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February CET


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Posted
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Ossett, West Yorkshire

    With eight days of January left, and after what looks a colder January than many recent years and possibly similar to Jan 2001, what will February bring? Post your guesses here.

    We have not had a proper below average Feb for 13 years now. Will one finally happen this year.

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    Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
    With eight days of January left, and after what looks a colder January than many recent years and possibly similar to Jan 2001, what will February bring? Post your guesses here.

    We have not had a proper below average Feb for 13 years now. Will one finally happen this year.

    I'll pop for 3.6C again.

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    Posted
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk
  • Location: Aldborough, North Norfolk
    -0.3c

    I will continue to predict what i would like to see in the sad hope that somehow it will help.

    I'll go for lower than that for the month, if the SSW carries on, we may have a -1 or less

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    Posted
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: bright & frosty/snowy; summer: hot and sunny.
  • Location: Comrie, Perthshire, Bonnie Scotland

    3.5C for me please.

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    Posted
  • Location: Polesworth, North Warwickshire 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW!
  • Location: Polesworth, North Warwickshire 104m asl

    I'm going to go for a coldie - 2.8oC

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    Posted
  • Location: Inbhir Nis / Inverness - 636 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Freezing fog, frost, snow, sunshine.
  • Location: Inbhir Nis / Inverness - 636 ft asl

    0.8'C please - Stratospheric warming.

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    Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees

    -1.6C Stratospheric warming is going to have a big impact here comes the coldest feb for at least 20 years so bring it on

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    Posted
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl
  • Weather Preferences: warm and sunny, thunderstorms, frost, fog, snow, windstorms
  • Location: Saddleworth, Oldham , 175m asl

    1.3°C

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    Not sure about this one.

    Taking the Stratospheric warming in to account, then below average would be a good bet.

    3.1c

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    Posted
  • Location: Irlam
  • Location: Irlam

    Could we have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means?

    Summer 2008 [-0.2]

    Autumn 2008 [-0.2]

    December 2008 had a CET of 3.5

    Say for argument sake January 2009 turns out as 4.0 [-0.2]

    Then February 2009 would need to have a CET of 6.0, for winter 2008-09 to equal the 1971-2000 winter average, so there is a good chance we could have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means.

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    Posted
  • Location: Lake District at the foot of Blencathra 610 ft asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Ice
  • Location: Lake District at the foot of Blencathra 610 ft asl

    3.9c

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    Posted
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Winter: Cold & Snowy, Summer: Just not hot
  • Location: Cheddington, Buckinghamshire
    Could we have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means?

    Summer 2008 [-0.2]

    Autumn 2008 [-0.2]

    December 2008 had a CET of 3.5

    Say for argument sake January 2009 turns out as 4.0 [-0.2]

    Then February 2009 would need to have a CET of 6.0, for winter 2008-09 to equal the 1971-2000 winter average, so there is a good chance we could have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means.

    When was the last time this happened Mr Data?

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    Posted
  • Location: Norfolk
  • Location: Norfolk
    Could we have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means?

    Summer 2008 [-0.2]

    Autumn 2008 [-0.2]

    December 2008 had a CET of 3.5

    Say for argument sake January 2009 turns out as 4.0 [-0.2]

    Then February 2009 would need to have a CET of 6.0, for winter 2008-09 to equal the 1971-2000 winter average, so there is a good chance we could have 3 consecutive seasons that are below the 1971-2000 seasonal means.

    There are many exciting possibilities Mr D - we have not yet had a season in the C21 that has had all 3 months below the 71-00 mean and indeed Winter 90-91 is the last time all 3 months were below the relevant 30 year mean in winter, 3rd season in a row below average and the second below the colder 61-90 mean?? The chance of getting down to 9.5 in running annually, the chance of being below the 61-90 average in running. A significantly below average winter is still possible (1.5 degrees below every month on average, 4.5 total)

    I am going for 2.8, coldest month since the mid nineties, first sub 3 this century (unless January surprises us in the last few days)

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    Posted
  • Location: North Worcestershire, Midlands. 73m A.S.L.
  • Location: North Worcestershire, Midlands. 73m A.S.L.

    A below average 2.9c for me please. :lol:

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