Tropical Cyclone Nicholas

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Its been taken down from red to green

Tropical Cyclone NICHOLAS is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

Australia

probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours

probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours

probability for TS is 100% currently

Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)

probability for TS is 85% currently

Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)

probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)

probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)

probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

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ropical Storm NICHOLAS is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

Australia

probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently

probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently

probability for TS is 100% currently

Carnarvon (24.8 S, 113.8 E)

probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)

probability for TS is 50% currently

Useless Loop (26.3 S, 113.4 E)

probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours

[Somerset Squall]

Nicholas has continued to weaken due to northeasterly shear and land interaction. The cyclone is heading sotuhwards but is expected to begin to track westwards away from the coast beyond 24hr as a subtropical ridge to the south becomes the dominant steering influence. However, Nicholas is expected to disapate shortly after that due to the continuation of shear and the introduction of cool waters.

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thanks for the great updates