Is Mother Nature A Better Weather Predictor Than The Models?

[LadyPakal]

We have some snowdrops flowering as of this morning.... that does means spring is coming - but they are called SNOWdrops for a reason.

[Andy Bown]

Not withstanding my earlier comments in this thread, I do believe that animals, including humans (to a lesser extent as our senses have been dulled by technological comforts) are able to sense very short term events.

I agree with that Stu and was going to post this yesterday but had to go out...

... I do believe that birds in particular know what will happen in the very short term. I recall a few years ago watching a feeding frenzy with all manner of garden birds feeding for an horu so so unlike I'd seen before. What happened later that afternoon?.. A heavy fall of snow!

There was a similar feeding frenzy on the Sunday afternoon before the Monday morning snowfall of 5 January.

[Weather-history]

I agree entirely, winter for us on the south coast is now officially over,not that it ever began in terms of snowfall as I still havent seen one snowflake here on the central south coast for more than 3 years now.

All the models now are pointing to an early spring. The models I am referring to are not the GFS or the ECM but quite simply the blue tits in my garden who are now actively seeking and checking out their nesting boxes. Mother nature is far superior as an indicator to the possible outcome of weather than anything man can allude to.

You know, I never commented about the winter over part of the post at the time, I wish I had, but doesn't this post look ridiculous now.

If you are going to judge future weather prospects on the basis of blue tits then I would forget it!

Edited February 9, 2009 by Mr_Data