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Proposed Improvements To The Nhc Public Advisory


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Posted
  • Location: Tiree
  • Location: Tiree
    Customer feedback suggests that there is a need for a more user-friendly format to the NHC Public Advisory. Users have expressed difficulty in finding pertinent warning, storm and impact information in the public advisory, especially when there is a significant amount of information to convey. The need for a format that separates certain sections of the advisory is most evident when a tropical storm or hurricane is close to making landfall.

    NHC proposes changes to the basic format of the public advisory, including changes to the storm information summary, adding section headers, and providing more structure to the watches and warnings section.

    Example 1 in current format

    BULLETIN

    HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 10

    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

    11 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

    ...EYE OF KATRINA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

    A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA

    COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO FLORIDA CITY...INCLUDING LAKE

    OKEECHOBEE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE

    BEEN COMPLETED.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND

    FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY WEST NORTHWARD...AND ALONG THE GULF COAST OF

    FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTH AND EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA

    CITY.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS THE FLORIDA

    WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ANCLOTE KEY. A TROPICAL

    STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE

    WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM

    WATCH ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF JUPITER HAVE BEEN

    DISCONTINUED.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR

    LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES...

    SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI FLORIDA OR 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE CITY OF

    HOMESTEAD.

    KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS

    EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. KATRINA IS

    EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY MORNING.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. KATRINA

    IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME

    ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED WHILE KATRINA IS OVER LAND.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE

    CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

    TO 70 MILES. EARLIER THIS EVENING A WIND GUST TO 87 MPH WAS RECORDED

    AT MIAMI NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE/NATIONAL

    HURRICANE CENTER AND 81 MPH AT THE TAMIAMI AIRPORT.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES.

    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...

    CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE

    FLOW SOUTH OF VENICE AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN

    TO DECREASE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA.

    KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAINFALL EVENT

    OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL RAINFALL

    ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15

    TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

    ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN FLORIDA AND

    THE FLORIDA KEYS.

    REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...25.5 N... 80.7 W. MOVEMENT

    TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.

    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.

    INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

    CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE

    ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.

    FORECASTER AVILA

    Example 1 in proposed format

    BULLETIN

    HURRICANE KATRINA ADVISORY NUMBER 10

    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

    11 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2005

    ...EYE OF KATRINA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD ACROSS MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...

    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION

    ----------------------------------

    LOCATION...25.5N 80.7W

    ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM SW OF MIAMI FLORIDA

    ABOUT 20 MILES...30 KM NW OF HOMESTEAD FLORIDA

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR

    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR

    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

    WATCHES AND WARNINGS

    --------------------

    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    -THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND TROPICAL STORM WATCH ALONG THE EAST

    COAST OF FLORIDA NORTH OF JUPITER HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

    SUMMARY OF WARNINGS AND WATCHES IN EFFECT...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

    -THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD TO

    FLORIDA CITY...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT

    LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

    A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

    -ALL THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY FROM KEY WEST NORTHWARD

    -THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTH AND EASTWARD

    TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

    -THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO ANCLOTE KEY.

    A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED

    WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.GENERALLY WITHIN 24 HOURS.

    A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

    POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

    INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST OF THE UNITED STATES SHOULD

    MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KATRINA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

    ------------------------------

    KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR AND THIS

    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. KATRINA

    IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...130 KM/HR WITH HIGHER

    GUSTS. KATRINA IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON

    SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED WHILE KATRINA IS OVER

    LAND...AND IT COULD WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM EARLY ON FRIDAY.

    RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY OR SATURDAY...AND KATRINA COULD

    BECOME A DANGEROUS HURRICANE IN THE GULF OF MEXICO IN 2 TO 3 DAYS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 10 MILES FROM THE

    CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP

    TO 70 MILES.

    A WIND GUST TO 87 MPH...140 KM/HR WAS RECORDED AT MIAMI NATIONAL

    WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AND 81

    MPH...131 KM/HR AT THE TAMIAMI AIRPORT THIS EVENING.

    THE MINIMUM PRESSURE WAS DETERMINED FROM AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER

    AIRCRAFT.

    STORM HAZARDS

    -------------

    STORM SURGE FLOODING...2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...

    CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE

    FLOW SOUTH OF VENICE AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE SHOULD BEGIN TO

    DECREASE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA.

    RAINFALL...KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY

    RAINFALL EVENT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA...AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. TOTAL

    RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM

    AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

    TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN

    FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS.

    NEXT ADVISORY...ISSUED BY NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

    ---------------------------------------------------

    NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES...100 AM AND 300 AM EDT.

    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

    $$

    FORECASTER AVILA

    More here

    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/feedback_tcp.shtml

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    Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, thunder, strong winds. HATE:stagnant weather patterns
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset

    Yup, I think the new version is an improved one, definitely makes sense to divide the different hazards up whilst giving a brief layman terms forecast for the next few days.

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