Chase 2009 Day 4 Discussion - Tx Panhandle

[anvilhead]

link to the Stoem Prediction Centre last 3 hour storm reports here if anyone wants it - http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/last3hours.html

[Rob]

and to add the stream is really good qualilty.

[tom_f123]

Is this stream stopping and starting every 5 seconds for everyone or is it just me.

[Paul]

Please read the thread / streaming page - there are more than enough mentions of the reliance on a decent connection and the fact that today the connection is patchy, meaning dropouts/jerkiness are possible.

[anvilhead]

we're facing the wrong way lol

[chionomaniac]

Tornado reported on the furthest north of the split storms

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LUBBOCK HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL HALL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS.

* UNTIL 515 PM CDT

* AT 422 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A TORNADO 11

MILES SOUTH OF LAKEVIEW...OR ABOUT 18 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MEMPHIS...

MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE LAKEVIEW AND

ESTELLINE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO HAS BEEN CONFIRMED! TAKE COVER IN A STURDY BUILDING NOW.

MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES ARE NOT SAFE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT WEDNESDAY EVENING

FOR THE PANHANDLE AND NORTHWEST TEXAS.

[anvilhead]

nice one!

that cell on the south of ths split is starting to shape up now - Vertical Integrated Liquid is very high on radar - not sure if thats the one they're on - it may well go tornadic too soon though

[chionomaniac]

The cell over Plainview looks particularly severe and I wouldn't be surprised to see this go tornadic. The team would be in a good position to intercept.

Edited April 29, 2009 by chionomaniac

[Gorky]

As an aside, the best cell is way down in SW Texas and has a monster couplet on it at the moment.

[Tom Quintavalle]

Plainview, thats where they had lunch wasnt it? They could've stayed there, had a 72oz steak, which they would just be finishing,

and with a great storm overhead, to boot.

Regards,

Tom.

[anvilhead]

i wonder if this is Paducah they're coming up on now .. left turn in a minute if so - might be miles off though

[anvilhead]

my god look at that cell lol

[Cookie]

wow the live stream at the moment, looking amazing

[dave48]

Wow, incredible stream at the minute, what a storm.

[Cookie]

clean the lens its a bit dirty

[Roger J Smith]

Wichita Falls TX has now broken its all-time one-day April rainfall record which was something like 90 mm, now they are moving up from 100 mm and it's still raining there. Street flooding reported in other towns further east.

I also have the feeling that the cell near Plainview could go tornadic, it is on the dry line and observations to the southwest at Levelland show strong inflow and much drier air. The line of storms near Childress would be on an old outflow boundary, the dry-line is the leading edge of roughly 45-50 F dewpoints (which then fall to 20 F further west). As is often the case, the dry line is somewhat diffuse but this one is moving steadily east through the TX panhandle.

[Ross B]

Feed gone black?

[anvilhead]

Wichita Falls TX has now broken its all-time one-day April rainfall record which was something like 90 mm, now they are moving up from 100 mm and it's still raining there. Street flooding reported in other towns further east.

I also have the feeling that the cell near Plainview could go tornadic, it is on the dry line and observations to the southwest at Levelland show strong inflow and much drier air. The line of storms near Childress would be on an old outflow boundary, the dry-line is the leading edge of roughly 45-50 F dewpoints (which then fall to 20 F further west). As is often the case, the dry line is somewhat diffuse but this one is moving steadily east through the TX panhandle.

The Childress storm looked like 2 ofb's intersecting Roger - one left over from the OK mcs, and another from a large area that fired earlier to the SE ..

Last year on the TWO chase team, I walked back with a box of chinese takeaway in plainview and got soaked - we had 2 supercells come off Ne Mexico that night - lightning like I've never seen

[Cookie]

Feed gone black?

yup, lets hope they haven't been engulfed by a tornado

[Ross B]

yup, lets hope they haven't been engulfed by a tornado

They turned the camera when it happened, might be a loose cable?

[Roger J Smith]

If their location is south of Childress as shown on the map with the live feed, then at this point I imagine they will be looking west at developments, because the cell they are near is fading and merging into the grunge left over from the MCS to the east, while a line of strong cells is now rapidly developing on an east-west line with the cell now just east of Plainview looking quite intense on radar, about to go tornadic and definitely large hail potential of 2-3 inches.

So at the moment if they remain in place, drift slightly south or back to the west, a number of cells will go past them to the north, but the Plainview cell has been moving almost due east and could surprise (slightly) with a move to about 110 deg (from 290) similar to the tornadic cells further southwest on that part of the dryline. In other words, keep an escape route south available.

Here's the live radar (make sure you update it, check time code top of map) ... this shows the east-west line of cells. There are boxes you can check at the bottom to remove various features to help get the full picture.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AMA...00&loop=yes

Edited April 29, 2009 by Roger J Smith

[Gorky]

I can't imagine that the south TX cell is helping situations up north. It's grown to 62.5k feet tall now and must be stealing a lot of the moisture being advected north At that height you could see the top of the anvil over 300 miles away. Maybe we should ask the team to point their cams south when they get back online

[Cookie]

back online

[slinky1989]

back online

Current Live Stream Status:: Offline :S

Is it just me?

[Ross B]

Current Live Stream Status:: Offline :S

Is it just me?

Works here although internet connection is still a bit patchy.