Chase 2009 - Day 2 Tx And Ok

Roger J Smith · April 27, 2009

This map link might help some of you get oriented. You may need to play with the zoom controls (upper left) to get the map large-scale enough to get a full overview. Then you can use this link to navigate around later as well.

http://www.mapquest.com/maps?city=Abilene&state=TX

If you can locate Hobbs in southeast NM and Andrews in TX just across the border, this is roughly where I figure severe storms may fire up tomorrow.

(edit ... you will definitely need to zoom out the map to a larger area, just push the bar down until you have Dallas on the east edge of your map and El Paso on the west edge).

Edited April 27, 2009 by Roger J Smith

sconetone · April 27, 2009

why is everything back to front????

Just a wee settings tweak they need to make ie. uncheck the 'Mirror Image' box.

Gahhh I got the black screen & circle thingy again

Nick L · April 27, 2009

Just a wee settings tweak they need to make ie. uncheck the 'Mirror Image' box.
Gahhh I got the black screen & circle thingy again

I think they have pulled up for lunch or something. Clearly saw an "Ihop" sign before the camera went.

John Hanrahan · April 27, 2009

Hi Guys

We have Indeed Stopped for Lunch but Will sort out the Upside Down or Back to Front Camera Settings later today, Todays Risk has all but gone a bit **** Up so we are Positioning for what could be some Incredible Structures Tomorrow and some Risks for Tornadoes, so Tomorrows Streaming should be a Lot better with Initiation etc.

Thanks for all the Kind Comments on the Stream

John

Current Thinking tommorrow From Paul is the I29 Coridoor in the Texas Panhandle from Lubbcok up to Amarillo.

Edited April 27, 2009 by Christ I don't know

2.6k · April 27, 2009

This map link might help some of you get oriented. You may need to play with the zoom controls (upper left) to get the map large-scale enough to get a full overview. Then you can use this link to navigate around later as well.
http://www.mapquest.com/maps?city=Abilene&state=TX

Some American place names are just brilliant. There's a town called Kermit, and Wink is close by!

A place on the Texas/Oklahoma border called Texhoma.

Megamoonflake · April 27, 2009

Some great footage of tornados that Reed Timmer and his team got yesterday on his website here http://www.tornadovideos.net/ Wish I was there!

tom_f123 · April 27, 2009

Some great footage of tornados that Reed Timmer and his team got yesterday on his website here http://www.tornadovideos.net/ Wish I was there!

Wow that footage is amazing, that tornado passes right by the front of the truck. Almost looked like computer graphics..

**Nick F** · April 27, 2009

Yes, storm prospects in the potentially unstable warm moist air over central and Ern TX pretty much hampered by cloud shield left over from the morning's MCS activity which affected the team earlier in DFW. There is clearer air further NW and W across NW Texas/TX Panhandle - but here is the drier and cooler air NW of the cold front which will make slow progress SE today.

Still chance of storms firing near the cold front later with any breaks appearing - already a cu field in west TX in clearer air but out of range for the team atm.

Overnight/early morning MCSs have a habit of changing what potentially before looks like a chaseable day.

NL · April 27, 2009

As suspected SPC have downgraded todays potential due to overnight MCS's

disrupting the synoptic pattern.

.

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0258 PM CDT MON APR 27 2009

VALID 272000Z - 281200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM ERN TX/OK EWD INTO THE

LOWER AND MID MS VALLEY REGION...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS FAR WRN TX...

...TX...

PERSISTENT AND SLOW MOVING MCS OVER CENTRAL/SRN TX WAS NOT WELL

CAPTURED BY MOST MODELS THIS MORNING. SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN CUT BACK

OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL/NRN TEXAS WHERE CLOUDS/RELATIVELY COOL AIR MASS

HAS REDUCED THE CHANCES FOR SEVERE CONVECTION. A SLIGHT RISK HAS

BEEN MAINTAINED ACROSS WRN TX WHERE COMBINATION OF STRONG HEATING

AND MOIST UPSLOPE SELY WINDS COULD RESULT IN A FEW STORMS ALONG

DRYLINE LATE AFTERNOON. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP IN THE TX PANHANDLE

AFTER 09Z...DUE TO STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION.

...LOWER MI/IN/NWRN OH...

MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN SPREADING PCPN NEWD ACROSS THE REGION

OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...A THICK BAND OF CLOUDS WITH MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN

SHOWERS WERE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE SW. A WELL MIXED

BOUNDARY LAYER...RELATIVELY LARGE SURFACE TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT

SPREADS...WAS RESULTING IN MUCAPES LESS THAN 500 J/KG. THE

INCREASING CLOUDS/LIGHT PRECIPITATION DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR SEVERE

STORMS. HOWEVER...WILL MAINTAIN LOW WIND PROBS AS THE STRONG

ENVIRONMENTAL WIND FIELDS AND INVERTED-V LOW LEVEL SOUNDINGS WOULD

FAVOR STRONG WINDS WITH ANY CONVECTIVE STORMS THAT DEVELOP.

...ERN OK/AR/SRN MO...

COMBINATION OF MODERATE INSTABILITY...COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL

SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHOULD SUPPORT CONTINUED THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS

INTO THE EVENING HOURS. MLCAPES TO 1000 NJ/KG AND 30-40 KT SHEAR

INDICATES HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS...SEE WW/S

201 AND 202.

..IMY.. 04/27/2009

Reason for edit....put the wrong one up!! doh

Edited April 27, 2009 by NL

**Nick F** · April 27, 2009

NL, still potential for the team to chase some upslope storms over the TX Panhandle in the SLGT area on the 2000 update. Hail the main threat. SPC do acknowledge that the MCS wasn't well forecast and has kind of messed things up.