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October 2007 CET


Stu_London

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Posted
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent
  • Location: Tunbridge Wells, Kent

    Bit early for most to make their predictions (although this thread is later than the August and September threads), however with the unusual predictions the models are showing in FI, the thread can be used for discussion on the likely effect on CET.

    October is an unusual month in that the 1971-2000 average (10.4C) is cooler than the 1961-1990 average (10.6C). June is the only other month where this is the case.

    For the stats merchants here are some rolling averages

    30 years - 10.7C

    20 years - 10.8C

    15 years - 10.8C

    10 years - 11.1C

    5 years - 11.2C

    1 year - 13.0C

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    I think that October will continue the trend that September started, in being only slightly above average, thus my prediction is 10.7C, 0.3C above average however i may raise this closer to the time to around the 11.4C mark.

    I'm expecting rainfall to be around average, and a very easterly month, with some slow moving north easterly depressions suppressing maxima.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

    Well I'm happy with my 14.7C punt for September. October will probably come above average so I'm going for 11C

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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

    I can see the Scandinavian high slipping into a Euro High, so I would suggest a largely wet month, which a well above average CET 13.0C

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    I shall go for 11.2c.

    A proper wet and windy month.

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    Posted
  • Location: Norton, Stockton-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold in winter, warm and sunny in summer
  • Location: Norton, Stockton-on-Tees

    Provisionally:

    all the ones; 11.1c

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    Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
    I think that October will continue the trend that September started, in being only slightly above average, thus my prediction is 10.7C, 0.3C above average however i may raise this closer to the time to around the 11.4C mark.

    I'm expecting rainfall to be around average, and a very easterly month, with some slow moving north easterly depressions suppressing maxima.

    as i said b4 and i say it again..you should only be allowed one guess no more!!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
    as i said b4 and i say it again..you should only be allowed one guess no more!!!

    If that rule is imposed into next years competition fair enougth, however if it is, i shall be waiting until at least the 28th before issuing a forecast.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

    14C C.E.T

    The warmest October on record.

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    Posted
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Squall Lines, Storm Force Winds & Extreme Weather!
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK

    High Pressure to our southeast throughout October, very blocked month I feel with plenty of dry, foggy and bright weather. Mainly southerly winds. CET 12.9C

    Mammatus :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Steeton, W Yorks, 270m ASL
  • Location: Steeton, W Yorks, 270m ASL
    as i said b4 and i say it again..you should only be allowed one guess no more!!!

    Why, so long as the final guess is made before the turn of the month what difference does it make. Anyway, what would we all do if we didn't have SB's various guesses and predictions to keep track of?

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    Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
  • Location: W. Northants

    9.5. Cold and wet. Particularly cold and wet in the final week or ten days, when an intense Greenland High may form and give us an extended period of southerly tracking lows and cold northerly winds. Early snow for Scotland, Northern Ireland and perhaps Northern England.

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