE WEATHER REMAINS APPARENT FOR NEXT

    WEEK...AS MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A SERIES OF TROUGHS WILL

    PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL CONUS WHILE A BAND OF STRONG /60 TO

    70 KT/ SWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL SPREAD INTO THE PLAINS...AND THEN

    THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES REGION.

    MOST WIDESPREAD SEVERE THREAT SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO W TX AND

    VICINITY DAY 4...AS NWLY FLOW ALOFT PERSISTS ON THE SWRN FRINGE OF

    PERSISTENT ERN U.S. LONGWAVE TROUGH.

    THE PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE FOR DAY 5 HOWEVER...AS FLOW BECOMES

    MORE PROGRESSIVE. THE ERN TROUGH WILL BEGIN SHIFTING EWD...WHILE A

    NEW TROUGH SHIFTS OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS...ALLOWING

    INCREASING FLOW ALOFT TO SPREAD EWD INTO MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR

    OVER THE CENTRAL AND NRN PLAINS.

    THIS TROUGH SHOULD SHIFT NEWD TOWARD THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION

    DAY 6...AND THUS AN EWD SHIFT IN THE SEVERE THREAT AREA IS LIKEWISE

    ANTICIPATED -- INTO THE MO AND UPPER MS VALLEY REGION.

    DAY 7...THIS TROUGH SHOULD CROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND SPREAD A SEVERE

    THREAT INTO NEW ENGLAND. WITH ASSOCIATED SURFACE BOUNDARY DRAPED

    WWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE PLAINS...THE SEVERE THREAT AREA

    SHOULD LIKEWISE EXTEND WWD INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS...WHERE

    CYCLOGENESIS SHOULD BE UNDERWAY ALONG THE WWD EXTENT OF THIS FRONT

    AHEAD OF YET ANOTHER PROGRESSIVE UPPER TROUGH.

    MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY FOR DAY 8...SO WILL NOT INCLUDE A DAY 8

    THREAT AREA ATTM.

    post-1669-1180825950_thumb.png

    WOW!!!!!

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    Lol What About Thursday through to Saturday

    post-24-1180826134_thumb.png - Thursday 7th June

    post-24-1180826157_thumb.png - Friday 8th June

    post-24-1180826180_thumb.png - Saturday 9th June

    Pottyprof, Go stand in the Corner and stop throwing the Paint around, I will tell Paul you Know!! :lol:

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    pottyprof Enthusiast

    pottyprof

    Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Author
    Posted

    Bet you wish you were still out there??? :lol: Poo packs in hand (or trousers as the case may be...)

    Shhh.. don't tell him I know how to deface his charts.. :)

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    Paul Sherman Veteran

    Paul Sherman

    Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
    Posted

    Do you know what I still have the 4th of May saved on me pluter and it looks something like this from just a few days b4 it happened

    post-24-1180826330_thumb.png - Friday 4th May 00z

    Paul S

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    pottyprof Enthusiast

    pottyprof

    Posted
  • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Location: Swallownest, Sheffield 83m ASL
    • Author
    Posted

    That's pretty.. jelly and ice-cream... Should look familiar to you later tomorrow.. :lol:

    Ah well... I'm thinking somewhere slightly east of Denver for an initial chase.. That look about right Paul??

    Nick F.. Any ideas on this mate??

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