October 2007 CET

[Snowyowl9]

October 1974 has been showing up abit lately for archives and the CET was just 7.8c

Even 1992 was the same at 7.8c surprisingly.

The coldest octobers I`ve lived through.

But I`m going for 9.9c a little risky at just below average.

[snowsure]

9.4 oC due to comparisons with 1993. (I averaged 1993 and 1994 Oct data!)

[Cymru]

I'll stick my neck out and have an early guess at 11.2c.

[West is Best]

Pattern change so a cold October for me. Somewhere in the 9's perhaps ...

9.5C

[WhiteXmas]

I strongly believe the CET for October will be lower than average. Around 6.5-7C for the month as a whole. This is due to what seems to be an ever-growing trend of cooling as we get closer to Autumn/Winter months. I believe that OCtober will see a number of North Westerlies coming in, affecting mainly Scotland and Northern England where at times the temperatures here during the daytime could fall to as low as 4C . I have had a look at thermo charts for Novermber - January and it seems to me that this winter will be extremely cold, easily colder than recent years. It is therefore why I think October will be colder than usual it seems to me as if the cooling transition is already under way and will only gather in pace as the weeks pass. Thoughts?

Just would like to say hi to everyone again I haven't been on the forum for around 10 months! So I'm glad to be back.

[snowhope]

I think its going to be a cold(ish) one 10.2 for me

Edited September 25, 2007 by snowhope

[WhiteXmas]

yeah so thanks for all the replies guys :S....

[Optimus Prime]

Lovely forecast for anyone hoping for a sub 10.0c year. 6.5c-7.0c would mean the coldest since 1992 or 1905.

I would say a month with an anomaly of 3.4c below average is well out of our sights for the time being.

Yeah perhaps it was more suited to the October CET thread?

Edited September 25, 2007 by Optimus Prime

[jethro]

yeah so thanks for all the replies guys :S....

I'd hazard a guess you haven't got any replies because there is already a thread for October CET, try posting there?

[PersianPaladin]

11.8C

[Optimus Prime]

Final prediction;

9.6c.

[Bottesford]

I'd hazard a guess you haven't got any replies because there is already a thread for October CET, try posting there?

Topics merged - thanks.

[WhiteXmas]

I strongly believe the CET for October will be lower than average. Around 6.5-7C for the month as a whole. This is due to what seems to be an ever-growing trend of cooling as we get closer to Autumn/Winter months. I believe that OCtober will see a number of North Westerlies coming in, affecting mainly Scotland and Northern England where at times the temperatures here during the daytime could fall to as low as 4C smile.gif . I have had a look at thermo charts for Novermber - January and it seems to me that this winter will be extremely cold, easily colder than recent years. It is therefore why I think October will be colder than usual it seems to me as if the cooling transition is already under way and will only gather in pace as the weeks pass. Thoughts?

Just would like to say hi to everyone again I haven't been on the forum for around 10 months! So I'm glad to be back. biggrin.gif

oops lol didn't realise that it was posted here already. Sorry guys - just getting used to the fiormat of the forum again!

[Snowyowl9]

6.5c-7.0c would mean the coldest since 1992 or 1905.

That would be a record cold october month 1905 was 7.1c with 1992 7.8c I thought or the coldest november since 2005 which was 6.2c

[Norrance]

10.5C for me. Keeping the slightly under average run going [assuming a cold last week of Sept.]

[kold weather]

very hard to call because it all depend son how long the very strong northern blocking can remain. Most likely in the high 9's low 10's *however* if the sort of blocking the GFs calls for remains for a good chunk of the month a CET in the 8's is quite possible as we saw in 1993.

[Joneseye]

I agree Darren - will be putting my punt in at the very last possible moment as the current models are certainly mouth-watering. I suspect this one will be difficult to call and could have a big impact on the overall CET competition.

[Mark Bayley]

10.9c for me please

[BLAST FROM THE PAST]

I'll wait just a little longer...important developments may be afoot.

BFTP

[Mark Bayley]

WhiteXmas 6.5c -7.0c ?????

Snow sure 9.4c

Gavin P 9.5c

West is best 9.5c

Optimus prime 9.6c

Skwales100 9.7c

Snowyoul9 9.9c

Fish dude 10.0c

Eddie 10.0c

Snow hope 10.2c

BARRY 10.4c

Norrance 10.5c

Memories of 63 10.6c

Osbourne one-Nil 10.6c

Summer blizzard 10.7c

Mr data 10.9c

Mark Bayley 10.9c

The Pit 11.0c

Anti mild 11.1c

Cymru 11.2c

Steve B 11.2c

Snow raven 11.2c

Snow maiden 11.3c

Sunshine 11.5c

Persian paladin 11.8c

Rollo 12.2c

Mammatus 12.9c

Stephen Prudence 13.0c

Craig Evans 14.0c

The lowest C.E.T prediction so far comes from Snow sure at 9.4c

The highest C.E.T prediction so far comes from Craig Evans at 14.0c

The predictions in blue are below the 71 to 2000 average

Green average

Red above

Edited September 26, 2007 by mark bayley

[ukmoose]

Like the chart, Mark. Could you put me down for 11.4 please?

Thanks.

Moose

[Geordiesnow]

Tough one this month as it could go either way so i would go for about the average of 10.7.

[WhiteXmas]

as a more accurate prediction, i am going for 6.9C. I feel that something special could be on the way in the coming months :lol:

[Anti-Mild]

ATTENTION!! ATTENTION!! ATTENTION!!

I would like to amend my earlier effort of 11.1c to a more average 10.7c. Thank you.

[WhiteXmas]

hi anti-mild. Just wondered, what were your thought for this winter? Mild or cold? Or somewhere in between?