Tropical Storm 27P

[Cookie]

Storm Alert issued at 18 Apr, 2008 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm 27P is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

New Caledonia

probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Vanuatu

probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)

probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)

probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that

Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

[Cookie]

its not going to last long this system!

[Somerset Squall]

Yeah, like a few of the South Pacific storms this year, this one is a very weak affair and is racing southeastwards towards cooler waters and higher shear. I don't expect it to be named either, JTWC call for it to dissipate tomorrow. It's been a very quiet season for the South Pacific with only Daman, Funa and Gene being noteworthy storms. Obviously totally opposite to the South Indian Ocean season :lol: .

[Cookie]

I feel bad for the poor system cant we just name it anyway?

[Somerset Squall]

I feel bad for the poor system cant we just name it anyway?

LOL :lol: - the same happened with 20P and 24P, JTWC classified them as minimal tropical storms with 35kt winds (based on 1 min average winds) but the agency in control of the area (either BOM or Fiji) didn't as they use 10 min average winds which tend to be a little lower. Therefore these small, weak systems remained nameless.

[Cookie]

fair do's thanks for the explanation though

[Somerset Squall]

27P is dissipating. Shear has blasted the convection away leaving an exposed low level centre. Stronger shear and colder seas await so regeneration is not expected.

[Cookie]

that didn't last long