Snow Watch: Cymru And South West England

[Matt12345]

AS I SAID EARLIER.

RAIN RAIN RAIN

SOUTH OF M4.

[Nights King]

AS I SAID EARLIER.

RAIN RAIN RAIN

SOUTH OF M4.

not convinced i think high ground is in with a shout tonight and tomoro nite

[dogs32]

with 5 to 10 cm likely in places and 20 to 30 cm

South West England:

60% Bristol

60% Gloucestershire

60% N Somerset

60% S Gloucestershire

West Midlands:

60% Herefordshire

60% Shropshire

60% Staffordshire

60% Stoke-on-Trent

60% Telford + Wrekin

60% W Midlands

60% Warwickshire

60% Worcestershire

Wales:

60% Blaenau Gwent

60% Bridgend

60% Caerphilly

60% Cardiff

60% Merthyr Tydfil

60% Monmouthshire

60% Neath Port Talbot

60% Newport

60% Powys

60% Rhondda Cynon Taff

60% Torfaen

60% Vale of Glamorgan

:(

Edited February 4, 2009 by dogs32

[monkeyuk]

If this rain band is supposed to hang around to deliver so much snow. Is it likely to mean a flood risk if it does come out of the sky as rain?

[Matt12345]

not convinced i think high ground is in with a shout tonight and tomoro nite

How many of us live on high ground?

[Nights King]

with 5 to 10 cm likely in places and 20 to 30 cm

I just don't know what to expect now being on the edge of north somerset. its so marginal i just hope my fairly high altitude saves me.

[Mark Parsons]

AS I SAID EARLIER.

RAIN RAIN RAIN

SOUTH OF M4.

Agree with that if things stay the way they are,high ground could well be affected south of this but most of us live on low ground so quite useless really,however we should keep a check on reality here as these events seldom go to plan and will probably end up dissapointing everyone hope I'm wrong

[khodds]

Everyone is being so negative now ...

Don't think we will know really until at least the 12z rolls out.. patience everyone - it is a cliche but its on a knife edge!

Don't panic yet

[CLH the red dragon]

AS I SAID EARLIER.

RAIN RAIN RAIN

SOUTH OF M4.

I'm 20 yards south of it. Will my mother who is 10 yards south of it see sleet?

[Matt12345]

I'm 20 yards south of it. Will my mother who is 10 yards south of it see sleet?

Most be noisey in your house!

[willitbsunny]

I'm 20 yards south of it. Will my mother who is 10 yards south of it see sleet?

Hahahaha I'm in Brynna - will I see heavy snow??

[slinky1989]

I'm a mile north of the m4

Stupid marginal Swindon haha

[Snowfan50]

Looks like snow for north devon through the night. Really hope there right. If it is im not going to sleep lol.

[noggin]

Oh......I just looked at the 5 day map thing on the MetO site, for Bristol.

It shows, for tonight into tomorrow:

This evening........sleet

Midnight tonight..........snow

3am...........heavy snow

6am.........heavy snow

9am......sleet

12 noon.........rain

3pm..........heavy snow

6pm........nothing

night-time........heavy snow

Friday day-time........sleet

Friday night-time.........snow

Now, I don't want to appear ungrateful and greedy , but won't the sleet and rain during Thursday morning wash away the snow?

[Mark Parsons]

Everyone is being so negative now ...

Don't think we will know really until at least the 12z rolls out.. patience everyone - it is a cliche but its on a knife edge!

Don't panic yet

Me not negitive just have 30 odd years of experience in these matters!

[Dartmoor_Matt]

What I want to know is, when they built the M4 did they mean for it to be used so often when reporting and forecasting the weather? This isn't the first time where its been the 'marginal' point

[dogs32]

DONT TAKE THE MET LITTERALY...........they often change the maps in real time as the event is evolving

Edited February 4, 2009 by dogs32

[lfcdude]

i think where they is stil lying snow u wil get snow as the lying snow wil make the 1 are 2 decrease beetween snow are rain

[Dartmoor_Matt]

Unfortunately the lying snow only affects surface temps, the upper temps are the important point.

[Jonesywilliteversnow]

i think where they is stil lying snow u wil get snow as the lying snow wil make the 1 are 2 decrease beetween snow are rain

ive still got alot of lying snow but im quite far south of the m4

fingers crossed all i can say

why why why marginal!

[jethro]

What I want to know is, when they built the M4 did they mean for it to be used so often when reporting and forecasting the weather? This isn't the first time where its been the 'marginal' point

The Hadrian Wall for snow; that fell down, Berlin's was knocked down.....I'm game if anyone else is.

The METO says I currently should be 4c but we're actually 1c; I'm hoping that's an indication that the predicted sleet/rain will fall as snow. Like they say, there's no fool like an old fool..

Edited February 4, 2009 by jethro

[Dartmoor_Matt]

The Hadrian Wall for snow; that fell down, Berlin's was knocked down.....I'm game if anyone else is.

Lets go for it!

[Mark Parsons]

What I want to know is, when they built the M4 did they mean for it to be used so often when reporting and forecasting the weather? This isn't the first time where its been the 'marginal' point

Ha, yes it has been very traditional to use that road as a reference but often is the case that lows track in a very similar direction commonly and the M4 is conveinently in the right place otherwise you could say also Bristol to London if the road were'nt there

[dogs32]

like you say Monkey Uk could get some floods when it thaws...Espeacially if it halts or pivots...could be a widespread snow event here

[noggin]

The Hadrian Wall for snow; that fell down, Berlin's was knocked down.....I'm game if anyone else is.

Meet you tonight at midnight, armed with a pickaxe!