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Typhoon Fung-Wong


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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    TD09W has formed in the west pacific, to the south of Japan. It's forecast track is not typical of storms at this lattitude; TD09W is heading westwards towards Taiwan, along the southern periphery of a subtropical steering ridge to the north over Japan. Intensification is forecast due to good outflow, warm sea temps and lessening shear. Beyond 72hrs, a strong tropical storm is expected to make landfall in Taiwan. It's possible the system may be a typhoon at this point so it needs watching.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    never a dull moment

    wp200809.gif

    Storm Alert issued at 24 Jul, 2008 18:00 GMT

    Tropical Depression 09W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours

    probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

    Note that

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    its been named

    Storm Alert issued at 25 Jul, 2008 12:00 GMT

    Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    China

    probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

    Note that

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Indeed, we now have Tropical Storm Fung_Wong. Continued strengthening is predicted due to low shear and warm waters, and Fung_Wong could become a typhoon prior to landfall in Taiwan, though it's currently forecast to peak at 60kts by the JTWC (which I wouldn't be surprised if that was a bit low). Fung_Wong will then weaken over the rugged terrain of Taiwan before making a second landfall in China, about midway between Shanghai and Hong Kong.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Depends how strong it gets. A cat 1 can cause significant damage if it hits a vunerable area or in the daytime. What's slightly worrying now is the JMA are being quite aggressive with the intensity forecast, execting a peak of 80kts prior to landfall. Let's see if the JTWC follow suit.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    its just you me again mate

    Storm Alert issued at 25 Jul, 2008 18:00 GMT

    Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

    Note that

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    new update

    Storm Alert issued at 26 Jul, 2008 6:00 GMT

    Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

    Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    China

    probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

    Note that

    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    new update

    Storm Alert issued at 26 Jul, 2008 18:00 GMT

    Typhoon FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    China

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours

    probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

    Note that

    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    new update

    Storm Alert issued at 27 Jul, 2008 6:00 GMT

    Typhoon FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% in about 24 hours

    probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

    China

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours

    probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours

    probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)

    probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)

    probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

    Note that

    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl

    Is this one looking to be a Cat 3 at landfall in Taiwan?

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester
    do you think it was cause a lot of damage?

    I think the problem is that they had a hit just a week ago, and the more remote areas of the island won't have had time to recover from that yet. Taiwan is regularly hit by typhoons, so they are used to them hitting the island, but even so the damage takes a while to repair. I visited last September, and a number of roads were still closed after a typhoon hit about 3-4 weeks earlier. Some of the communities in the mountainous central spine will definitely be badly affected and probably cut off for a while. It's no wonder that most of the island's population is based on the west and north of the island rather than in the direct firing line of the Pacific storms.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Fung_Wong has intensified more than expected due to warm waters, low shear and enhanced outflow. Initial intensity is 90kts, and indeed, it looks like Taiwan will be hit by a cat 3 typhoon. Second landfall will then be China, and Fung_Wong may still be a typhoon at this point as it's making landfall in Taiwan stronger than anticipated. Let's hope damage and deaths are limited.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    update

    Storm Alert issued at 27 Jul, 2008 18:00 GMT

    Typhoon FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    Taiwan

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently

    probability for TS is 100% currently

    China

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours

    probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

    Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours

    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours

    probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours

    probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours

    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours

    probability for TS is 100% currently

    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)

    probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours

    probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)

    probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)

    probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)

    probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

    Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)

    probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

    Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)

    probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

    Note that

    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

    For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

    Apparently Fung-Wong caused some tornados in Taiwan, at least one off the north coast that dredged up lots of fish from the sea which the birds were devouring despite the wind. A friend in Taiwan tells me that in the Taitung area on the east coast "there was a so-called 'fire wind', when the typhoon passed by the central mountains, the air became very dry and the temperature reached 40-45 degrees, and suddenly caused all the trees to catch fire. Fortunately, it was a very baby "fire wind" which only lasted for half hour." We hear of the wind and rain effects of hurricanes, but I thought that was an interesting side-effect that doesn't get reported very often.

    Reports from when it hit the island suggest that Fung-Wong was packing winds of between 144 and 180-kilometers an hour, which reduced to between 119 and 155 kilometers per hour as it traversed the island. CNN is reporting that some areas of Taiwan experienced up to 36 inches (900 mm). Thankfully I've not heard of any deaths on the island though.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
    Apparently Fung-Wong caused some tornados in Taiwan, at least one off the north coast that dredged up lots of fish from the sea which the birds were devouring despite the wind. A friend in Taiwan tells me that in the Taitung area on the east coast "there was a so-called 'fire wind', when the typhoon passed by the central mountains, the air became very dry and the temperature reached 40-45 degrees, and suddenly caused all the trees to catch fire. Fortunately, it was a very baby "fire wind" which only lasted for half hour." We hear of the wind and rain effects of hurricanes, but I thought that was an interesting side-effect that doesn't get reported very often.

    Reports from when it hit the island suggest that Fung-Wong was packing winds of between 144 and 180-kilometers an hour, which reduced to between 119 and 155 kilometers per hour as it traversed the island. CNN is reporting that some areas of Taiwan experienced up to 36 inches (900 mm). Thankfully I've not heard of any deaths on the island though.

    Thanks for the info Fraggle, 36 inches doesn't bare thinking about :huh:

    Fung_Wong has weakened to a 60kt tropical storm and is now making landfall in China. Heavy rains are still being felt in Taiwan due to a strong convectional band sweeping over the island. The strongest winds are now being felt by China as Fung_Wong's eye moves on shore. Continued northwestward motion is anticipated until dissipation.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    last warning out

    torm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2008 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

    Tropical Storm FUNG-WONG is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

    Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)

    China

    probability for TS is 90% currently

    Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

    probability for TS is 90% currently

    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

    probability for TS is 90% currently

    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

    probability for TS is 60% currently

    Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)

    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)

    probability for TS is 45% currently

    Note that

    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

    Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.

    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

    According to ICRT (International Community Radio Taiwan), Fung-Wong has left two dead, six injured and 140,000 without power across Taiwan. One of the dead fell off a shed roof he was trying to repair, perhaps not the safest thing to attempt to do during a typhoon, but sad nonetheless. But under the circumstances it looks like the authorities got their emergency planning much better this time compared to the last typhoon a couple of weeks ago. Incidentally, Fung-Wong apparently translates as "Phoenix"; my friend in Taiwan had a day off work (as is usual during a typhoon) in honour of the Phoenix typhoon...

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