Tropical Storm Douglas - East Pacific

[Cookie]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep200804.html

[kold weather]

Looking very good with some deep convection in two distinct lobes just on either side of the circulation. Dvorak estimates now at 2.5 which supports 35kts so we should see Tropical Storm Douglas in the next few hours I think.

[Somerset Squall]

Yup, we now have the fourth named system of the East Pacific season- Douglas. The storm is forecast to push generally northwestwards along the southwestwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge to the north. Douglas is currently over warm waters so some strengthening is predicted, but shear is moderate in the region so there shouldn't be any rapid strengthening. Douglas needs to watched as it will remain fairly close to the coast of Mexico over the next coplue days where it could bring some heavy rains from outer rainbands and of course there is always the possibility of Douglas pushing further north which could bring worse weather to the area. It's all heavily dependant on the track. Eventually, Douglas will weaken and dissipate in 4 or 5 days time as the storm moves into cooler waters and higher shear.

[Cookie]

thanks for the update mate

[Somerset Squall]

Douglas is a goner- a very shortlived, weak system overall. All that is left of Douglas is a convectionless swirl of low clouds which will dissipate over the next couple days over cool waters.

[Cookie]

didn't last long, the clouds look good though.