Atlantic Lows - Summer Months

[Cookie]

The real threat of strong Atlantic lows has mostly passed now. but during the summer we can still get the odd strong low and the occasional tail end of a hurricane.

things look to be picking up again towards the end of the week with a developing Atlantic low moving in.

Thursday

Friday

the above taken from the netweather data center.

Below sea level pressure chat.

will update this tomorrow

[Cookie]

winds starting to pick up here, will do a full update in the morning

Gale warnings

Sea area gale warnings, issued by the Met Office, on behalf of the Maritime and Coastguard Agency.

Last updated on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 2259.

All gale warnings currently in force

Shannon, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 2131

Gale force 8 veering southwesterly soon

Rockall, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 2131

Severe gale force 9 veering southwesterly soon

Malin, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0325

Southerly gale force 8 expected later

Hebrides, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 1531

Southerly severe gale force 9 expected soon

Bailey, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0945

Westerly gale force 8 imminent, backing southeasterly and increasing severe gale force 9 soon

Fair Isle, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 1531

Southeasterly gale force 8 no longer expected, but southerly gale force 8 expected later

Faeroes, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0945

Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, backing southeasterly later

Southeast Iceland, issued on Thursday 30 April 2009 at 0945

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon, backing southeasterly later

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine..._printable.html

Edited May 1, 2009 by cookie

[Cookie]

winds gusted 63 mph on friday.

my eye now are turned to Thursday with a low moving in and placing itself just off the northwest coast of scotland, currently showing 976mb for Thursday, a lot can change between now and then but the isobars are very close and compact at the moment.

will update as the week goes on.

[Somerset Squall]

Yes, the nw/se split continues with the weather being much more unsettled the further northwest you are through this coming week. Agreed that thursday at the moment looks very windy for you Cookie, Friday also. Quite a deep depression.

[Zenarcher]

At the moment for Thursday across western Scotland could see 50mph to 60mph and 50mph on Friday morning.

[MR EXTREMES]

it was only a matter of time before the alantic wakes up,

thats why im very skeptical of the met o summer forecast,

mind you the jet strength and positioning will pay a key part in the alantics drive and all thease outputs are now starting to show a stronger alantic drive once again how long this lasts for is anyones guess.

but it does seem fairly consistant that the jet has played a part in the last couple of summers.

but not exclusively the jet,

azores high seem to be pushed away fairly easy and never really building with strength there for giving us your average type of summer this is what i feel will happen again this summer,

but of coarse i could be wrong but if this happens then winter could also be intresting.

so far winter was early and fairly settled with dominating high pressure systems,

alantic was fairly weak allowing us to cool fairly well here in the uk,

but this said europe as a whole was not that cold.

so maybe this was a localised event here in the uk,

but it will be intresting to see if trends continue even though a el nino is ment to be forming,

as i thought el ninos warm our planet fairly well im not sure and dont really understand how this effect the world overall.

anyway for now the alantic is building energy,

and is ready to pounce

[SP1986]

Yes it does look likely that the Atlantic will make a comeback, of course what nature that will take is one of the intriguing questions. Of course we all have our opinions but such questions like:

What will the direction of the Atlantic be? Will it be cold northwesterly or warm southwesterly or cool westerly influence?

Will the low stretch out way to west due to the Azores high or will they be shortwaves?

Will the Azores high build to our west trapping us under cool low pressure scenarios like last year leading to a very cool summer?

Will the Azores high get any oppurtunity to ridge northeastwards and bring any warmth at all.

It could well be I suppose that something like a tropical depression could turn our summer for the best/worst so alot of options to consider, although my own opinion would be a summer plagued with northwesterlies at first giving way to an omega-type high situation giving a cool/cold summer - again that's just an opinion!

[Cookie]

thanks for you're input Steven somerset and badboy.

as it might be very obvious I do enjoy watching Atlantic lows and enjoy winding conditions. the winter just gone was defiantly a quite one up here, if you take out the min January storm. I like that during the summer we can also get tropical depressions or the other name for them the tail end of hurricane. we got Bertha last year which only saw 40 mph winds here but Iceland took the full force. we got laura as well, but she was nothing long before she made it over to this side of Atlantic.

for a gale warnings out on the shipping forecast. more keeping my eye on wensday/ Thursday atm

won't do a full update tonight. but will start my full updates tomorrow

Edited May 4, 2009 by cookie

[Zenarcher]

Yes it still looks windy for Thursday with 45mph to 65mph wind.

