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Netweather Autumn and early Winter Long range forecast update

Paul

By Paul
in Autumn Weather Discussion

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
    • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
    Posted

    Ach still no forecast for our region. I spotted you've got central Southern England sometime ago we used to be central Northern England. Time South Yorkshire was recognised. We have to do an invasion somewhere me thinks anyone got any spare tanks.

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    The PIT Maestro

    The PIT

    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
    • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
    Posted
    Lol, just for you I'll get central northern England in there on the next update.

    Hurray and lot no violence. Tanks stay at base. :D:D:D

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    ANYWEATHER Veteran

    ANYWEATHER

    Posted
  • Location: Hampton and Fairfield, Evesham , Worcestershire.
  • Weather Preferences: Love Weather, Hate the Spin and Lies to do with our Planets Climate.
    • Location: Hampton and Fairfield, Evesham , Worcestershire.
    Posted

    Good one Paul, I think thats a good shot for the next couple of months or so, Im thinking the jet will be flying low once again so lots of perhaps nice surprises on the way and more of a traditional Autumn.... :D

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    Anti-Mild Contributor

    Anti-Mild

    Posted
  • Location: Norton, Stockton-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold in winter, warm and sunny in summer
    • Location: Norton, Stockton-on-Tees
    Posted

    It looks like, if the forecast is correct, that we could have a seasonal autumn and early winter...which would be nice!

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    Mark Bayley Community Regular

    Mark Bayley

    Posted
  • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
    • Location: Leeds (Roundhay) 135m
    Posted
    This is what I have Paul...

    Sorry for being dumb however i was wondering what that chart meant, I'm not as knowledgeable as some of you guys :D I will have a guess, is it something to do with high pressure and low pressure or something?

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    Snowyowl9 Accomplished

    Snowyowl9

    Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
    • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
    Posted
    This is what I have Paul...

    Could be a very stormy/very wet autumn this year then, as those years 1998-2001 some the worst autumn storms seen and heaviest torrential rain during any autumn well heaviest rain ever, the period during sept for flooding 1999, october for the damaging storms,hope for more colder air in the mix.

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    Glacier Point Accomplished

    Glacier Point

    Posted
  • Location: Worcestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Forecaster Centaurea Weather
    • Location: Worcestershire
    Posted
    Sorry for being dumb however i was wondering what that chart meant, I'm not as knowledgeable as some of you guys :D I will have a guess, is it something to do with high pressure and low pressure or something?

    Spot on Mark. These represent 500mb height anomalies. Blue = below, red = above. These are generally a good guide to surface pressure and overall weather patterns and they do indicate an unsettled autumn. There is already a cue of tropical depressions starting to develop in the Atlantic off Africa with the first of them potentially finding its way into the jet at day 10.

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    SP1986 Accomplished

    SP1986

    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
    • Location: Heswall, Wirral
    Posted

    I imagine with depression after depression an average Autumn could well be the case, but with higher than average minimum temperatures but lower than average maximums, and very wet. I imagine the tropical depression moving up could well bring some close, sticky days though.

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    Paul Maestro

    Paul

    Posted
  • Location: Aviemore
    • Location: Aviemore
    • Author
    Posted
    Sep - Nov

    Really ought to have read it more closely. Will have a look at creating some 500mb anomaly charts for our stuff, will be an interesting comparison.

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    Gavin P Explorer

    Gavin P

    Posted
  • Location: W. Northants
    • Location: W. Northants
    Posted

    Thanks Paul B) Very interesting forecast, and I've got to say much more useful than the effort put out today by our national forecast organisation. :good: Though I recognise its horses for courses and they have a lot more scrutiny than Netweather or any other independent forecaster.

    I've just read over on TWO that the CFS model is painting a cooler picture now for winter. Any views on this?

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    stewfox Accomplished

    stewfox

    Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
    • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
    Posted
    I've just read over on TWO that the CFS model is painting a cooler picture now for winter. Any views on this?

    Any forcast that suggest a cooler picture for winter is going to imply a milder winter

    Id prefer a forcast for record heat for the winter ,then i can get my snow shoes out :good:

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    shuggee Maestro

    shuggee

    Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
    • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
    Posted

    How did I miss this?!

    One word comes to mind - average! :doh:

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