April C.E.T

[kold weather]

I'm going to lower my forecast to 7.9C simply because the northern blocking looks fairly strong on the models, mind you I wouldn't be at all surprised to see a warmer spell as well.

[BARRY]

7.6 for little old me

[shuggee]

9.1ºC

A warm and settled end to the month.

[Calrissian]

A nice April, but of course, won't be like last year.

Calrissian: 8.5

[azores92]

A nice April, but of course, won't be like last year.

Calrissian: 8.5

8.2, a very mixed month. low pressure trying to displace higher, and i think the month is going to be a battleground between the two, with showers and good spells of sunshine. i think may could well be milder and wetter.

[Terminal Moraine]

Northern blocking and persistent N/NE winds, he says hopefully, so I'll persist with the below average forecasts and go for 6.9c

[Lettucing Gutted]

11.5C for April 2008

[LadyPakal]

I think I'll go for 7.9 - thanks!

[ukmoose]

7.9 still seems very popular this month, slightly below average. Latest list as follows:

41 6.0C: Timbo

34 6.2C: SLEETY

11 6.4C: Optimus Prime

63 6.8C: snowingman

81 6.9C: Terminal Moraine

14 7.1C: mark forster 630

13 7.4C: The PIT

9 7.5C: snowmaiden

38 7.6C: Kentish Man

59 7.6C: Jonnie G

77 7.6C: BARRY

36 7.7C: sundog

40 7.7C: Stu London

51 7.7C: eddie

29 7.8C: richarddx7

30 7.9C: snowsure

43 7.9C: Norrance

46 7.9C: Duncan McAlister

49 7.9C: davehsug

50 7.9C: reef

67 7.9C: beng

68 7.9C: Atlantic Flamethrower

76 7.9C: kold weather

83 7.9C: LadyPakal

31 8.0C: Polar Gael

61 8.0C: silpknotsam

71 8.0C: Cymru

37 8.1C: ukmoose

58 8.1C: BLAST FROM THE PAST

16 8.2C: StormMad26

54 8.2C:Michael Prys-Rob

74 8.2C: damianslaw

80 8.2C: azores92

17 8.3C: SteveB

66 8.3C: Mr Data

73 8.3C: IRON-BRU

10 8.4C: Timmead

12 8.4C: NorthernRab

39 8.5C: osmposm

52 8.5C: Potent Gust

70 8.5C: ghrud

79 8.5C: Calrissian

7 8.6C: NorthantsSnow

60 8.6C: Stargazer

1 8.7C: mark bayley

69 8.7C: DAVID SNOW

27 8.8C: chionomaniac

33 8.8C: Anti-Mild

45 8.8C: Somerset Squall

25 8.9C: Snooz

72 8.9C: RedShift

3 9.0C: calum

56 9.0C: jimben

75 9.0C: RAIN RAIN RAIN

2 9.1C: summer blizzard

35 9.1C: Don

78 9.1C: shuggee

65 9.2C: derby4life

6 9.3C: James M

26 9.4C: La Nina

62 9.7C: Roger J Smith

4 10.0C: Stephen Prudence

28 10.1C: Mike W

82 11.5C: Craig Evans

64 entries so far.

SF are you around to have a punt this month?

Moose

Edited March 30, 2008 by ukmoose

[Lettucing Gutted]

The countryfile forcast says a cloudy anticyclonic returning maritime tropical airmass will set in by Thursday giving mild temperatures by both day and night over the UK (as high as mid double figures). This will certainly dampen chances of a below average April if it lasts too long.

Edited March 30, 2008 by Craig Evans

[Timmead]

The countryfile forcast says a cloudy anticyclonic returning maritime tropical airmass will set in by Thursday giving mild temperatures by both day and night over the UK (as high as mid double figures). This will certainly dampen chances of a below average April if it lasts too long.

Yes but the latest charts suggest a return to a northerly setup after that, which could bring the CET right down; it all depends on how long it lasts.

[The Calm before the Storm]

A slightly cooler than average April so I'll go for 7.8c please!

[Polar Continental]

Hopefully a nice cool, crisp and clear April, my wish is 7.0c

Paul

[kold weather]

looks like the first 10 days are going to be a battle between the warmer air and the colder air coming in after Thursday. If i was to make a punt I'd say the mild will just outweigh the cold in the first 10 days, because I'd expect the CET zone to return some decent maxes this week.

[Jack Wales]

With a negative AO progged for the first half of the month, I expect a couple of N'ly blasts to peg back the CET value. Although the second half of the month should be milder with warmer daytime temps, I expect high pressure to be a strong feature so with clear skies and lower minimas I predict the CET to come in just above average at 8.5C

Edited March 30, 2008 by Jack Wales

[Bottesford]

Above average but with cooler spells so nothing like last year. I'll go for 8.7c.

[SMU]

8.0c

S

[Eugene]

The countryfile forcast says a cloudy anticyclonic returning maritime tropical airmass will set in by Thursday giving mild temperatures by both day and night over the UK (as high as mid double figures). This will certainly dampen chances of a below average April if it lasts too long.

Yes it's a cloudy high so i just don't get the excitement over a few days of mild cloudy rubbish, you're wrong though on that it will dampen the chances of a below average April, cold air arrives very swiftly by saturday and completely dominates the warmer air for the first half of April.

[Weather-history]

The thing to note is that there hasn't been an April that was at least 1C below the average since 1989, infact there hasn't been an April that was at least 0.5C below the average since 1989.

Compare that to the other months and their last occasion they were at least 0.5C below the average (1971-2000 averages)

January: 2001

February: 2006

March: 2006

May: 1996

June: 1991

July: 2007

August: 2007

September 1994

October: 2003

November: 2005

December: 2005

Also note how its been a while since we had a May or June that was at least 0.5C below the average.

For simplicity, just using 1971-2000 averages, the last time April and May were both at least 0.5C below was in 1983

[Terminal Moraine]

How does the list shape up if we take a cut off point of at least 1.0c below the 1971-2000 mean, Mr D?.

I tend to categorise any month with a negative anomaly of 1.0c or more as a 'cold' month whereas a negative anomaly of 0.5c doesn't quite cut it as a 'cold' month.

[Rollo]

I will go for a rather chilly 7.8c and hope I am wrong.

[stewfox]

7.3c for me a average first few days colder there after

Lots of debate about 'what if we had this set up in January', type stuff

Edited March 31, 2008 by stewfox

[Weather-history]

How does the list shape up if we take a cut off point of at least 1.0c below the 1971-2000 mean, Mr D?.

.

January 2001

February 1996

March 2006

April 1989

May 1996

June 1991

July 2007

August 1993

September 1994

October 2003

November 1996

December 2001

[Mr Maunder]

Not overly warm, with the odd colder interlude - I'll go for 8.0c.

MM

[mountain shadow]

Below average first half of the month, followed by an above average second half...............

8.2 for me