[Cookie]

this morning model run puts the low deeper around 972 mb.

the isobars are very tight as well as can be seen from the netweather extra chart below.

wed's fax chart

Thursday's

[Cookie]

weather warnings out.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/he/...t_warnings.html

Local areas affected

Warning type

Valid from

Valid to

Highlands & Eilean Siar:

Eilean Siar

Severe Gales 0300 Thu 7 1200 Thu 7

South-westerly winds will increase overnight into Thursday morning, with gusts of 60 to 70 mph, and then ease around noon. The public are advised to take extra care and refer to 'Traffic Scotland' for further advice on road conditions.

Issued at: 1611 Wed 6 May

[damianslaw]

Very deep low to the north progged for tomorrow, not something you would expect in early May.

Gales for NW Scotland touching severe gale force at times, the charts have a late october look to them.. where has lovely sweet May gone..

[Cookie]

you are right about that mate, dosen't look like something that should be appearing in may!

will do a full update tonight, looks according to netweather extra charts that the isle of lewis and the western isles will take the brunt of the storm.

[milkmaid]

oh sugar i've just seen a be prepared warning on met office,hope the poor horse is ok

took a week off to get the peats cut ,hoping for nice weather i should have known better

hopefully we'll get a down grade

[Cookie]

oh sugar i've just seen a be prepared warning on met office,hope the poor horse is ok

took a week off to get the peats cut ,hoping for nice weather i should have known better

hopefully we'll get a down grade

fingers crossed the horse we be ok.

[shelly]

think everything is battened down again

the sheep are all down by the house sheltering already

[Zenarcher]

I'll have 2 streaming webcams running tommorow where I live (In the Western Isles For Those Who Don't Know) HERE

Thursday 1am Force 9 to 10

Thursday 7am Force Force 9 to 10

Thursday 4pm Force 8 to 9

Images taken from http://magicseaweed.com/

[Snowyowl9]

May can be quite a volatile month with gales,can remember a couple to 3 times in the mid to late 80`s around this time of may when the trees were just coming out.

Not to worry after friday which looks another windy day.

http://www.wzkarten.de/pics/brack1.gif

After these last few days of annoying wind,the atlantic changes direction,I`ll take a NE wind :lol: and it`s sheltered just here.

http://91.121.93.17/pics/Rukm1441.gif

Edited May 6, 2009 by Snowyowl9

[Cookie]

think everything is battened down again

the sheep are all down by the house sheltering already

I feel sorry for the lambs at this time of year.

gusting 52 mph at ness already http://www.gm7pbb.co.uk/

and 35 mph high from my weather station.

Gale warnings

Sea area gale warnings, issued by the Met Office, on behalf of the Maritime and Coastguard Agency.

Last updated on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2201.

All gale warnings currently in force

Viking, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Gale force 8 veering southwesterly and increasing severe gale force 9 soon

North Utsire, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Southeasterly gale force 8 expected soon

Forties, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected later

Cromarty, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, increasing severe gale force 9 soon

Forth, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected later

Tyne, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected later

Irish Sea, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon

Shannon, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Southwesterly gale force 8, increasing severe gale force 9 soon

Rockall, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 1524

Southwesterly gale force 8 increasing violent storm force 11 soon

Malin, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Southwesterly severe gale force 9, increasing storm force 10 imminent

Hebrides, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Southwesterly gale force 8 expected soon, increasing storm force 10 later

Bailey, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Southwesterly severe gale force 9, increasing storm force 10 imminent

Fair Isle, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, increasing storm force 10 soon

Faeroes, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 2157

Southwesterly gale force 8 imminent, increasing storm force 10 soon

Southeast Iceland, issued on Wednesday 06 May 2009 at 0942

Northeasterly gale force 8 expected soon

All of the above can be found here

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/marine..._printable.html

Key

Force 9 - BOLD

FORCE 10, 11 AND 12 - RED

* this is my own key and just found it makes it clearer and easier to read*

pressure falling at the K5 buoy see link below. the wave height is increasing as well up to 14 feet.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=64045

Another update tomorrow :lol:

[sammie]

This is what happens when I forget to check the FAX sheets for a few days haha.

I hope everyone up north is staying safe looks very unpleasent.

[Cookie]

This is what happens when I forget to check the FAX sheets for a few days haha.

I hope everyone up north is staying safe looks very unpleasent.

thanks sammie, we're used to it despite not really having to many major storms this year. I think the strength more then anything for this time of year will take people by surprise.

[shelly]

it's not normal for this time of year, but then we had a pretty mild winter with only one big storm

the cade lamb is sleeping in the kitchen tonight - I couldn't leave her out on her own in this

[stormchaser1]

strong winds for western isles Friday,,

stay safe everyone,

[Zenarcher]

Gusting to 62mph here all ferries are off at the moment.

[Cookie]

max winds of 70 mph here still gusting 65 mph

http://www.gm7pbb.co.uk/