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Scottish Cold Spell Discussion:

Methuselah

By Methuselah
in Spring Weather Discussion

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

Nice looking charts for the weekend for scotland for me when i up in Inverness drinks.gifgood.gif

better hope u can get back home again lol

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

I will but i hope i see snow up there or i will cray.gif

i think you will see snow before you get up there. Glasgow should do very well out of this coming spell

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Author
Posted

Well, I don't mind a ramp...Just don't clutter the other threads??? Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow...Snow, snow quick, quick snow??? :doh:

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

Well, I don't mind a ramp...Just don't clutter the other threads??? Let it snow, let it snow, let it snow...Snow, snow quick, quick snow??? :doh:

huh???

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LomondSnowstorm Accomplished

LomondSnowstorm

Posted
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: cold and snowy in winter, a good mix of weather the rest of the time
  • Location: Glasgow, Scotland (Charing Cross, 40m asl)
Posted

Good to see the regional snow watch back, just in time for us to complain about the lack of weather warnings issued by the met!

A quick assessment of the snow potential:

Thursday: cold building in from the southeast combined with heavy showers coming in off the north sea brings snow showers, particularly in southeastern Scotland by night

prectypeuktopo.png

Friday: Maxima around freezing in many areas as snow showers begin to die out, but by nightfall a band of snow moves into the far north of Scotland

prectypeuktopo.png

Saturday: this day has the potential for the most widespread snowfall in quite a few years, as the front stall over us, bringing very heavy snowfall throughout the day in all parts

prectypeuktopo.png

prectypeuktopo.png

Saturday would be very rare as temperatures are going to be no higher than 2C all day, so all of the precipitation would definitely be falling as snow.

ukmaxtemp.png

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Author
Posted

yes i think i will on the A9rolleyes.gif

Maybe..You stay longer than you think?? :doh:

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

Yup, yup, yup...let it snow from now til march...

well lets hope it stops on the 31st i would hate to be sliding home drunk in snow but it can carry on again on the 1st

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blitzen Veteran

blitzen

Posted
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and cold. Enjoy all extremes though.
  • Location: Lochgelly - Highest town in Fife at 150m ASL.
Posted

Imagine, we can finally look forward to Christmas with the prospect of snow. The past few years I have been insanely jealous just looking at a Christmas card. This is truly memorable model watching at the moment and I am savouring every run! :doh:

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

I hope it all gone on the 28th of dec for me to get back home whistling.gif

or your trapped better take extra cash just in case :doh:

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scotweather Newbie

scotweather

Posted
  • Location: Central Scotland
  • Location: Central Scotland
Posted

As the precipitation charts can't be trusted yet this far out... I shall ask my question again since I don't see a reply....

In what time frame can we expect the precipitation on the models to sure up ?
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shuggee Maestro

shuggee

Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
Posted

In a frontal situation ppn charts become reasonably reliable say 18-24 hours out.

For showers - it's always a guess. You can be in the middle of the area progged 3 hours before to get showers and they all bypass you - hence their notoriety.

Think more in terms of general trends and themes rather than thinking "in 1hr 47mins we are forecast to get 2.1mm of rain" - because that is unforecastable.

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asjmcguire Rising Star

asjmcguire

Posted
  • Location: Scottish Borders (SE) 150m/492ft
  • Weather Preferences: Lightning, Snow
  • Location: Scottish Borders (SE) 150m/492ft
Posted

It was mentioned in one of the 10million model threads this week that precip can't be trusted until less than 24 hours before the day, and even then it's a case of watch the radar and the nearest lamp post :cc_confused:

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shuggee Maestro

shuggee

Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
Posted

It was mentioned in one of the 10million model threads this week that precip can't be trusted until less than 24 hours before the day, and even then it's a case of watch the radar and the nearest lamp post :cc_confused:

Great advice Andrew! :D

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

Great advice Andrew! :cc_confused:

shuggee how well does Edinburgh do with snow never been up there in winter?

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Gilly Newbie

Gilly

Posted
  • Location: Brittany, France
  • Location: Brittany, France
Posted

I am sure the snow will come but will it last until Christmas? Only had one proper white xmas in 2004 and five or six days can make a difference........but having said that I do hope this potential fall will give us a proper covering and not just a dusting. :cc_confused:

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shuggee Maestro

shuggee

Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
Posted

shuggee how well does Edinburgh do with snow never been up there in winter?

Really badly lol - unless the conditions are perfect.

City centre/Leith needs uppers (the temps on the 850hpa charts) to be lower than -7 to be certain of snow in my experience. In the set up shown for Thurs/Friday the wind needs to be coming from the north east, too much of an easterly direction and it brings the warmth off the sea. Ideally we would want it to have gone over Fife first.

Obviously out of town and up a bit, e.g. Dalkeith, Penicuik, Bathgate etc. do very well indeed.

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glasgow-guy Rookie

glasgow-guy

Posted
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
  • Location: South Lanarkshire Glasgow. Lat : 55.8N Lon : 4.1W ASL : 71m
Posted

Really badly lol - unless the conditions are perfect.

City centre/Leith needs uppers (the temps on the 850hpa charts) to be lower than -7 to be certain of snow in my experience. In the set up shown for Thurs/Friday the wind needs to be coming from the north east, too much of an easterly direction and it brings the warmth off the sea. Ideally we would want it to have gone over Fife first.

Obviously out of town and up a bit, e.g. Dalkeith, Penicuik, Bathgate etc. do very well indeed.

so are you hopeful this weekend might bring some snow for you

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shuggee Maestro

shuggee

Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
Posted

so are you hopeful this weekend might bring some snow for you

To be honest gg I've not sat down and looked through the charts enough to come to a conclusion. I'll probably take time out come tomorrow evening to have a proper look and will post a summary in here then. But that will be after my weekly game of badminton :yahoo:

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