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Does anybody take notice of the BBC monthly forcast?


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Posted
  • Location: Tamworth
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, fog and ice!
  • Location: Tamworth

    Hi Guys

    As a newbie just wondered is it worth reading much into the beebs monthly forcast which is updated every Monday on the bbc weather website?

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    nope, but the Met O 6-15 day outlook is a better one, not as long but more chance of being correct.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tamworth
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, fog and ice!
  • Location: Tamworth
    Better still you can use our own monthly outlooks written by TWS (Ian Simpson), which are updated twice a month!

    http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=...e=monthly;sess=

    Thanks guys I have noticed that the BBC one changes every week so I guessed it was not up to much.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tamworth
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, fog and ice!
  • Location: Tamworth
    nope, but the Met O 6-15 day outlook is a better one, not as long but more chance of being correct.

    thanks John

    In percentage terms how accurate is the met office 6-15 day forcast do you reckon?

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    Posted
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    never done any check on it, but I would think well over better than even at 15 days otherwise they would not isse it.

    I could not give figures as I have never tested its accuracy.

    From my own experiience I would say 75-80% falling to 60-65% by day 15.

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    Posted
  • Location: Tamworth
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, frost, fog and ice!
  • Location: Tamworth
    never done any check on it, but I would think well over better than even at 15 days otherwise they would not isse it.

    I could not give figures as I have never tested its accuracy.

    From my own experiience I would say 75-80% falling to 60-65% by day 15.

    Quite a good guide then.

    What is the accuweather forcasts like? I found that site today.

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    • 2 weeks later...
    Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl

    always look every monday but they always go for mild and unsettled, the default pattern although last winter it was right, i always think bbc weather overdo the temps, (there was no way it was going to be 8oC today, it only reached 4.2oC), the netweather forum i find more accurate discussing models, and wetterzentrale charts

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    In a word I don't anymore, although I still read it. Every week they completely change their opinion and in recent weeks really have talked some waffle in their introduction.

    Take today for instance in their introduction they talk about how we were lon course to record a very mild autumn, it has been very near average- please get your facts right.

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    Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

    Nope.

    Loook back through the pinned thread that records what the forecasts say and judge the accuracy from there.

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