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Atlantic Lows - Summer Months


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Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    The real threat of strong Atlantic lows has mostly passed now. but during the summer we can still get the odd strong low and the occasional tail end of a hurricane.

    things look to be picking up again towards the end of the week with a developing Atlantic low moving in.

    Thursday

    PPVE89.png

    Friday

    PPVG89.png

    the above taken from the netweather data center.

    Below sea level pressure chat.

    will update this tomorrow

    post-6411-1241045508_thumb.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    winds starting to pick up here, will do a full update in the morning

    Gale warnings

    Sea area gale warnings, issued by the Met Office, on behalf of the Maritime and Coastguard Agency.

    Last updated on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 2259.

    All gale warnings currently in force

    Shannon, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 2131

    Gale force 8 veering southwesterly soon

    Rockall, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 2131

    Severe gale force 9 veering southwesterly soon

    Malin, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0325

    Southerly gale force 8 expected later

    Hebrides, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 1531

    Southerly severe gale force 9 expected soon

    Bailey, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0945

    Westerly gale force 8 imminent, backing southeasterly and increasing severe gale force 9 soon

    Fair Isle, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 1531

    Southeasterly gale force 8 no longer expected, but southerly gale force 8 expected later

    Faeroes, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0945

    Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, backing southeasterly later

    Southeast Iceland, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0945

    Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon, backing southeasterly later

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine..._printable.html

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    winds gusted 63 mph on friday.

    my eye now are turned to Thursday with a low moving in and placing itself just off the northwest coast of scotland, currently showing 976mb for Thursday, a lot can change between now and then but the isobars are very close and compact at the moment.

    will update as the week goes on.

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Yes, the nw/se split continues with the weather being much more unsettled the further northwest you are through this coming week. Agreed that thursday at the moment looks very windy for you Cookie, Friday also. Quite a deep depression.

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon Argyll Scotland
  • Location: Dunoon Argyll Scotland

    At the moment for Thursday across western Scotland could see 50mph to 60mph and 50mph on Friday morning.

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    Posted
  • Location: portsmouth uk
  • Weather Preferences: extremes
  • Location: portsmouth uk

    it was only a matter of time before the alantic wakes up,

    thats why im very skeptical of the met o summer forecast,

    mind you the jet strength and positioning will pay a key part in the alantics drive and all thease outputs are now starting to show a stronger alantic drive once again how long this lasts for is anyones guess.

    but it does seem fairly consistant that the jet has played a part in the last couple of summers.

    but not exclusively the jet,

    azores high seem to be pushed away fairly easy and never really building with strength there for giving us your average type of summer this is what i feel will happen again this summer,

    but of coarse i could be wrong but if this happens then winter could also be intresting.

    so far winter was early and fairly settled with dominating high pressure systems,

    alantic was fairly weak allowing us to cool fairly well here in the uk,

    but this said europe as a whole was not that cold.

    so maybe this was a localised event here in the uk,

    but it will be intresting to see if trends continue even though a el nino is ment to be forming,

    as i thought el ninos warm our planet fairly well im not sure and dont really understand how this effect the world overall.

    anyway for now the alantic is building energy,

    and is ready to pounce :)

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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

    Yes it does look likely that the Atlantic will make a comeback, of course what nature that will take is one of the intriguing questions. Of course we all have our opinions but such questions like:

    What will the direction of the Atlantic be? Will it be cold northwesterly or warm southwesterly or cool westerly influence?

    Will the low stretch out way to west due to the Azores high or will they be shortwaves?

    Will the Azores high build to our west trapping us under cool low pressure scenarios like last year leading to a very cool summer?

    Will the Azores high get any oppurtunity to ridge northeastwards and bring any warmth at all.

    It could well be I suppose that something like a tropical depression could turn our summer for the best/worst so alot of options to consider, although my own opinion would be a summer plagued with northwesterlies at first giving way to an omega-type high situation giving a cool/cold summer - again that's just an opinion!

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    thanks for you're input Steven somerset and badboy.

    as it might be very obvious I do enjoy watching Atlantic lows and enjoy winding conditions. the winter just gone was defiantly a quite one up here, if you take out the min January storm. I like that during the summer we can also get tropical depressions or the other name for them the tail end of hurricane. we got Bertha last year which only saw 40 mph winds here but Iceland took the full force. we got laura as well, but she was nothing long before she made it over to this side of Atlantic.

    for a gale warnings out on the shipping forecast. more keeping my eye on wensday/ Thursday atm

    won't do a full update tonight. but will start my full updates tomorrow ;)

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    this morning model run puts the low deeper around 972 mb.

    the isobars are very tight as well as can be seen from the netweather extra chart below.

    wed's fax chart

    PPVE89.png

    Thursday's

    PPVI89.png

    post-6411-1241518218_thumb.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    weather warnings out.

