Snow Watch: Midlands & C Southern England

[Costa Del Fal]

I do this kind of thing far too often really but seeing as it's yet another borderline situation for us Midlanders I am going to do it again

Here is my prediction for the band of precip overnight and tomorrow morning...

In the black area I think thats the most likely track but the other colour (I'm colour deficient/colour blind so I don't know what colour it is Someone tell me!) is where I think the band could reach aswell, but slightly less chance for that, doesen't mean it won't though.

The outer colour is grey which im pleased to say im in!

Edited February 5, 2009 by Blizzards

[andy_leics22]

The outer colour is grey which im pleased to say im in!

Haha I thought it was Grey but didn't want to say " Black and Grey incase someone said it was a different colour lol.

[Costa Del Fal]

Haha I thought it was Grey but didn't want to say " Black and Grey incase someone said it was a different colour lol.

...well im glad things are looking better for us because i think a spot of revenge is on after the East has robbed our previous stuff. Still a bit knife edge for here but so much better.

[jy]

well stormforce your guess is as good as mine lunchtime weather showed about 6 hours of snow from the early hours just looked at bbc online showing snownearly everywhere except where you and i live so spin a coin time i think

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

It does happen, Andy. There's such a complicated and marginal battlefront at the moment that it might all come down to nowcasting tonight and early tomorrow morning.

Interesting indeed.

Regards,

Mike.

well to be honest i couldnt make head and tail if that second image then , couldnt quite get it to work , i did notice the position of the low been west though wich is good

[Stoxs]

well stormforce your guess is as good as mine lunchtime weather showed about 6 hours of snow from the early hours just looked at bbc online showing snownearly everywhere except where you and i live so spin a coin time i think

Hey jy change that LOCATION!!

good covering here this morning with about 3 inchs on the ground, now we have patchs left.

I have been upto Pangbourne, Berkshire today and been working in 5-6 inchs of snow!

now i get home and see we are in for another pasting tonight!!

Hope it stays a bit colder tomorrow and the snow stays longer.

Like the chart Andy

[Yeti]

I do this kind of thing far too often really but seeing as it's yet another borderline situation for us Midlanders I am going to do it again

Here is my prediction for the band of precip overnight and tomorrow morning...

In the black area I think thats the most likely track but the other colour (I'm colour deficient/colour blind so I don't know what colour it is Someone tell me!) is where I think the band could reach aswell, but slightly less chance for that, doesen't mean it won't though.

Not quite so sure mate, I'd put the risk like this:

[MKN]

if u go to www.bbc.co.uk/weather and watch the forecast on there they say snow no further north than london???? clearing the south east by around 1pm

[WestMidlandsWeather]

Ahh, my internets struggling to load this bloody forum!

So, whats on the cards for North Birmingham tonight folks?

Im guessing nothing..

[andy_leics22]

Not quite so sure mate, I'd put the risk like this:

LMAO!!!!!!!! snow sheild over Cardiff and Leicester

Edited February 5, 2009 by andy_leics22

[Costa Del Fal]

Not quite so sure mate, I'd put the risk like this:

Ladies...stop the scrappy fighting!

That map doesnt bother me because im still in the white..just.

[WestMidlandsWeather]

Ahh, my internets struggling to load this bloody forum!

So, whats on the cards for North Birmingham tonight folks?

Im guessing nothing..

[Yeti]

Unless that precip changes direction big time, very soon, there is no way the BBC is going to be right. Even if it goes from NNE to NE, it's due to hit Lincs. It needs to move ENE for the BBC to be right, and there are no signs of this at all as yet.

[conor123]

http://91.121.94.83/modeles/gens/run/gens-7-2-18.png?12

Well many of the ensembles have tonights snow getting as far as North West Wales & into the North Midlands as you can see in one of the members above.

Perhaps for once a miracle will happen and the heaviest snow will come straight here if only...

[Costa Del Fal]

if u go to www.bbc.co.uk/weather and watch the forecast on there they say snow no further north than london???? clearing the south east by around 1pm

Out of date in my opinion, thats the same forecast for the last few hours or even more.The actual precpitation is still moving quite well North and not far of the Coast of SW England and its further West than previously thought.

