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Tropical Storm 27P


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Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles
    Storm Alert issued at 18 Apr, 2008 12:00 GMT

    Tropical Storm 27P is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    New Caledonia

    probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

    Vanuatu

    probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)

    probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)

    probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

    Note that

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Yeah, like a few of the South Pacific storms this year, this one is a very weak affair and is racing southeastwards towards cooler waters and higher shear. I don't expect it to be named either, JTWC call for it to dissipate tomorrow. It's been a very quiet season for the South Pacific with only Daman, Funa and Gene being noteworthy storms. Obviously totally opposite to the South Indian Ocean season :lol: .

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
    I feel bad for the poor system cant we just name it anyway?

    LOL :lol: - the same happened with 20P and 24P, JTWC classified them as minimal tropical storms with 35kt winds (based on 1 min average winds) but the agency in control of the area (either BOM or Fiji) didn't as they use 10 min average winds which tend to be a little lower. Therefore these small, weak systems remained nameless.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    27P is dissipating. Shear has blasted the convection away leaving an exposed low level centre. Stronger shear and colder seas await so regeneration is not expected.

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