Storm/convection Discussion

[Jane Louise]

Now, is this worth getting excited about lol ::lol:

From the MetO fro the SW tomorrow.

Friday:

Bright and blustery, with a mix of sunshine and occasional showers. The showers heavy in places, with hail and thunder possible locally. Often quite chilly, especially in the strong wind. Maximum temperature 19 °C.

www.metoffice.gov.uk

[Jane Louise]

<br />I think you already know the answer to that one <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':lol:' /><br />

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http://1.2.3.11/bmi/www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_images/master/rte_icons/emoticons.png

Lol I'd say you're definately right there :-D

[Coast]

The showers heavy in places, with hail and thunder possible locally

Is that thundery showers ??? :lol:

[Jane Louise]

<br />Is that thundery showers ???  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/whistling.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':lol:' /><br />

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Nooooooo lol not those thundery showers again!( Whistling too lol)

I have lost me emoticons.

[sunny scunny]

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I have lost me emoticons.

:lol: :lol: B)

Im sure you'll get a mega storm tomorrow jane :lol:

[Jane Louise]

<br />   <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/whistling.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/nonono.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':lol:' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/doh.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':lol:' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/hi.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='' />  <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/cool.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt='B)' /> <br /><br /> Im sure you'll get a mega storm tomorrow jane <img src='http://www.netweather.tv/forum/public/style_emoticons/default/laugh.gif' class='bbc_emoticon' alt=':lol:' /><br />

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Please Please be right lol. It'll probably end up as a thundery shower or even thundery rain lol! ;-)

[Costa Del Fal]

Im in the mood for Wintry showers. :lol:

[Costa Del Fal]

I'm in the mood for dancing.....sorry off-topic. Tomorrow does look like it could be an interesting day. I can just picture it now; big, gusty showers with hail and a few CCs/CGs thrown into the mix. :lol: Oh, one can dream.

Edit: Estofex have issued a storm risk area for Wales, parts of the SW and W Mids and virtually all of Ireland for tomorrow. Hopefully, come tomorrow the reality will be that any showers or storms that do form drift slightly more eastward into B'ham - the conditions do certainly seem favourable.

The ingredients there are very good. Dont want to get too excited though due to previous dissapointments. However any Further South than the West Midlands Region then that storm risk decreases very rapidly on the GFS.

The wind should easily blow showers in;and tomorrow so we should be fine.

Edited August 27, 2009 by Blizzards

[maidstone weather]

looking forward to tomorrow, not because of a rather rubbish storm-risk for here, but because of the much fresher air. A final respite from this horrible muggy and warm yuck we've had for endless weeks. Hopefully a proper nights sleep tomorrow night

[Jane Louise]

Here we go again Lol... Will we or wont we

Storm Forecast Issued: 2009-08-27 20:42:00

Valid: 2009-08-28 00:00:00 - 2009-08-28 23:59:00

Regions Affected

Southern Scotland, Northern Ireland, Wales, England (excluding southern counties) and Ireland (excluding far SW) ( all of the UK is under the WATCH )

Synopsis

A complex area of LOW pressure to the north of Scotland, and the Azores HIGH to the south/southwest of the United Kingdom, will dominate the weather for Friday. A strong northwesterly flow develops with winds reaching gale force in exposed western locations. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop as a result of troughs and convergence zones embedded within the strong northwesterly flow. During the morning the showers will be most frequent and persistent across western and northern areas, but during the afternoon the showers should become increasingly widespread. Southern and Southeastern parts of England may stay largely dry until the late afternoon and evening showers when the showers are expected to arrive. Hail seems likely in many of the showers given the cold Polar Maritime airmass. There is enhanced risk of a tornado or waterspout developing in some of the showers. The showers/storms will decrease in coverage quite rapidly during the evening hours, becoming mostly confined to the coasts of western Scotland.

http://ukasf.co.uk/module-Storm/mode-forecast/id-256/

[Jane Louise]

I have a good feeling that it * WILL * happen tomorrow lol:whistling:. Good luck to you too:)

[dogs32]

storm's...you cant be serious...it's Autumn

Look forward to some Thundery shower's without the thunder

[Cheese Rice]

Under the line of showers of Yorkshire, torrentioal rain and gale force winds, very suprised tbh, a typical squall line.

[The PIT]

Under the line of showers of Yorkshire, torrentioal rain and gale force winds, very suprised tbh, a typical squall line.

Zippo here as per normal. Away to the north of us.

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

Zippo here as per normal. Away to the north of us.

Looking at the radar, your turn will come in about 30 mins

sorry, no time to add a radar pic

Edited August 27, 2009 by NorthNorfolkWeather

[sunny scunny]

Under the line of showers of Yorkshire, torrentioal rain and gale force winds, very suprised tbh, a typical squall line.

It's dying out bigtime as it gets closer to my area,although i wasn't expecting anything anyway.

[maidstone weather]

oh a repeat performance!

http://212.100.247.145/fax/PPVO89.png

that must be, what, the 3rd or 4th time this month a cold front has passed through and erupted into storms along the trough in the Low Countries??

[The PIT]

Looking at the radar, your turn will come in about 30 mins

sorry, no time to add a radar pic

Nope already passed when I posted. Zippo.

[dogs32]

BBC weather guy just said widespread Thundery Showers for the Midlands with the odd Thunderstorm thrown in

[SteveB]

Not expecting anything other than heavy blustery showers today. Any that do pass through are not going to be hanging around on this brisk WNW.

[Coast]

BBC weather guy just said widespread Thundery Showers for the Midlands with the odd Thunderstorm thrown in

Thundery Showers??? :o What's that all about then?!!!

So we've seen ESTOFEX and UKASF have areas under consideration today - but is it Jane Louise's turn?

You'll get some Thundery showers alright!! :lol:

and possibly thunder in the showers:

LI looking good later, CAPE low to marginal:

Complex!

Netweather say 31% chance for you JL: www.netweather.tv

[Jane Louise]

Thanks Coast, today could be my day again lol:whistling:

[dogs32]

the shower's are quite intense in Wales for this early in the morning..

Must be a good sign so far...

more than likely it's going to be the odd rumble

here and there..

with my favourite kind of shower's(Thundery)

Edited August 28, 2009 by dogs32

[maidstone weather]

the shower's are quite intense in Wales for this early in the morning..

Must be a good sign so far...

more than likely it's going to be the odd rumble

here and there.. :lol:

with my favourite kind of shower's(Thundery)

[dogs32]

yea but dont forget the 25th :lol:

sorry mate couldnt resist...to be honest I dont expect much today but the odd rumble if Im lucky