Convective Outlook/ Discussion Ireland Sat 13th June 09

[Tony Gilbert]

7.20pm Fri

Moderate Risk of General Thundery Showers Ireland 12Z-21Z Sat 13th 09

Models are picking up on the development of strong CAPE over Ireland for Saturday. A succession of surface troughs look to push through from the SW initiating some rather heavy showers to most parts. Sat morning shows some increase in surface temps as cloud cover shifts NE. Scattered Thunderstorms are expected to break out pretty much across the board within a poorly sheared environment. In addition to this weak upper moisture seems rather sluggish to move off. The net result will likely decrease the speed that cooling of cloud tops can occur. Any funnel development would seem negligible in the absence of any convergence.

[Paul Sherman]

Thanks Tony

**Guys can we try and keep this as only for the Ireland Thread for tomorrow and post general upcoming Convective Issues in the other thread already running**

Many Thanks

Paul S