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May Cet


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Posted
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow then clear and frosty.
  • Location: Nuneaton,Warks. 128m asl

A late 12.7C please.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Compared to many recent months, people seem very bullish in there predictions of an appreciably above average CET this month - just an observation...

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Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire

Philip Eden has his version on 11.5C, which is 1.7C above the 1971-2000 average for the period 1-3 May.

I think after the homogeneous warmth of March and April, and no notable northerly outbreaks on the horizon, people are quite justified in being bullish about high temperature predictions. It is the safe bet- but of course if we did get a potent northerly midmonth then we'd potentially be seeing a lot of egg on faces (including mine!)

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Posted
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)

There are a lot of warm predictions this month with only a few die hard coldies predicting 11.0C or lower :winky:

Anyway Hadley is on 11.1C today (May 1 - 4 )

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester

Despite some people seeming to believe this has been a cold start to May, the statistics prove it has been a rather warm one. This is likely to be due to high minima more than any notable day time warmth. There has been heavy cloud cover overnight in many areas- in fact the temperature hardly dropped at all in these parts last night and many places remained in double figures. This could again be the case tonight and tomorrow night. I think this is evidence of the fact that those who estimated a high CET for this month are justified, for the moment at least. As May progresses, cold spells that could dent the CET are obviously going to be less likely although not impossible.

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Posted
  • Location: Southsea, Portsmouth, HANTS, UK
  • Location: Southsea, Portsmouth, HANTS, UK

If the latest ECM and GFS T168 forecasts were to verify we could be in for a bit of cold spell which might bring down the CET somewhat.

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Expecting the CET to either remain static or drop in the coming days, maxima look average at best possibly going below next week in the CET zone if the progged cloudy wet easterly verifies, all will depend on the nightime minima which still look like being above average for the forseeable future with no real clear skies for southern and central spots, although Scotland and N Ireland will continue to see some lower than normal minima, this month could shape up to be quite different CET wise between england and wales and northern ireland and scotland, I suspect Scotland and N Ireland are recording a below average CET so far and this trend looks like continuing...

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey

Didn't enter this month as been otherwise engaged. However, I think far too many have gone too high.

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Didn't enter this month as been otherwise engaged. However, I think far too many have gone too high.

BFTP

I was making up for my April prediction... :bomb:

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Posted
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking LPs, heavy snow. Also 25c and calm
  • Location: Redhill, Surrey
I was making up for my April prediction... :bomb:

I was miles off too :wub: But May looks like being a different animal doesn't it?

BFTP

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
I was miles off too :wub: But May looks like being a different animal doesn't it?

BFTP

So far, yes. I don't like cool weather once winter's over. :bomb:

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Guest North Sea Snow Convection
Didn't enter this month as been otherwise engaged. However, I think far too many have gone too high.

BFTP

I didn't :D

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

Didn't you go for -1? :D

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Posted
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire
  • Location: Skirlaugh, East Yorkshire

Hadley is on 11.2C to the 11th. The last few days have all been rather average for the first half of May, recording figures in the 10s.

The next few days look much the same, so a value close to the mean by mid-month looks likely.

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Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.

Hadley CET currently at 11.2ºC.

With the next few days looking coolish I wouldn't be surprised to see it dip below 11ºC. It will need a warm final third for all those warmer than average punts to come good. There are only 2 guesses below 10.7ºC!!! Even Tamara may be getting a little excited!

Edit same time posting as reef!

Edited by chionomaniac
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Guest North Sea Snow Convection
Hadley CET currently at 11.2ºC.

With the next few days looking coolish I wouldn't be surprised to see it dip below 11ºC. It will need a warm final third for all those warmer than average punts to come good. There are only 2 guesses below 10.7ºC!!! Even Tamara may be getting a little excited!

Edit same time posting as reef!

lol!

As much as I am a true coldie, I do like to enjoy the summer and hope for some pleasant warm weather, and also some heat at least is a worthwhile trade-off to trigger some good storms. Which is easily the best part of summer weather for me.

So whilst a cooler May is fine, some seasonal warmth would be nice, as long as it goes AWOL quickly enough come October!

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Posted
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)
  • Location: Teston, Kent (3mls SW of Maidstone)

Hadley is back on 11.1C today (May 1 - 12). The signs that it might be the coolest Spring month in 2009 relative to monthly mean continue.

Edited by Kentish Man
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Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

11.0c to the 13th.

The last only average or just very slightly below was 2005 at 11.2c

Otherwise we have to go back to the last well below average of 1996 which was just 9.1c the coldest may since 1902. B)

Edited by Snowyowl9
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High pressure solutions all the way - starting off with the core slightly to the west, but moving south and east over time.

13.0C please.

Long range forecasting still not brilliant... B)

My guess is looking way out. Most people including me need a warm last week of may to get any where near!

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Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

Today is likely to see a drop in CET values, provided there is no late burst of warm sunshine this evening, in the northern CET zone so to speak maxes are struggling to get to double figures, what will prevent it dropping appreciably is the cloudy mild evening we are about to get... In fact, maxes this month so far have been quite poor, it is the warm minima due to cloud cover that has kept the CET as high as it currently is - this isn't so for Scotland where low minima have been consistent for much of the month.

I think the final CET for May will be a bit above average perhaps up to 1 degree above being not a bad guess particularly if we see high pressure come back on the scene - which will do wonders for maxes but ironically may well result in some below minima especially if we see heights continue to remain strong to the north ensuring rapid cooling at night.

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