Storm/convective Discussion

[dogs32]

really good convection going on here to the South and East..will take a pic shortly and post

[twister2005]

Does look good around these parts, so maybe we will see something later

[dogs32]

Looks like tops are trying to form to my East....cant get a clear shot at present with all the cloud....

[fromey]

afternoon everyone just been out to pick the kids up got back ant the temp risen to 26.4, with 63% humidity, god i hope it all kicks off tonight!!!!

[Wilxy]

Im getting more and more exited but not to exited just in case.

[SteveB]

Gone a bit cloudy round here, and the wind has picked up again.

[kerensa]

afternoon everyone just been out to pick the kids up got back ant the temp risen to 26.4, with 63% humidity, god i hope it all kicks off tonight!!!!

same here fromey, just picked up my kids and so humid, everyone really sweaty and bad tempered lol, temp has just hit 27c, my camera charged and ready!

[Marcus_surfer]

Up to 24.0c here now, not much sunshine, humidity rising now up to 60%

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

24.9C here, no sign of any storms!

[dogs32]

definately thundery looking clouds to my East here.....wouldnt be surprised in the next hr if there is a storm east glos direction

[Coast]

Just got back from a visit to creepy Crawley and it's topping out at 28 DgC and it feels mildly humid. Back here in Benny Burgess Hill I can see clouds building towards the Channel but somehow, I'm still not confident that we will get a storm tonight.

I am still crossing fingers for tomorrow though

[dave48]

definately thundery looking clouds to my East here.....wouldnt be surprised in the next hr if there is a storm east glos direction

It's the best time coming up so any afternoon storms should appear shortly, failing that, tonight's activity is the next shot.

I am surprised we haven't seen even a heavy shower yet though.

[Wilxy]

Clouds are starting to bubble up and coming this way still time yet love to get a starter storm this evening before the big one.

[Marcus_surfer]

Thunderstorm officially reported in Brehat Island, northwestern france, which is close to Jersey.

[Lynxus]

Whoohoo, its 25c here.

Still very breezy, quite hot. doesnt feel humid B)

[SteveB]

It's gone a bit like this morning, but with a warm breeze not a cold one.

Gone very messy looking at the moment, no real structure to the clouds.

[Coast]

Thunderstorm officially reported in Brehat Island, northwestern france, which is close to Jersey.

Getting busy out there! www.cwgsy.net

*** NexStorm TRAC Report generated 25/06/2009 16:21:54

Tracking 2 thunderstorms

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID H-2423 detected 14:53

Storm location bearing 154.8 dgr distance 226 mi (from IOW)

Last recorded activity 16:18

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend No change

Current strikerate 2/minute

Peak strikerate 5/minute

Total recorded strikes 90

Cloud-Ground strikes 31 - 34.44%

Intracloud strikes 59 - 65.56%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 10 - 11.11%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 21 - 23.33%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 38 - 42.22%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 21 - 23.33%

-------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID T-4864 detected 15:33

Storm location bearing 176.0 dgr distance 211 mi (from IOW)

Last recorded activity 16:21

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 4/minute

Peak strikerate 9/minute

Total recorded strikes 83

Cloud-Ground strikes 43 - 51.81%

Intracloud strikes 40 - 48.19%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 1 - 1.20%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 42 - 50.60%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 26 - 31.33%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 14 - 16.87%

-------------------------------------------------------

*** TRAC Report end - NexStorm V1.6.0.2553:PCI

[dogs32]

its accurate today

luvely juvely

http://www.isleofwightweather.co.uk/live_storm_data.htm

[Neilsouth]

Just got back from a visit to creepy Crawley and it's topping out at 28 DgC and it feels mildly humid. Back here in Benny Burgess Hill I can see clouds building towards the Channel but somehow, I'm still not confident that we will get a storm tonight.

The altocumulus from earlier , says otherwise B) ( for south east atleast )

[chapmanslade]

I agree - I don't think the atmosphere is really condusive to homegrown stuff this afternoon. Convection about but it isn't really towering.

Elevated storms tonight much more likely - although looking at the trough over France the storms are poorly organised and pulse type with rapid building and decay. The dynamics will change a bit later but I think it is likely to be a scattering of short lived but vigorous cells.

[YokTok]

The altocumulus from earlier , says otherwise B) ( for south east atleast )

What are the chances of something cropping up over Surrey, it's SOOOOOOO hot at the moment.

[dogs32]

its called the Longest day B)

some small tops going up East Of IOW...on Sat 24...

really humid here and oppresive

[fromey]

i dont believe it i have light rain falling but i cant see any rain bearing cloud, just high cloud!!!!!!!!!! very wierd, some big blobes as well B)

[dave48]

Latest BBC forecast at 16.30 was good, forecasting thunderstorms.

They had all the usual graphics out and even some new ones, well I haven't seen them before anyway, showing the plume of humid air.

[Marcus_surfer]

i dont believe it i have light rain falling but i cant see any rain bearing cloud, just high cloud!!!!!!!!!! very wierd, some big blobes as well B)

Had the same here about an hour ago, only a quick shower but the sun was out, very strange!