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Monthly outlooks that didn't go according to plan


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Posted
  • Location: Hampton and Fairfield, Evesham , Worcestershire.
  • Weather Preferences: Love Weather, Hate the Spin and Lies to do with our Planets Climate.
  • Location: Hampton and Fairfield, Evesham , Worcestershire.

    Good to see somethings dont change! ;) thanks for the info, just goes to show that lrf are not a lot better now then they were then! :lol:

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  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks
  • Location: just south of Doncaster, Sth Yorks

    those were the days, monthly outlooks, I spent more time at Manchester Weather centre trying to explain their inaccuracies than anything else!

    I also knew two people in that department including the driving force behind it; he believed the answers lay in the 300mb charts!

    Edited by johnholmes
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  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

    Ah, monthly outlooks- I'm quite familiar with those! Perhaps my most spectacular failure was April 2007, when I went for a month of near to slightly above average temperature, and the month produced record temperatures.

    I vividly recall my predictions for January 2006 and February 2007, both of which went for a very cold north-easterly incursion starting around the 20th in association with a build of pressure from the N and NE. Those examples show that it isn't enough to get the general synoptics right- both of the cold spells I predicted came very close to coming off, but the easterlies never made it as far west as Britain and so the remainder of those forecasts were completely wrong.

    I don't know what the monthly LRFs were like at the beginning of February 1998, but I remember most of the TV forecasts going for a very wintry start to the month with persistent high pressure to the NW and frequent northerly winds. If anyone had predicted a severe February that year, they were hugely mistaken!

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