October 2007 CET

[Stu_London]

Bit early for most to make their predictions (although this thread is later than the August and September threads), however with the unusual predictions the models are showing in FI, the thread can be used for discussion on the likely effect on CET.

October is an unusual month in that the 1971-2000 average (10.4C) is cooler than the 1961-1990 average (10.6C). June is the only other month where this is the case.

For the stats merchants here are some rolling averages

30 years - 10.7C

20 years - 10.8C

15 years - 10.8C

10 years - 11.1C

5 years - 11.2C

1 year - 13.0C

[summer blizzard]

I think that October will continue the trend that September started, in being only slightly above average, thus my prediction is 10.7C, 0.3C above average however i may raise this closer to the time to around the 11.4C mark.

I'm expecting rainfall to be around average, and a very easterly month, with some slow moving north easterly depressions suppressing maxima.

[The PIT]

Well I'm happy with my 14.7C punt for September. October will probably come above average so I'm going for 11C

[BARRY]

well i get this feeling that we will be below average

so may prediction is 10.4c

Edited September 20, 2007 by BARRY

[SP1986]

I can see the Scandinavian high slipping into a Euro High, so I would suggest a largely wet month, which a well above average CET 13.0C

[Optimus Prime]

Provisionally I'm going for 8.5c (I've got a feeling I'm going to regret going that low)

[SteveB]

I shall go for 11.2c.

A proper wet and windy month.

[Rollo]

12.2c for me with temperatures falling off a lot towards the end of the month.

[Anti-Mild]

Provisionally:

all the ones; 11.1c

[Weather-history]

10.9

[cheeky_monkey]

I think that October will continue the trend that September started, in being only slightly above average, thus my prediction is 10.7C, 0.3C above average however i may raise this closer to the time to around the 11.4C mark.

I'm expecting rainfall to be around average, and a very easterly month, with some slow moving north easterly depressions suppressing maxima.

as i said b4 and i say it again..you should only be allowed one guess no more!!!

[fishdude]

I think a below average month is likely, with 10.0C.

[summer blizzard]

as i said b4 and i say it again..you should only be allowed one guess no more!!!

If that rule is imposed into next years competition fair enougth, however if it is, i shall be waiting until at least the 28th before issuing a forecast.

[Lettucing Gutted]

14C C.E.T

The warmest October on record.

[Stu_London]

14C C.E.T

The warmest October on record.

I knew you wouldn't let us down, Craig

[Sunshine]

I'll go for an above average month at 11.5

[snow raven]

I'll plump for 11.2, and it being a typical autumn month of years gone by - Wet and windy with foggy, damp mornings going towards November!

Edited September 21, 2007 by snow raven

[Osbourne One-Nil]

Oh Snow Raven, it's lovely to see you have a go. Well done love.

10.6º.

[Mammatus]

High Pressure to our southeast throughout October, very blocked month I feel with plenty of dry, foggy and bright weather. Mainly southerly winds. CET 12.9C

Mammatus

Edited September 21, 2007 by Mammatus

[Stratos Ferric]

as i said b4 and i say it again..you should only be allowed one guess no more!!!

Why, so long as the final guess is made before the turn of the month what difference does it make. Anyway, what would we all do if we didn't have SB's various guesses and predictions to keep track of?

[Gavin P]

9.5. Cold and wet. Particularly cold and wet in the final week or ten days, when an intense Greenland High may form and give us an extended period of southerly tracking lows and cold northerly winds. Early snow for Scotland, Northern Ireland and perhaps Northern England.

Edited September 21, 2007 by Gavin P

[swales]

9.7ºC With early snow for Scotland and possibly some high parts of Northen England etc.

Edited September 21, 2007 by skwales100

[Snowly does it]

Ill go for slightly above the 10 year mean - 11.3

[eddie]

10.0C for me please.

[memories of 63]

I'll give it a 10.6º C