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Chase 2009 Day 27 Discussion


Nick F

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

Going to head into Wern Nebraska and see if we can find some storms later ... thin pickings again today but a slight chance of a supercell over NW NE later coming out of Ern WY.. Got some stuff popping up to our west currently as we head north from Limon over Rockies but all pulse-type stuff:

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1114 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2009

VALID 221630Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

ANOTHER QUIET CONVECTIVE DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE

UNITED STATES AS STRONG WESTERLIES ARE CONFINED TO THE NORTHERN TIER

OF STATES...AND RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ONLY RESIDES OVER THE

SOUTHEAST REGION. SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED

OVER THE GULF COAST STATES IN ASSOCIATION WITH BROAD UPPER LOW OFF

IN THE CENTRAL GULF. HOWEVER...EXTENSIVE CLOUDS AND WEAK LAPSE

RATES WILL COMBINE WITH MARGINAL VERTICAL SHEAR TO SUPPRESS

ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS.

...NEB/SD/WY...

WEAK EASTERLY/UPSLOPE LOW LEVEL FLOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER

WESTERN NEB AND EASTERN WY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL HELP TO

TRANSPORT SLIGHTLY MORE MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS INTO HIGHER

TERRAIN OF EASTERN WY...WHERE CONCENSUS OF MESOSCALE AND OPERATIONAL

MODELS DEVELOP SCATTERED STORMS. THESE STORMS MAY DEVELOP EASTWARD

INTO WESTERN NEB DURING THE EVENING. WEAK FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN

SLOW MOVING MULTICELL CLUSTERS CAPABLE OF SOME HAIL.

..HART/HURLBUT.. 05/22/2009

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Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)

We are currently just south of Brush, CO (I-76) watching the Convergence Zone storms in a line to our west firing out occasional c-gs, you never know - may drop a landspout ...

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Posted
  • Location: Wickham, S Hampshire, UK
  • Location: Wickham, S Hampshire, UK
We are currently just south of Brush, CO (I-76) watching the Convergence Zone storms in a line to our west firing out occasional c-gs, you never know - may drop a landspout ...

Good luck, Nick. Short of going to Canada there's probably not much you can do at the moment.

I'm pleased to see some cells popping up over my earlier target of SW OK but I can see why you've stuck with the upslope action.

Maybe there's something available for Sunday/Monday as a marked DL sets-up on the NM/TX border but it's early days.

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Posted
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Squall Lines, Storm Force Winds & Extreme Weather!
  • Location: Haverhill Suffolk UK

The live-streaming is working very well. Good luck guys, will be watching your every move. :good:

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