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/he/...t_warnings.html

    Local areas affected

    Warning type

    Valid from

    Valid to

    Highlands & Eilean Siar:

    Eilean Siar

    Severe Gales 0300 Thu 7 1200 Thu 7

    South-westerly winds will increase overnight into Thursday morning, with gusts of 60 to 70 mph, and then ease around noon. The public are advised to take extra care and refer to 'Traffic Scotland' for further advice on road conditions.

    Issued at: 1611 Wed 6 May

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl

    Very deep low to the north progged for tomorrow, not something you would expect in early May.

    Gales for NW Scotland touching severe gale force at times, the charts have a late october look to them.. where has lovely sweet May gone..

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles

    you are right about that mate, dosen't look like something that should be appearing in may!

    will do a full update tonight, looks according to netweather extra charts that the isle of lewis and the western isles will take the brunt of the storm.

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    Posted
  • Location: Evanton ,highlands ,scotland
  • Location: Evanton ,highlands ,scotland

    oh sugar i've just seen a be prepared warning on met office,hope the poor horse is ok

    took a week off to get the peats cut ,hoping for nice weather i should have known better

    hopefully we'll get a down grade

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles
    oh sugar i've just seen a be prepared warning on met office,hope the poor horse is ok

    took a week off to get the peats cut ,hoping for nice weather i should have known better

    hopefully we'll get a down grade

    fingers crossed the horse we be ok.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ness, Isle of Lewis
  • Location: Ness, Isle of Lewis

    think everything is battened down again

    the sheep are all down by the house sheltering already

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    Posted
  • Location: Dunoon Argyll Scotland
  • Location: Dunoon Argyll Scotland

    I'll have 2 streaming webcams running tommorow where I live (In the Western Isles For Those Who Don't Know) HERE

    Thursday 1am Force 9 to 10

    Thursday 7am Force Force 9 to 10

    Thursday 4pm Force 8 to 9

    Images taken from http://magicseaweed.com/

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    Posted
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.
  • Location: Powys Mid Wales borders.

    May can be quite a volatile month with gales,can remember a couple to 3 times in the mid to late 80`s around this time of may when the trees were just coming out.

    Not to worry after friday which looks another windy day.

    http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/brack1.gif

    After these last few days of annoying wind,the atlantic changes direction,I`ll take a NE wind :lol: and it`s sheltered just here.

    http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rukm1441.gif

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles
    think everything is battened down again

    the sheep are all down by the house sheltering already

    I feel sorry for the lambs at this time of year.

    gusting 52 mph at ness already http://www.gm7pbb.co.uk/

    and 35 mph high from my weather station.

    Gale warnings

    Sea area gale warnings, issued by the Met Office, on behalf of the Maritime and Coastguard Agency.

    Last updated on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2201.

    All gale warnings currently in force

    Viking, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Gale force 8 veering southwesterly and increasing severe gale force 9 soon

    North Utsire, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Southeasterly gale force 8 expected soon

    Forties, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Southwesterly gale force 8 expected later

    Cromarty, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, increasing severe gale force 9 soon

    Forth, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Southwesterly gale force 8 expected later

    Tyne, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Southwesterly gale force 8 expected later

    Irish Sea, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon

    Shannon, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Southwesterly gale force 8, increasing severe gale force 9 soon

    Rockall, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 1524

    Southwesterly gale force 8 increasing violent storm force 11 soon

    Malin, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Southwesterly severe gale force 9, increasing storm force 10 imminent

    Hebrides, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon, increasing storm force 10 later

    Bailey, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Southwesterly severe gale force 9, increasing storm force 10 imminent

    Fair Isle, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, increasing storm force 10 soon

    Faeroes, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

    Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, increasing storm force 10 soon

    Southeast Iceland, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

    Northeasterly gale force 8 expected soon

    All of the above can be found here

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine..._printable.html

    Key

    Force 9 - BOLD

    FORCE 10, 11 AND 12 - RED

    * this is my own key and just found it makes it clearer and easier to read*

    pressure falling at the K5 buoy see link below. the wave height is increasing as well up to 14 feet.

    http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=64045

    Another update tomorrow :lol:

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    Posted
  • Location: Edinburgh
  • Location: Edinburgh

    This is what happens when I forget to check the FAX sheets for a few days haha.

    I hope everyone up north is staying safe looks very unpleasent.

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    Posted
  • Location: Western Isles
  • Location: Western Isles
    This is what happens when I forget to check the FAX sheets for a few days haha.

    I hope everyone up north is staying safe looks very unpleasent.

    thanks sammie, we're used to it despite not really having to many major storms this year. I think the strength more then anything for this time of year will take people by surprise.

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    Posted
  • Location: Ness, Isle of Lewis
  • Location: Ness, Isle of Lewis

    it's not normal for this time of year, but then we had a pretty mild winter with only one big storm

    the cade lamb is sleeping in the kitchen tonight - I couldn't leave her out on her own in this :D

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    Posted
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport
  • Location: North Kenton (Tyne-and-Wear)6miles east from newcastle airport

    post-4475-1241671269_thumb.png

    strong winds for western isles Friday,,

    stay safe everyone,

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