[andy_leics22]

Hey jy change that LOCATION!!

good covering here this morning with about 3 inchs on the ground, now we have patchs left.

I have been upto Pangbourne, Berkshire today and been working in 5-6 inchs of snow!

now i get home and see we are in for another pasting tonight!!

Hope it stays a bit colder tomorrow and the snow stays longer.

Like the chart Andy

Well the chart I posted...The black was to indicate where I think the main band of precip will go, not where it will snow. It may not start off as snow in Hampshire in the morning but might turn to snow as the day wears on and the colder air heads South...

[MKN]

really find that forecast on bbc site strange how either 1 or the other gfs/bbc will get this so wrong. gfs shows 7.2mm of precip between midnight and 6pm tomoz, mostly between 3 and 9am. yet they say no snow north of london clearing the south east by 1pm some 8hours earlier than the gfs expects it to leave the south east?????????????

it may be out of date but only by few hours and only 20hours before what it is there forecasting. If we get snow tonight will show them to look very useless.

Edited February 5, 2009 by SnowTornado

[Costa Del Fal]

Ahh, my internets struggling to load this bloody forum!

So, whats on the cards for North Birmingham tonight folks?

Im guessing nothing..

Could be lots a this rate...

[Yeti]

Well the chart I posted...The black was to indicate where I think the main band of precip will go, not where it will snow. It may not start off as snow in Hampshire in the morning but might turn to snow as the day wears on and the colder air heads South...

We were just kidding about that colour really btw, it's pink.

(jks)

[andy_leics22]

http://91.121.94.83/modeles/gens/run/gens-7-2-18.png?12

Well many of the ensembles have tonights snow getting as far as North West Wales & into the North Midlands as you can see in one of the members above.

Perhaps for once a miracle will happen and the heaviest snow will come straight here if only...

Very interesting.

[MidlandsSean]

LMAO!!!!!!!! snow sheild over Cardiff and Leicester

Haha. I didn't realise that until you mentioned it but it sure made me laugh.

I think we've all learn't that anything can happen. It seems from what I remember (correct me if i'm wrong) the last few GFS runs have been showing it being further west with each run. Whether this means anything or than better outlook for us then I dont know.. I might be wrong on that but thats from what I can generally remember

Edited February 5, 2009 by MidlandsSean

[Costa Del Fal]

Unless that precip changes direction big time, very soon, there is no way the BBC is going to be right. Even if it goes from NNE to NE, it's due to hit Lincs. It needs to move ENE for the BBC to be right, and there are no signs of this at all as yet.

Indeed and realisticly they are already wrong unless about 1000mph winds suddenly pushed it East! This certainly is alot better for us.

South East England...Youve got no Chance!

They probably will still get something as it goes back South.

Edited February 5, 2009 by Blizzards

[Potent Gust]

I hope I am wrong but I can't see Tamworth getting anything. Hopefully who guys in Brum and Leicester will!

[stewfox]

Thanks!

Oh it's thawing so quickly

Interesting in north oxfordshire had a real dumping of snow but more thaw here then down in swindon (been there) where I guess the temps have been around 0.5c most of the day.

1.5c here

[andy_leics22]

really find that forecast on bbc site strange how either 1 or the other gfs/bbc will get this so wrong. gfs shows 7.2mm of precip between midnight and 6pm tomoz, mostly between 3 and 9am. yet they say no snow north of london clearing the south east by 1pm some 8hours earlier than the gfs expects it to leave the south east?????????????

it may be out of date but only by few hours and only 20hours before what it is there forecasting. If we get snow tonight will show them to look very useless.

This could be another interesting night you know, I am going to go bed about 9pm and wake up at 3am to see where the precip is at but so far it's in line with the GFS predictions and not the BBC.

Supposed to be there between 7-9pm and then here by 6am...

Looking at the current radar image that does not look out of the question now at all.

Edited February 5, 2009 by andy_leics22