February CET

[North-Easterly Blast]

With eight days of January left, and after what looks a colder January than many recent years and possibly similar to Jan 2001, what will February bring? Post your guesses here.

We have not had a proper below average Feb for 13 years now. Will one finally happen this year.

[The PIT]

With eight days of January left, and after what looks a colder January than many recent years and possibly similar to Jan 2001, what will February bring? Post your guesses here.

We have not had a proper below average Feb for 13 years now. Will one finally happen this year.

I'll pop for 3.6C again.

[trickydicky]

-0.3c

I will continue to predict what i would like to see in the sad hope that somehow it will help.

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

-0.3c

I will continue to predict what i would like to see in the sad hope that somehow it will help.

I'll go for lower than that for the month, if the SSW carries on, we may have a -1 or less

[derby4life]

3.8 cheers :lol:

[high ground birmingham]

CET for February in my view will be 4.3C. A cold start to Feb will give way to a mild second half after the 14th Feb. After the 26th Feb, temps could reach 14-17C

[Polar Gael]

3.5C for me please.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

lol 2 threads running, very mild feb 5.2oC

[dvdfjojo]

I'm going to go for a coldie - 2.8oC

[NorthernRab]

0.8'C please - Stratospheric warming.

[Snowstorm1]

-1.6C Stratospheric warming is going to have a big impact here comes the coldest feb for at least 20 years so bring it on

[Shunter]

2.0c for me please

[BARRY]

1.8c for me

[Guest Mike W]

7.1

[James M]

1.3°C

[SteveB]

Not sure about this one.

Taking the Stratospheric warming in to account, then below average would be a good bet.

3.1c

[Weather-history]

Could we have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means?

Summer 2008 [-0.2]

Autumn 2008 [-0.2]

December 2008 had a CET of 3.5

Say for argument sake January 2009 turns out as 4.0 [-0.2]

Then February 2009 would need to have a CET of 6.0, for winter 2008-09 to equal the 1971-2000 winter average, so there is a good chance we could have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means.

[jimben]

3.9c

[tundra]

I am convinced of a February freeze so 0c for me please.

[Nick L]

Could we have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means?

Summer 2008 [-0.2]

Autumn 2008 [-0.2]

December 2008 had a CET of 3.5

Say for argument sake January 2009 turns out as 4.0 [-0.2]

Then February 2009 would need to have a CET of 6.0, for winter 2008-09 to equal the 1971-2000 winter average, so there is a good chance we could have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means.

When was the last time this happened Mr Data?

[Snowly does it]

Could we have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means?

Summer 2008 [-0.2]

Autumn 2008 [-0.2]

December 2008 had a CET of 3.5

Say for argument sake January 2009 turns out as 4.0 [-0.2]

Then February 2009 would need to have a CET of 6.0, for winter 2008-09 to equal the 1971-2000 winter average, so there is a good chance we could have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means.

There are many exciting possibilities Mr D - we have not yet had a season in the C21 that has had all 3 months below the 71-00 mean and indeed Winter 90-91 is the last time all 3 months were below the relevant 30 year mean in winter, 3rd season in a row below average and the second below the colder 61-90 mean?? The chance of getting down to 9.5 in running annually, the chance of being below the 61-90 average in running. A significantly below average winter is still possible (1.5 degrees below every month on average, 4.5 total)

I am going for 2.8, coldest month since the mid nineties, first sub 3 this century (unless January surprises us in the last few days)

[Weather-history]

When was the last time this happened Mr Data?

Probably the 1980s, may be 1986? That certainly had a below average winter, spring and summer.

[Cymro]

I'm going for 2.4

[Koppite]

A below average 2.9c for me please. :lol:

[summer blizzard]

4C